Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 5, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Warriors	67%	112	102	104.1	98	107.1
	19	Clippers	33%	107	103	106.2	97	89.4

Prediction updated: Jan 6, 2026 03:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+17

-7

108

LAC

+10

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.95 47.7%

LAC

1.18 59.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	33.6	27	54%	4	6	3	0	1	6	1	3	5-5	100%	5-8	63%	4-15	27%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	33.4	24	57%	6	2	4	1	2	0	5	1	9-11	82%	6-12	50%	1-4	25%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	31.9	6	33%	5	12	2	0	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-6	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	19.2	4	33%	2	1	3	1	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	12.5	5	63%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	26.7	6	50%	4	0	2	0	0	0	1	3	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	24.6	5	36%	2	1	2	1	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	15.7	5	28%	5	0	1	0	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	15.4	14	70%	5	2	0	1	0	1	1	4	0-1	0%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	11.7	6	75%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	10.6	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	4.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	48%	40	27	18	4	7	18	12	28	22-27	81%	25-51	49%	10-41	24%

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3 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	33.6	27	54%	4	6	3	0	1	6	1	3	5-5	100%	5-8	63%	4-15	27%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	33.4	24	57%	6	2	4	1	2	0	5	1	9-11	82%	6-12	50%	1-4	25%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	31.9	6	33%	5	12	2	0	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-6	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	19.2	4	33%	2	1	3	1	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	12.5	5	63%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	26.7	6	50%	4	0	2	0	0	0	1	3	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	24.6	5	36%	2	1	2	1	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	15.7	5	28%	5	0	1	0	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	15.4	14	70%	5	2	0	1	0	1	1	4	0-1	0%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	11.7	6	75%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	10.6	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	4.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	48%	40	27	18	4	7	18	12	28	22-27	81%	25-51	49%	10-41	24%

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19 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	39.1	18	75%	4	1	0	3	3	3	0	4	1-3	33%	4-7	57%	3-5	60%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	38.1	24	44%	12	5	1	2	5	1	1	11	4-4	100%	10-17	59%	0-8	0%
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	35.6	20	63%	7	3	0	0	3	3	0	7	0-0	-	7-13	54%	2-3	67%
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	33.2	16	89%	3	6	1	0	4	5	0	3	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	33.1	10	83%	11	3	0	1	2	4	4	7	8-8	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	24.0	6	75%	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	22.1	9	64%	5	3	1	0	2	2	1	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	14.8	0	0%	3	3	1	2	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	59%	48	25	5	8	20	21	6	42	19-21	90%	27-48	56%	10-29	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.95 47.7%

LAC

1.18 59.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

53%

LAC

69%

Midrange

GSW

43%

LAC

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

15.0

24%

37%

LAC

15.0

34%

52%

Free Throws

GSW

81%

LAC

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	27	54%	13.5 / 25
J. Butler	24	57%	12.0 / 21
G. Payton	14	70%	7.0 / 10
D. Green	6	33%	3.0 / 9
B. Podziemski	6	50%	3.0 / 6
G. Santos	6	75%	3.0 / 4
Q. Post	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Melton	5	36%	2.5 / 7
A. Horford	5	28%	2.5 / 9
M. Moody	4	33%	2.0 / 6
W. Richard	0	-	0.0 / 2
T. Jackson-Davis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	24	44%	12.0 / 27
K. Sanders	20	63%	10.0 / 16
J. Collins	18	75%	9.0 / 12
K. Dunn	16	89%	8.0 / 9
I. Zubac	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Miller	9	64%	4.5 / 7
N. Batum	6	75%	3.0 / 4
B. Lopez	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 11 116.4	GSW 104.1 LAC 106.2 +2.1
Pace	18 99.9 28 97.3	GSW 107.1 +17.7 LAC 89.4
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 5 15.0	GSW 13.4 −2.7 LAC 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 8 55.9%	GSW 43.5% LAC 54.5% +11.0%
TO %	28 14.9% 17 13.9%	GSW 6.3% −12.5% LAC 18.8%
ORB %	14 25.8% 23 23.7%	GSW 22.2% +4.6% LAC 17.6%
FTrt	24 23.8 3 29.5	GSW 29.3 +2.0 LAC 27.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 29 58.6%	GSW 77.1% +9.5% LAC 67.6%
STL %	3 9.6% 5 9.2%	GSW 18.4% +13.2% LAC 5.2%
BLK %	27 8.0% 13 9.5%	GSW 8.3% LAC 15.7% +7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 3 58.7%	GSW 47.7% LAC 59.2% +11.5%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 3 67.1%	GSW 53.3% LAC 68.8% +15.5%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 10 44.2%	GSW 42.9% LAC 50.0% +7.1%
3P %	20 35.6% 7 36.8%	GSW 24.4% LAC 34.5% +10.1%
FT %	6 80.7% 1 82.3%	GSW 81.5% LAC 90.5% +9.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 15 31.6%	GSW 32.6% +11.8% LAC 20.8%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 20 27.9%	GSW 22.8% −18.7% LAC 41.6%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 19 40.4%	GSW 44.6% +6.9% LAC 37.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	LAC
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	102	103
Rebounds	40	48
Assists	27	25
Steals	18	5
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	7 (0)	20 (0)
Fouls	18	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	42 (2)
Field Goals	35-92	37-77
At-the-Rim FG	16-30	11-16
Midrange FG	9-21	16-32
2-Point FG	25-51	27-48
3-Point FG	10-41	10-29
Free Throws	22-27	19-21
Fast Break Pts	19	10
2nd Chance Pts	9	14
Points in Paint	40	44
Pts off Turnovers	27	7
Bench Points	36	15
Biggest Lead	5	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg