Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 2, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Kings	19%	107	102	100.0	102	104.3
	12	Suns	81%	118	129	124.0	104	101.8

Prediction updated: Jan 3, 2026 01:33 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+18

-21

PHX

+11

-12

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.03 51.5%

PHX

1.25 62.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	32.6	23	64%	9	2	1	1	3	1	2	7	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	3-5	60%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 36	29.9	13	65%	2	3	2	0	3	2	0	2	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	26.0	17	61%	9	6	1	0	4	3	6	3	4-5	80%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	25.4	6	33%	5	2	1	0	0	3	1	4	0-4	0%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	18.8	3	17%	6	3	0	0	2	5	3	3	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	0-2	0%

Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	34.5	14	54%	3	0	1	2	3	3	0	3	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	24.0	12	50%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	18.6	3	38%	2	1	0	0	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	15.8	3	30%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	9.9	8	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	4-5	80%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	4.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	52%	42	20	6	3	21	23	14	28	22-32	69%	25-57	44%	10-28	36%

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28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	32.6	23	64%	9	2	1	1	3	1	2	7	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	3-5	60%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 36	29.9	13	65%	2	3	2	0	3	2	0	2	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	26.0	17	61%	9	6	1	0	4	3	6	3	4-5	80%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	25.4	6	33%	5	2	1	0	0	3	1	4	0-4	0%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	18.8	3	17%	6	3	0	0	2	5	3	3	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	0-2	0%

Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	34.5	14	54%	3	0	1	2	3	3	0	3	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	24.0	12	50%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	18.6	3	38%	2	1	0	0	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	15.8	3	30%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	9.9	8	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	4-5	80%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	4.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	52%	42	20	6	3	21	23	14	28	22-32	69%	25-57	44%	10-28	36%

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12 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Royce O'Neale #00 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 33	30.1	7	50%	5	2	2	3	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Devin Booker #1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	27.7	33	69%	2	5	0	0	5	0	0	2	6-7	86%	12-15	80%	1-6	17%
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 27	26.1	15	54%	2	5	3	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-9	33%
Dillon Brooks #3 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30	25.4	18	64%	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	6-10	60%	2-4	50%
Mark Williams #15 · C · 7'1" 240 · 24	21.7	15	83%	9	0	1	1	1	2	2	7	9-11	82%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Jamaree Bouyea #17 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 27	22.9	12	67%	6	1	4	0	0	2	1	5	0-1	0%	6-7	86%	0-2	0%
Jordan Goodwin #23 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 27	22.7	7	88%	2	6	1	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Oso Ighodaro #11 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 23	20.5	15	94%	6	1	2	2	1	1	1	5	5-5	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 23	17.9	3	50%	4	1	0	1	2	3	0	4	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Livers #18 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 27	11.5	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Rasheer Fleming #20 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 21	6.0	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Khaman Maluach #10 · C · 7'1" 250 · 19	5.3	4	100%	2	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Nigel Hayes-Davis #21 · SF · 6'7" 254 · 31	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nick Richards #2 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Koby Brea #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury management
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	63%	42	23	16	9	12	23	7	35	23-28	82%	41-56	73%	8-31	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	PHX

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.03 51.5%

PHX

1.25 62.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

53%

PHX

86%

Midrange

SAC

33%

PHX

61%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

15.0

36%

54%

PHX

12.0

26%

39%

Free Throws

SAC

69%

PHX

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Murray	23	64%	11.5 / 18
R. Westbrook	17	61%	8.5 / 14
K. Ellis	14	54%	7.0 / 13
D. DeRozan	13	65%	6.5 / 10
D. Schröder	12	50%	6.0 / 12
D. Eubanks	8	100%	4.0 / 4
M. Raynaud	6	33%	3.0 / 9
P. Achiuwa	3	17%	1.5 / 9
N. Clifford	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. McDermott	3	30%	1.5 / 5
D. Carter	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Booker	33	69%	16.5 / 24
D. Brooks	18	64%	9.0 / 14
C. Gillespie	15	54%	7.5 / 14
M. Williams	15	83%	7.5 / 9
O. Ighodaro	15	94%	7.5 / 8
J. Bouyea	12	67%	6.0 / 9
R. O'Neale	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Goodwin	7	88%	3.5 / 4
K. Maluach	4	100%	2.0 / 2
R. Dunn	3	50%	1.5 / 3
I. Livers	0	-	0.0 / 4
R. Fleming	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 18 114.3	SAC 100.0 PHX 124.0 +24.0
Pace	17 100.0 23 98.2	SAC 104.3 +2.5 PHX 101.8
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 12 14.5	SAC 13.8 −0.3 PHX 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 19 53.7%	SAC 47.1% PHX 60.9% +13.8%
TO %	15 13.7% 16 13.7%	SAC 17.5% PHX 10.8% −6.7%
ORB %	13 25.9% 7 28.9%	SAC 28.6% +8.6% PHX 20.0%
FTrt	19 25.6 28 22.5	SAC 37.6 +5.4 PHX 32.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 23 60.1%	SAC 57.1% +10.2% PHX 46.9%
STL %	21 8.0% 2 9.7%	SAC 5.9% PHX 15.4% +9.5%
BLK %	19 8.6% 21 8.4%	SAC 5.4% PHX 15.8% +10.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 27 55.3%	SAC 51.5% PHX 62.6% +11.1%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 18 64.0%	SAC 53.3% PHX 85.7% +32.4%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 17 43.3%	SAC 33.3% PHX 60.7% +27.4%
3P %	29 34.1% 12 36.1%	SAC 35.7% +9.9% PHX 25.8%
FT %	21 77.2% 15 78.1%	SAC 68.8% PHX 82.1% +13.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 29 26.3%	SAC 35.3% +3.1% PHX 32.2%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 22 28.4%	SAC 31.8% −0.4% PHX 32.2%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 7 45.3%	SAC 32.9% PHX 35.6% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	PHX
Possessions	102	104
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	102	129
Rebounds	42	42
Assists	20	23
Steals	6	16
Blocks	3	9
Turnovers (Team)	21 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	23	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	35 (2)
Field Goals	35-85	49-87
At-the-Rim FG	16-30	24-28
Midrange FG	9-27	17-28
2-Point FG	25-57	41-56
3-Point FG	10-28	8-31
Free Throws	22-32	23-28
Fast Break Pts	9	18
2nd Chance Pts	15	10
Points in Paint	44	66
Pts off Turnovers	13	23
Bench Points	40	41
Biggest Lead	6	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg