Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 8, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Mavericks	62%	123	114	110.7	103	105.1
	27	Jazz	38%	119	116	113.7	102	100.0

Prediction updated: Jan 9, 2026 01:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+11

-20

UTA

+11

-9

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.21 60.6%

UTA

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	37.8	26	65%	10	8	3	1	3	4	4	6	3-4	75%	7-12	58%	3-6	50%
Naji Marshall #13 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 28	36.8	17	71%	2	4	0	0	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	2-5	40%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	35.2	21	53%	11	4	1	1	2	0	2	9	1-1	100%	10-18	56%	0-2	0%
Max Christie #00 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 23	31.9	16	73%	4	4	0	0	1	0	0	4	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	25.4	0	0%	7	0	0	0	2	4	0	7	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	28.8	23	82%	3	5	0	0	3	3	0	3	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	6-11	55%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	22.0	7	44%	2	4	0	0	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	13.7	2	50%	5	0	0	0	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	8.6	2	25%	3	1	0	0	3	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	61%	47	30	4	2	20	13	9	38	11-13	85%	29-49	59%	15-36	42%

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21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	37.8	26	65%	10	8	3	1	3	4	4	6	3-4	75%	7-12	58%	3-6	50%
Naji Marshall #13 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 28	36.8	17	71%	2	4	0	0	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	2-5	40%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	35.2	21	53%	11	4	1	1	2	0	2	9	1-1	100%	10-18	56%	0-2	0%
Max Christie #00 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 23	31.9	16	73%	4	4	0	0	1	0	0	4	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	25.4	0	0%	7	0	0	0	2	4	0	7	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	28.8	23	82%	3	5	0	0	3	3	0	3	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	6-11	55%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	22.0	7	44%	2	4	0	0	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	13.7	2	50%	5	0	0	0	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	8.6	2	25%	3	1	0	0	3	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	61%	47	30	4	2	20	13	9	38	11-13	85%	29-49	59%	15-36	42%

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27 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	39.7	33	57%	7	4	0	2	3	2	3	4	3-6	50%	12-18	67%	2-8	25%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	36.5	19	73%	3	7	3	0	0	1	0	3	2-3	67%	7-8	88%	1-4	25%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SG · 6'6" 235 · 22	30.2	14	58%	5	3	1	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Kevin Love #42 · C · 6'10" 251 · 37	23.9	10	42%	10	2	0	0	0	1	2	8	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	22.3	8	80%	3	4	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%

Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	26.1	2	20%	7	2	2	0	0	1	1	6	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	21.1	12	60%	0	3	2	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-9	44%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	18.3	7	70%	1	6	0	1	4	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	17.8	8	67%	4	1	1	0	2	1	0	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	4.0	3	38%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left 1st Mtp; Sprain
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth metatarsal stress reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	56%	42	32	11	3	9	11	10	32	9-14	64%	34-54	63%	13-41	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	UTA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.21 60.6%

UTA

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

79%

UTA

70%

Midrange

DAL

47%

UTA

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

22.5

42%

63%

UTA

19.5

32%

48%

Free Throws

DAL

85%

UTA

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Flagg	26	65%	13.0 / 20
K. Thompson	23	82%	11.5 / 14
A. Davis	21	53%	10.5 / 20
N. Marshall	17	71%	8.5 / 12
M. Christie	16	73%	8.0 / 11
R. Nembhard	7	44%	3.5 / 8
C. Martin	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Williams	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Gafford	0	-	0.0 / 0

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	33	57%	16.5 / 29
K. George	19	73%	9.5 / 13
B. Sensabaugh	14	58%	7.0 / 12
W. Clayton	12	60%	6.0 / 10
K. Love	10	42%	5.0 / 12
C. Williams	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Filipowski	8	67%	4.0 / 6
I. Collier	7	70%	3.5 / 5
T. Hendricks	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Anderson	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 110.4 22 112.9	DAL 110.7 UTA 113.7 +3.0
Pace	6 102.5 2 103.4	DAL 105.1 +5.1 UTA 100.0
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 27 13.8	DAL 13.7 −0.7 UTA 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.7% 20 53.6%	DAL 60.6% +4.3% UTA 56.3%
TO %	13 13.5% 23 14.4%	DAL 18.8% UTA 8.2% −10.6%
ORB %	26 23.2% 12 26.2%	DAL 22.0% +1.2% UTA 20.8%
FTrt	6 28.7 10 27.7	DAL 15.3 +0.6 UTA 14.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 60.4% 2 69.6%	DAL 68.2% +0.1% UTA 68.1%
STL %	27 7.3% 14 8.5%	DAL 3.9% UTA 10.8% +6.9%
BLK %	16 9.0% 30 7.5%	DAL 3.7% UTA 6.1% +2.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 55.2% 18 56.4%	DAL 60.6% +4.3% UTA 56.3%
Rim FG%	22 63.2% 17 64.5%	DAL 78.9% +8.5% UTA 70.4%
Mid FG%	18 43.1% 8 44.4%	DAL 46.7% UTA 55.6% +8.9%
3P %	26 34.4% 25 34.5%	DAL 41.7% +10.0% UTA 31.7%
FT %	28 75.5% 13 78.6%	DAL 84.6% +20.3% UTA 64.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.8% 17 31.3%	DAL 22.4% UTA 28.4% +6.1%
Mid Att. %	28 31.7% 23 28.4%	DAL 35.3% UTA 28.4% −6.9%
3P Att. %	26 35.5% 21 40.3%	DAL 42.4% UTA 43.2% +0.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	UTA
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	114	116
Rebounds	47	42
Assists	30	32
Steals	4	11
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	20 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	13	11
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (2)	32 (0)
Field Goals	44-85	47-95
At-the-Rim FG	15-19	19-27
Midrange FG	14-30	15-27
2-Point FG	29-49	34-54
3-Point FG	15-36	13-41
Free Throws	11-13	9-14
Fast Break Pts	19	19
2nd Chance Pts	10	13
Points in Paint	46	64
Pts off Turnovers	14	25
Bench Points	34	32
Biggest Lead	7	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg