Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Jazz	8%	109	125	106.8	117	99.9
	1	Thunder	92%	127	129	109.3	118	113.7

Prediction updated: Jan 8, 2026 12:37 AM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+26

-20

123

OKC

107

+15

-11

122

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.02 51.2%

OKC

1.07 53.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	43.8	29	69%	13	1	1	0	4	2	4	9	4-5	80%	8-12	67%	3-7	43%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	42.9	25	52%	7	11	1	0	6	5	1	6	5-5	100%	7-13	54%	2-9	22%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	32.6	15	42%	15	4	3	1	2	6	5	10	3-4	75%	6-15	40%	0-1	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SG · 6'6" 235 · 22	32.0	13	54%	5	1	0	0	1	3	1	4	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	0-5	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	26.9	8	44%	7	6	0	0	0	1	3	4	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	0-5	0%

Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	26.7	15	68%	6	4	0	1	3	4	1	5	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	4-7	57%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	17.5	6	50%	1	5	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	14.3	5	50%	2	1	1	1	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	14.0	5	63%	3	0	1	2	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	10.2	2	33%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	4.2	2	17%	5	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	125	51%	65	33	8	5	20	31	19	46	16-21	76%	38-70	54%	11-41	27%

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27 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	43.8	29	69%	13	1	1	0	4	2	4	9	4-5	80%	8-12	67%	3-7	43%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	42.9	25	52%	7	11	1	0	6	5	1	6	5-5	100%	7-13	54%	2-9	22%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	32.6	15	42%	15	4	3	1	2	6	5	10	3-4	75%	6-15	40%	0-1	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SG · 6'6" 235 · 22	32.0	13	54%	5	1	0	0	1	3	1	4	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	0-5	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	26.9	8	44%	7	6	0	0	0	1	3	4	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	0-5	0%

Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	26.7	15	68%	6	4	0	1	3	4	1	5	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	4-7	57%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	17.5	6	50%	1	5	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	14.3	5	50%	2	1	1	1	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	14.0	5	63%	3	0	1	2	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	10.2	2	33%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	4.2	2	17%	5	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	125	51%	65	33	8	5	20	31	19	46	16-21	76%	38-70	54%	11-41	27%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	42.0	46	68%	6	6	1	1	0	1	0	6	17-19	89%	13-18	72%	1-8	13%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 25	41.0	17	50%	6	8	0	0	2	3	1	5	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	1-5	20%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 24	40.1	23	64%	12	1	1	3	1	5	5	7	5-8	63%	9-12	75%	0-3	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SF · 6'5" 190 · 27	24.9	7	39%	7	4	1	2	2	1	1	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 27	23.9	6	50%	6	0	3	1	0	4	0	6	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%

Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	33.1	16	47%	2	5	3	1	1	1	0	2	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	2-7	29%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	30.7	4	29%	6	0	4	1	3	3	3	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	11.2	3	30%	5	1	0	2	1	1	2	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	9.7	5	63%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-3	67%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	8.5	2	50%	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Bursitis
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	129	53%	51	26	14	11	11	21	12	39	34-42	81%	37-63	59%	7-38	18%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.02 51.2%

OKC

1.07 53.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

57%

OKC

58%

Midrange

UTA

50%

OKC

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

16.5

27%

40%

OKC

10.5

18%

28%

Free Throws

UTA

76%

OKC

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	29	69%	14.5 / 21
K. George	25	52%	12.5 / 24
J. Nurkić	15	42%	7.5 / 18
W. Clayton	15	68%	7.5 / 11
B. Sensabaugh	13	54%	6.5 / 12
S. Mykhailiuk	8	44%	4.0 / 9
I. Collier	6	50%	3.0 / 6
T. Hendricks	5	50%	2.5 / 5
C. Williams	5	63%	2.5 / 4
A. Bailey	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Filipowski	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	46	68%	23.0 / 34
C. Holmgren	23	64%	11.5 / 18
J. Williams	17	50%	8.5 / 17
A. Mitchell	16	47%	8.0 / 17
A. Wiggins	7	39%	3.5 / 9
L. Dort	6	50%	3.0 / 6
I. Joe	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Wallace	4	29%	2.0 / 7
B. Carlson	3	30%	1.5 / 5
K. Williams	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 7 117.6	UTA 106.8 OKC 109.3 +2.5
Pace	2 103.4 15 100.3	UTA 99.9 OKC 113.7 +13.8
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 20 14.1	UTA 14.4 OKC 12.7 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 4 56.1%	UTA 49.1% +2.1% OKC 47.0%
TO %	23 14.4% 1 11.8%	UTA 14.3% OKC 8.4% −5.9%
ORB %	12 26.2% 28 22.3%	UTA 32.8% +12.1% OKC 20.7%
FTrt	10 27.7 17 26.1	UTA 18.9 OKC 41.6 +22.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 25 59.8%	UTA 67.3% +8.2% OKC 59.1%
STL %	14 8.5% 4 9.6%	UTA 6.8% OKC 11.9% +5.1%
BLK %	30 7.5% 2 11.0%	UTA 7.9% OKC 15.7% +7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 4 58.5%	UTA 51.2% OKC 53.3% +2.1%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 11 65.2%	UTA 57.1% OKC 57.9% +0.8%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 1 47.6%	UTA 50.0% OKC 60.0% +10.0%
3P %	25 34.5% 9 36.5%	UTA 26.8% +8.4% OKC 18.4%
FT %	13 78.6% 3 81.7%	UTA 76.2% OKC 81.0% +4.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 16 31.3%	UTA 37.8% +0.2% OKC 37.6%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 15 26.1%	UTA 25.2% OKC 24.8% −0.5%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 13 42.6%	UTA 36.9% OKC 37.6% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	OKC
Possessions	117	118
Possession Minutes	28.1	24.9
Points	125	129
Rebounds	65	51
Assists	33	26
Steals	8	14
Blocks	5	11
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	31	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (7)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	46 (3)	39 (0)
Field Goals	49-111	44-101
At-the-Rim FG	24-42	22-38
Midrange FG	14-28	15-25
2-Point FG	38-70	37-63
3-Point FG	11-41	7-38
Free Throws	16-21	34-42
Fast Break Pts	15	20
2nd Chance Pts	17	14
Points in Paint	70	54
Pts off Turnovers	10	22
Bench Points	35	30
Biggest Lead	8	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg