Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 4, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Nuggets	60%	116	115	122.3	94	94.5
	26	Nets	40%	112	127	133.7	95	94.5

Prediction updated: Jan 4, 2026 08:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+13

-9

BKN

+15

-10

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.17 58.7%

BKN

1.27 63.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	39.7	27	56%	6	16	0	0	4	3	0	6	4-4	100%	10-16	63%	1-7	14%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	28.6	23	68%	4	2	0	1	1	4	1	3	6-7	86%	7-10	70%	1-4	25%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	26.8	3	38%	1	0	2	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	24.2	3	30%	2	0	0	1	0	3	1	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · C · 6'9" 225 · 23	15.3	6	75%	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	34.0	26	81%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	7-9	78%	2-2	100%	5-10	50%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	21.2	20	59%	6	2	0	0	3	2	3	3	4-6	67%	8-13	62%	0-2	0%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	18.2	0	0%	4	3	1	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	17.8	4	67%	3	1	1	2	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	14.1	3	50%	4	3	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	59%	33	29	4	5	9	24	8	25	22-28	79%	30-54	56%	11-31	35%

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21 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	39.7	27	56%	6	16	0	0	4	3	0	6	4-4	100%	10-16	63%	1-7	14%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	28.6	23	68%	4	2	0	1	1	4	1	3	6-7	86%	7-10	70%	1-4	25%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	26.8	3	38%	1	0	2	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	24.2	3	30%	2	0	0	1	0	3	1	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · C · 6'9" 225 · 23	15.3	6	75%	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	34.0	26	81%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	7-9	78%	2-2	100%	5-10	50%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	21.2	20	59%	6	2	0	0	3	2	3	3	4-6	67%	8-13	62%	0-2	0%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	18.2	0	0%	4	3	1	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	17.8	4	67%	3	1	1	2	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	14.1	3	50%	4	3	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	59%	33	29	4	5	9	24	8	25	22-28	79%	30-54	56%	11-31	35%

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26 Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Day'Ron Sharpe #20 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	32.1	17	65%	6	4	3	1	1	3	1	5	5-8	63%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #17 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 28	32.1	27	68%	11	5	0	1	4	3	4	7	9-9	100%	6-11	55%	2-6	33%
Noah Clowney #21 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 21	29.1	22	85%	6	2	0	1	1	2	2	4	6-7	86%	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Egor Dëmin #8 · PG · 6'8" 200 · 20	26.7	13	72%	4	4	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 29	26.0	6	50%	4	6	2	1	0	5	3	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 24	22.4	17	61%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	6-8	75%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Ziaire Williams #1 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	19.5	13	108%	3	1	1	1	0	3	0	3	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Nolan Traore #88 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 20	18.0	5	25%	3	4	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-7	14%
Drake Powell #4 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 20	17.5	5	63%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Danny Wolf #2 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 22	16.6	2	50%	3	1	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jalen Wilson #22 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Martin #13 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ben Saraf #77 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chaney Johnson #31 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyson Etienne #10 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
E.J. Liddell #9 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Haywood Highsmith #7 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Recovery
Nic Claxton #33 · C · 6'11" 215 · 27	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	64%	44	29	7	5	10	22	12	32	31-37	84%	27-48	56%	14-33	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	BKN
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	BKN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.17 58.7%

BKN

1.27 63.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

59%

BKN

56%

Midrange

DEN

50%

BKN

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

16.5

35%

53%

BKN

21.0

42%

64%

Free Throws

DEN

79%

BKN

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	27	56%	13.5 / 24
T. Hardaway	26	81%	13.0 / 16
P. Watson	23	68%	11.5 / 17
A. Gordon	20	59%	10.0 / 17
D. Holmes	6	75%	3.0 / 4
Z. Nnaji	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Jones	3	38%	1.5 / 4
C. Braun	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Pickett	3	50%	1.5 / 3
B. Brown	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	27	68%	13.5 / 20
N. Clowney	22	85%	11.0 / 13
D. Sharpe	17	65%	8.5 / 13
C. Thomas	17	61%	8.5 / 14
E. Dëmin	13	72%	6.5 / 9
Z. Williams	13	108%	6.5 / 6
T. Mann	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Traore	5	25%	2.5 / 10
D. Powell	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Wolf	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 30 108.2	DEN 122.3 BKN 133.7 +11.3
Pace	19 99.4 26 97.5	DEN 94.5 BKN 94.5 +0.0
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 8 14.7	DEN 15.2 BKN 15.2 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 30 52.0%	DEN 54.7% BKN 59.3% +4.6%
TO %	3 12.1% 29 15.3%	DEN 9.3% BKN 9.3%
ORB %	24 23.6% 25 23.6%	DEN 20.0% BKN 32.4% +12.4%
FTrt	4 29.4 13 27.2	DEN 32.9 BKN 45.7 +12.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 8 66.8%	DEN 70.7% BKN 70.7%
STL %	30 6.8% 19 8.1%	DEN 4.3% BKN 7.4% +3.1%
BLK %	29 7.6% 24 8.2%	DEN 10.4% +1.1% BKN 9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 30 54.6%	DEN 58.7% BKN 63.5% +4.8%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 28 61.5%	DEN 59.4% +3.4% BKN 56.0%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 28 39.0%	DEN 50.0% BKN 56.5% +6.5%
3P %	1 39.6% 30 34.0%	DEN 35.5% BKN 42.4% +6.9%
FT %	5 80.8% 16 78.0%	DEN 78.6% BKN 83.8% +5.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 8 33.6%	DEN 37.6% +6.8% BKN 30.9%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 4 20.9%	DEN 25.9% −2.5% BKN 28.4%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 6 45.5%	DEN 36.5% BKN 40.7% +4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DEN	BKN
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	115	127
Rebounds	33	44
Assists	29	29
Steals	4	7
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls	24	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (3)	32 (2)
Field Goals	41-85	41-81
At-the-Rim FG	19-32	14-25
Midrange FG	11-22	13-23
2-Point FG	30-54	27-48
3-Point FG	11-31	14-33
Free Throws	22-28	31-37
Fast Break Pts	14	15
2nd Chance Pts	12	21
Points in Paint	50	52
Pts off Turnovers	17	12
Bench Points	53	42
Biggest Lead	3	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg