Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Nuggets	12%	104	125	122.5	102	93.1
	6	76ers	88%	119	124	120.4	103	92.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	44.2	24	67%	7	4	1	2	6	0	0	7	8-10	80%	5-10	50%	2-3	67%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	43.5	10	71%	3	2	2	1	1	5	1	2	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	41.9	29	73%	5	7	0	0	4	3	1	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	7-11	64%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	39.4	19	68%	6	2	1	0	0	2	2	4	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · C · 6'9" 225 · 23	21.0	2	25%	1	4	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%

Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	32.0	21	81%	8	1	2	2	2	2	2	6	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	4-5	80%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	19.4	14	88%	3	1	0	1	1	2	0	3	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	15.4	6	43%	4	5	0	0	1	2	1	3	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	8.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Management
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	125	65%	38	26	6	6	17	18	7	31	21-28	75%	25-44	57%	18-37	49%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	44.2	24	67%	7	4	1	2	6	0	0	7	8-10	80%	5-10	50%	2-3	67%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	43.5	10	71%	3	2	2	1	1	5	1	2	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	41.9	29	73%	5	7	0	0	4	3	1	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	7-11	64%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	39.4	19	68%	6	2	1	0	0	2	2	4	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · C · 6'9" 225 · 23	21.0	2	25%	1	4	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%

Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	32.0	21	81%	8	1	2	2	2	2	2	6	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	4-5	80%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	19.4	14	88%	3	1	0	1	1	2	0	3	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	15.4	6	43%	4	5	0	0	1	2	1	3	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	8.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Management
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	125	65%	38	26	6	6	17	18	7	31	21-28	75%	25-44	57%	18-37	49%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	45.6	28	58%	6	6	4	2	1	1	0	6	4-6	67%	6-13	46%	4-9	44%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	41.7	17	50%	8	9	2	2	3	1	2	6	0-0	-	1-6	17%	5-11	45%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	40.0	32	67%	10	2	0	1	6	2	6	4	5-5	100%	12-18	67%	1-4	25%
Paul George #8 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	32.3	8	40%	2	3	2	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-7	29%
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	12.6	6	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%

Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	39.6	16	73%	4	2	0	1	2	4	0	4	5-6	83%	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	22.9	8	80%	6	2	0	1	1	4	3	3	0-1	0%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	18.7	3	38%	0	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	11.6	6	75%	4	0	1	1	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	124	57%	42	28	9	9	14	20	14	28	15-19	79%	29-53	55%	17-45	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	PHI

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.30 65.1%

PHI

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

16

26

62%

PHI

22

41

54%

Midrange

DEN

9

18

50%

PHI

7

12

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

18

27.0

37

49%

73%

PHI

17

25.5

45

38%

57%

Free Throws

DEN

21

28

75%

PHI

15

19

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Pickett	29	73%	14.5 / 20
P. Watson	24	67%	12.0 / 18
Z. Nnaji	21	81%	10.5 / 13
B. Brown	19	68%	9.5 / 14
H. Tyson	14	88%	7.0 / 8
S. Jones	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Strawther	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Holmes	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Embiid	32	67%	16.0 / 24
T. Maxey	28	58%	14.0 / 24
V. Edgecombe	17	50%	8.5 / 17
Q. Grimes	16	73%	8.0 / 11
P. George	8	40%	4.0 / 10
A. Bona	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Barlow	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Walker	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. McCain	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 16 114.4	DEN 122.5 +2.2 PHI 120.4
Pace	19 99.4 16 100.3	DEN 93.1 +0.7 PHI 92.5
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 11 14.6	DEN 15.5 −0.1 PHI 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 25 53.0%	DEN 64.2% +8.6% PHI 55.6%
TO %	3 12.1% 6 12.8%	DEN 16.9% PHI 11.6% −5.3%
ORB %	24 23.6% 11 26.2%	DEN 20.0% PHI 31.1% +11.1%
FTrt	4 29.4 11 27.5	DEN 34.6 +15.2 PHI 19.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 28 58.9%	DEN 60.5% PHI 60.9% +0.4%
STL %	30 6.8% 7 9.0%	DEN 5.9% PHI 8.7% +2.8%
BLK %	29 7.6% 3 10.9%	DEN 11.3% PHI 20.5% +9.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 21 55.9%	DEN 65.1% +8.2% PHI 56.9%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 27 62.1%	DEN 61.5% +7.8% PHI 53.7%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 23 41.8%	DEN 50.0% PHI 58.3% +8.3%
3P %	1 39.6% 23 34.9%	DEN 48.6% +10.8% PHI 37.8%
FT %	5 80.8% 4 80.9%	DEN 75.0% PHI 78.9% +3.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 6 35.0%	DEN 32.1% PHI 41.8% +9.7%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 13 25.9%	DEN 22.2% PHI 12.2% −10.0%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 23 39.1%	DEN 45.7% PHI 45.9% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DEN	PHI
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	26.3	26.7
Points	125	124
Rebounds	38	42
Assists	26	28
Steals	6	9
Blocks	6	9
Turnovers (Team)	17 (2)	14 (0)
Fouls	18	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (5)	14 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (4)	28 (1)
Field Goals	43-81	46-98
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	22-41
Midrange FG	9-18	7-12
2-Point FG	25-44	29-53
3-Point FG	18-37	17-45
Free Throws	21-28	15-19
Fast Break Pts	19	17
2nd Chance Pts	4	17
Points in Paint	42	50
Pts off Turnovers	18	28
Bench Points	41	33
Biggest Lead	9	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg