Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Bucks	33%	111	113	118.9	95	99.0
	3	Warriors	67%	116	120	123.7	97	93.2

Prediction updated: Jan 8, 2026 03:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

-12

GSW

+15

-9

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.27 63.5%

GSW

1.18 58.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	40.4	15	63%	4	9	1	0	5	2	0	4	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	35.2	16	62%	7	4	1	0	1	4	0	7	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	30.9	34	68%	10	5	0	0	2	4	2	8	2-7	29%	13-18	72%	2-4	50%
AJ Green #20 · SF · 6'4" 190 · 26	29.6	11	69%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	24.6	13	72%	2	3	0	1	1	2	1	1	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	23.4	6	43%	6	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	21.7	5	36%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	20.6	13	93%	2	2	0	1	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-2	100%
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	13.6	0	0%	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amir Coffey #17 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	64%	36	29	3	3	12	15	5	31	7-12	58%	32-53	60%	14-32	44%

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13 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	40.4	15	63%	4	9	1	0	5	2	0	4	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	35.2	16	62%	7	4	1	0	1	4	0	7	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	30.9	34	68%	10	5	0	0	2	4	2	8	2-7	29%	13-18	72%	2-4	50%
AJ Green #20 · SF · 6'4" 190 · 26	29.6	11	69%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	24.6	13	72%	2	3	0	1	1	2	1	1	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	23.4	6	43%	6	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	21.7	5	36%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	20.6	13	93%	2	2	0	1	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-2	100%
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	13.6	0	0%	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amir Coffey #17 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	64%	36	29	3	3	12	15	5	31	7-12	58%	32-53	60%	14-32	44%

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3 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	34.1	31	67%	6	7	0	0	1	0	0	6	4-5	80%	9-12	75%	3-9	33%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	31.9	21	55%	5	3	1	0	2	3	2	3	8-9	89%	5-10	50%	1-5	20%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	29.4	14	54%	3	7	1	0	1	5	0	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	3-8	38%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	27.5	9	64%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	18.8	11	69%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-3	33%

De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	25.3	22	85%	3	0	1	0	1	3	1	2	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	5-9	56%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	22.4	2	20%	6	4	1	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	19.1	8	67%	10	6	0	2	2	0	3	7	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	18.3	2	33%	4	1	1	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	13.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	41	31	6	2	9	15	8	33	14-18	78%	26-42	62%	18-47	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.27 63.5%

GSW

1.18 58.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

67%

GSW

69%

Midrange

MIL

55%

GSW

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

21.0

44%

66%

GSW

27.0

38%

57%

Free Throws

MIL

58%

GSW

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	34	68%	17.0 / 25
R. Rollins	16	62%	8.0 / 13
K. Porter	15	63%	7.5 / 12
M. Turner	13	72%	6.5 / 9
K. Kuzma	13	93%	6.5 / 7
A. Green	11	69%	5.5 / 8
B. Portis	6	43%	3.0 / 7
G. Trent	5	36%	2.5 / 7
G. Harris	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	31	67%	15.5 / 23
D. Melton	22	85%	11.0 / 13
J. Butler	21	55%	10.5 / 19
D. Green	14	54%	7.0 / 13
Q. Post	11	69%	5.5 / 8
M. Moody	9	64%	4.5 / 7
A. Horford	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Podziemski	2	20%	1.0 / 5
G. Santos	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 112.3 19 114.0	MIL 118.9 GSW 123.7 +4.8
Pace	24 98.1 18 99.9	MIL 99.0 +5.8 GSW 93.2
Avg. Poss. Time	7 14.8 10 14.7	MIL 14.5 −0.9 GSW 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.5% 13 55.0%	MIL 62.4% +2.8% GSW 59.6%
TO %	24 14.7% 28 14.9%	MIL 11.7% GSW 9.4% −2.3%
ORB %	30 21.1% 14 25.8%	MIL 13.2% GSW 20.5% +7.3%
FTrt	29 22.3 24 23.8	MIL 14.1 GSW 20.2 +6.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 63.3% 1 70.6%	MIL 63.0% GSW 70.5% +7.5%
STL %	23 7.5% 3 9.6%	MIL 3.2% GSW 6.2% +3.0%
BLK %	25 8.2% 27 8.0%	MIL 7.1% +3.3% GSW 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 11 57.1%	MIL 63.5% +4.7% GSW 58.8%
Rim FG%	4 67.1% 5 66.7%	MIL 66.7% GSW 68.8% +2.1%
Mid FG%	20 42.6% 22 42.1%	MIL 55.2% GSW 57.7% +2.5%
3P %	2 38.7% 20 35.6%	MIL 43.8% +5.5% GSW 38.3%
FT %	30 73.0% 6 80.7%	MIL 58.3% GSW 77.8% +19.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 28.2% 24 29.5%	MIL 28.2% +10.3% GSW 18.0%
Mid Att. %	16 26.1% 3 20.8%	MIL 34.1% GSW 29.2% −4.9%
3P Att. %	5 45.7% 1 49.7%	MIL 37.6% GSW 52.8% +15.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	MIL	GSW
Possessions	95	97
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	113	120
Rebounds	36	41
Assists	29	31
Steals	3	6
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls	15	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (1)	8 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	33 (3)
Field Goals	46-85	44-89
At-the-Rim FG	16-24	11-16
Midrange FG	16-29	15-26
2-Point FG	32-53	26-42
3-Point FG	14-32	18-47
Free Throws	7-12	14-18
Fast Break Pts	4	7
2nd Chance Pts	4	22
Points in Paint	52	42
Pts off Turnovers	8	15
Bench Points	24	34
Biggest Lead	6	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg