Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Nuggets	23%	111	114	122.6	93	91.9
	2	Celtics	77%	121	110	119.6	92	93.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	37.3	30	79%	6	2	1	2	4	5	1	5	4-8	50%	4-8	50%	6-7	86%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	36.7	22	55%	8	17	1	0	2	2	4	4	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	3-9	33%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	29.6	5	50%	5	2	0	1	1	1	1	4	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · C · 6'9" 225 · 23	13.4	6	50%	2	1	0	2	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	9.1	2	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	26.1	14	70%	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	4-8	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	24.9	12	50%	2	1	2	2	0	3	2	0	5-7	71%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	23.4	12	50%	6	2	0	0	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	20.5	7	58%	4	2	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	19.0	4	33%	1	0	2	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	55%	39	27	7	8	7	15	12	27	16-24	67%	19-43	44%	20-44	45%

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19 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	37.3	30	79%	6	2	1	2	4	5	1	5	4-8	50%	4-8	50%	6-7	86%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	36.7	22	55%	8	17	1	0	2	2	4	4	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	3-9	33%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	29.6	5	50%	5	2	0	1	1	1	1	4	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · C · 6'9" 225 · 23	13.4	6	50%	2	1	0	2	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	9.1	2	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	26.1	14	70%	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	4-8	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	24.9	12	50%	2	1	2	2	0	3	2	0	5-7	71%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	23.4	12	50%	6	2	0	0	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	20.5	7	58%	4	2	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	19.0	4	33%	1	0	2	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	55%	39	27	7	8	7	15	12	27	16-24	67%	19-43	44%	20-44	45%

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2 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	34.3	33	55%	7	4	1	0	7	5	1	6	1-3	33%	10-23	43%	4-6	67%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	34.2	17	45%	4	4	0	3	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-12	25%
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 28	33.7	17	57%	5	2	2	0	0	2	3	2	6-6	100%	4-7	57%	1-6	17%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	29.7	6	50%	2	2	2	1	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26	24.4	6	38%	20	0	0	0	0	3	10	10	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-

Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	25.7	15	83%	4	2	0	0	2	0	3	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-4	75%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	20.8	3	30%	4	0	0	2	1	1	1	3	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	19.4	11	110%	5	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-1	100%
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	13.8	1	17%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	4.1	1	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	53	16	6	6	14	20	21	32	9-15	60%	28-57	49%	15-38	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.11 55.3%

BOS

1.08 53.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

7

14

50%

BOS

13

22

59%

Midrange

DEN

12

29

41%

BOS

15

35

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

20

30.0

44

45%

68%

BOS

15

22.5

38

39%

59%

Free Throws

DEN

16

24

67%

BOS

9

15

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Watson	30	79%	15.0 / 19
J. Murray	22	55%	11.0 / 20
T. Hardaway	14	70%	7.0 / 10
Z. Nnaji	12	50%	6.0 / 12
A. Gordon	12	50%	6.0 / 12
J. Pickett	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Holmes	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Braun	5	50%	2.5 / 5
B. Brown	4	33%	2.0 / 6
S. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	33	55%	16.5 / 30
D. White	17	45%	8.5 / 19
P. Pritchard	17	57%	8.5 / 15
A. Simons	15	83%	7.5 / 9
L. Garza	11	110%	5.5 / 5
S. Hauser	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Queta	6	38%	3.0 / 8
H. González	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Walsh	1	17%	0.5 / 3
B. Scheierman	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 2 120.0	DEN 122.6 +3.0 BOS 119.6
Pace	19 99.4 30 95.5	DEN 91.9 BOS 93.1 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 2 15.7	DEN 15.7 BOS 15.5 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 11 55.3%	DEN 56.3% +3.1% BOS 53.2%
TO %	3 12.1% 2 12.0%	DEN 8.4% −3.7% BOS 12.1%
ORB %	24 23.6% 6 29.2%	DEN 27.3% BOS 43.8% +16.5%
FTrt	4 29.4 30 20.7	DEN 27.6 +11.8 BOS 15.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 30 58.5%	DEN 69.2% +32.0% BOS 37.2%
STL %	30 6.8% 25 7.4%	DEN 7.5% +1.0% BOS 6.5%
BLK %	29 7.6% 5 10.4%	DEN 14.0% BOS 14.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 13 56.9%	DEN 55.3% +1.4% BOS 53.9%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 2 68.9%	DEN 50.0% BOS 59.1% +9.1%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 12 44.2%	DEN 41.4% BOS 42.9% +1.5%
3P %	1 39.6% 8 36.7%	DEN 45.5% +6.0% BOS 39.5%
FT %	5 80.8% 7 80.7%	DEN 66.7% +6.7% BOS 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 30 24.4%	DEN 16.1% BOS 23.2% +7.1%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 24 28.9%	DEN 33.3% −3.5% BOS 36.8%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 4 46.7%	DEN 50.6% +10.6% BOS 40.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DEN	BOS
Possessions	93	92
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	114	110
Rebounds	39	53
Assists	27	16
Steals	7	6
Blocks	8	6
Turnovers (Team)	7 (2)	14 (0)
Fouls	15	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	21 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (5)	32 (3)
Field Goals	39-87	43-95
At-the-Rim FG	7-14	13-22
Midrange FG	12-29	15-35
2-Point FG	19-43	28-57
3-Point FG	20-44	15-38
Free Throws	16-24	9-15
Fast Break Pts	13	9
2nd Chance Pts	16	27
Points in Paint	26	48
Pts off Turnovers	15	9
Bench Points	49	31
Biggest Lead	13	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg