Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 12, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Hornets	35%	110	109	116.0	94	92.0
	10	Clippers	65%	115	117	124.5	94	96.1

Prediction updated: Jan 13, 2026 03:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+15

-10

LAC

+12

-5

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.10 55.1%

LAC

1.16 57.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	35.2	18	69%	5	4	0	0	2	1	0	5	2-2	100%	8-9	89%	0-3	0%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	35.1	13	59%	15	4	1	4	1	3	5	10	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	34.5	11	46%	6	1	0	0	1	3	2	4	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	32.9	13	50%	6	5	1	0	2	3	1	5	2-4	50%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	32.3	25	52%	9	5	1	0	3	1	2	7	0-0	-	8-13	62%	3-11	27%

Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	18.5	8	57%	3	3	0	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	13.2	7	88%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	12.9	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	12.9	3	38%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	12.5	9	75%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	INACTIVE
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Soreness
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	55%	49	24	3	4	10	17	10	39	13-17	76%	33-55	60%	10-33	30%

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20 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	35.2	18	69%	5	4	0	0	2	1	0	5	2-2	100%	8-9	89%	0-3	0%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	35.1	13	59%	15	4	1	4	1	3	5	10	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	34.5	11	46%	6	1	0	0	1	3	2	4	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	32.9	13	50%	6	5	1	0	2	3	1	5	2-4	50%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	32.3	25	52%	9	5	1	0	3	1	2	7	0-0	-	8-13	62%	3-11	27%

Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	18.5	8	57%	3	3	0	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	13.2	7	88%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	12.9	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	12.9	3	38%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	12.5	9	75%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	INACTIVE
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Soreness
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	55%	49	24	3	4	10	17	10	39	13-17	76%	33-55	60%	10-33	30%

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10 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	37.5	32	52%	4	10	4	0	1	2	1	3	7-8	88%	8-17	47%	3-11	27%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	30.6	35	76%	5	3	0	0	1	0	0	5	8-9	89%	6-10	60%	5-9	56%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	30.3	3	38%	5	1	0	0	1	5	2	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	27.2	9	64%	11	2	0	0	0	2	3	8	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	20.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-6	0%

Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	27.4	14	64%	1	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-6	33%
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	22.8	8	40%	3	1	0	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-7	29%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	21.9	7	175%	2	2	2	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	20.4	9	75%	4	1	1	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
TyTy Washington Jr. #16 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	58%	37	22	7	0	5	15	9	28	17-21	81%	23-43	53%	18-49	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	LAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.10 55.1%

LAC

1.16 57.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

69%

LAC

67%

Midrange

CHA

42%

LAC

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

15.0

30%

45%

LAC

27.0

37%

55%

Free Throws

CHA

76%

LAC

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Ball	25	52%	12.5 / 24
K. Knueppel	18	69%	9.0 / 13
M. Diabaté	13	59%	6.5 / 11
B. Miller	13	50%	6.5 / 13
M. Bridges	11	46%	5.5 / 12
T. Mann	9	75%	4.5 / 6
S. James	8	57%	4.0 / 7
G. Williams	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Green	3	38%	1.5 / 4
R. Kalkbrenner	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	35	76%	17.5 / 23
J. Harden	32	52%	16.0 / 31
J. Miller	14	64%	7.0 / 11
I. Zubac	9	64%	4.5 / 7
B. Lopez	9	75%	4.5 / 6
K. Sanders	8	40%	4.0 / 10
N. Batum	7	175%	3.5 / 2
J. Collins	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Dunn	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 118.6 11 116.4	CHA 116.0 LAC 124.5 +8.5
Pace	27 97.5 28 97.3	CHA 92.0 LAC 96.1 +4.1
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.2 5 15.0	CHA 15.7 LAC 15.0 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.2% 8 55.9%	CHA 54.5% +0.2% LAC 54.3%
TO %	27 14.8% 17 13.9%	CHA 9.5% LAC 4.7% −4.8%
ORB %	4 30.5% 23 23.7%	CHA 26.3% +7.5% LAC 18.8%
FTrt	23 24.4 3 29.5	CHA 19.3 LAC 22.8 +3.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 64.3% 29 58.6%	CHA 55.8% +2.1% LAC 53.7%
STL %	29 7.2% 5 9.2%	CHA 3.2% LAC 7.4% +4.2%
BLK %	20 8.6% 13 9.5%	CHA 9.3% +9.3% LAC 0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.3% 3 58.7%	CHA 55.1% LAC 57.9% +2.8%
Rim FG%	23 63.1% 3 67.1%	CHA 69.4% +2.7% LAC 66.7%
Mid FG%	25 41.4% 10 44.2%	CHA 42.1% +1.2% LAC 40.9%
3P %	3 37.8% 7 36.8%	CHA 30.3% LAC 36.7% +6.4%
FT %	2 81.8% 1 82.3%	CHA 76.5% LAC 81.0% +4.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 29.3% 15 31.6%	CHA 40.9% +18.1% LAC 22.8%
Mid Att. %	6 22.0% 20 27.9%	CHA 21.6% −2.3% LAC 23.9%
3P Att. %	2 48.7% 19 40.4%	CHA 37.5% LAC 53.3% +15.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	LAC
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	109	117
Rebounds	49	37
Assists	24	22
Steals	3	7
Blocks	4	0
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	5 (0)
Fouls	17	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (2)	28 (4)
Field Goals	43-88	41-92
At-the-Rim FG	25-36	14-21
Midrange FG	8-19	9-22
2-Point FG	33-55	23-43
3-Point FG	10-33	18-49
Free Throws	13-17	17-21
Fast Break Pts	11	20
2nd Chance Pts	15	17
Points in Paint	58	40
Pts off Turnovers	6	20
Bench Points	29	38
Biggest Lead	5	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg