Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 10, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Hornets	68%	123	150	148.5	101	99.7
	30	Jazz	32%	117	95	93.1	102	103.4

Prediction updated: Jan 11, 2026 02:32 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+26

-12

115

UTA

+12

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.29 64.7%

UTA

0.97 48.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	24.5	10	83%	10	1	0	2	1	2	5	5	4-7	57%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	22.6	17	65%	5	5	0	0	5	3	0	5	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	5-11	45%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	22.0	18	45%	4	4	3	0	3	4	1	3	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	2-9	22%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	21.8	15	107%	7	5	0	0	0	1	0	7	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	18.1	12	86%	0	6	3	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-3	67%

Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	26.3	4	67%	7	5	2	1	0	2	1	6	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	25.4	13	59%	4	2	1	0	0	2	3	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-6	33%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	23.5	12	75%	9	0	0	2	0	0	5	4	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	17.7	15	68%	5	4	0	0	2	0	1	4	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	13.9	9	45%	8	0	0	0	0	0	4	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-10	30%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	12.3	5	42%	5	2	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	12.0	20	91%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	4-6	67%
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	INACTIVE
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	150	65%	65	35	10	5	12	18	21	44	20-25	80%	29-42	69%	24-59	41%

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18 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	24.5	10	83%	10	1	0	2	1	2	5	5	4-7	57%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	22.6	17	65%	5	5	0	0	5	3	0	5	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	5-11	45%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	22.0	18	45%	4	4	3	0	3	4	1	3	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	2-9	22%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	21.8	15	107%	7	5	0	0	0	1	0	7	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	18.1	12	86%	0	6	3	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-3	67%

Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	26.3	4	67%	7	5	2	1	0	2	1	6	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	25.4	13	59%	4	2	1	0	0	2	3	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-6	33%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	23.5	12	75%	9	0	0	2	0	0	5	4	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	17.7	15	68%	5	4	0	0	2	0	1	4	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	13.9	9	45%	8	0	0	0	0	0	4	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-10	30%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	12.3	5	42%	5	2	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	12.0	20	91%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	4-6	67%
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	INACTIVE
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	150	65%	65	35	10	5	12	18	21	44	20-25	80%	29-42	69%	24-59	41%

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30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	32.5	15	68%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SG · 6'6" 235 · 22	29.9	26	76%	3	0	0	0	4	1	1	2	5-6	83%	6-7	86%	3-9	33%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	28.9	7	44%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	23.4	4	29%	2	5	1	1	5	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Kevin Love #42 · C · 6'10" 251 · 37	15.3	2	20%	5	0	0	0	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	34.5	17	50%	1	9	2	0	1	4	0	1	1-2	50%	8-14	57%	0-2	0%
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	29.5	13	65%	0	4	1	0	2	5	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	24.7	4	20%	10	1	1	1	1	5	3	7	0-0	-	2-9	22%	0-1	0%
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	21.4	7	32%	4	2	1	0	1	0	2	2	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left First MTP; Sprain
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	DND – Rest
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	49%	31	22	6	2	15	21	11	20	16-21	76%	29-57	51%	7-31	23%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	UTA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.29 64.7%

UTA

0.97 48.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

83%

UTA

68%

Midrange

CHA

53%

UTA

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

36.0

41%

61%

UTA

10.5

23%

34%

Free Throws

CHA

80%

UTA

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Mann	20	91%	10.0 / 11
B. Miller	18	45%	9.0 / 20
L. Ball	17	65%	8.5 / 13
M. Bridges	15	107%	7.5 / 7
C. Sexton	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Green	13	59%	6.5 / 11
K. Knueppel	12	86%	6.0 / 7
R. Kalkbrenner	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Diabaté	10	83%	5.0 / 6
G. Williams	9	45%	4.5 / 10
T. Salaün	5	42%	2.5 / 6
S. James	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Sensabaugh	26	76%	13.0 / 17
I. Collier	17	50%	8.5 / 17
C. Williams	15	68%	7.5 / 11
W. Clayton	13	65%	6.5 / 10
T. Hendricks	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Anderson	7	32%	3.5 / 11
K. George	4	29%	2.0 / 7
K. Filipowski	4	20%	2.0 / 10
K. Love	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 118.6 22 112.9	CHA 148.5 +55.4 UTA 93.1
Pace	27 97.5 2 103.4	CHA 99.7 UTA 103.4 +3.7
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.2 27 13.8	CHA 14.4 UTA 13.9 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.2% 20 53.6%	CHA 64.4% +19.5% UTA 44.9%
TO %	27 14.8% 23 14.4%	CHA 10.4% −3.0% UTA 13.4%
ORB %	4 30.5% 12 26.2%	CHA 51.2% +31.2% UTA 20.0%
FTrt	23 24.4 10 27.7	CHA 24.8 +0.9 UTA 23.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 64.3% 2 69.6%	CHA 66.0% +4.9% UTA 61.1%
STL %	29 7.2% 14 8.5%	CHA 9.9% +4.0% UTA 5.9%
BLK %	20 8.6% 30 7.5%	CHA 8.8% +4.0% UTA 4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.3% 18 56.4%	CHA 64.7% +16.2% UTA 48.5%
Rim FG%	23 63.1% 17 64.5%	CHA 82.6% +14.2% UTA 68.4%
Mid FG%	25 41.4% 8 44.4%	CHA 52.6% +10.5% UTA 42.1%
3P %	3 37.8% 25 34.5%	CHA 40.7% +18.1% UTA 22.6%
FT %	2 81.8% 13 78.6%	CHA 80.0% +3.8% UTA 76.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 29.3% 17 31.3%	CHA 22.8% +1.2% UTA 21.6%
Mid Att. %	6 22.0% 23 28.4%	CHA 18.8% −24.4% UTA 43.2%
3P Att. %	2 48.7% 21 40.3%	CHA 58.4% +23.2% UTA 35.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	UTA
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	150	95
Rebounds	65	31
Assists	35	22
Steals	10	6
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	18	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	21 (5)	11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	44 (1)	20 (6)
Field Goals	53-101	36-88
At-the-Rim FG	19-23	13-19
Midrange FG	10-19	16-38
2-Point FG	29-42	29-57
3-Point FG	24-59	7-31
Free Throws	20-25	16-21
Fast Break Pts	28	14
2nd Chance Pts	41	8
Points in Paint	56	50
Pts off Turnovers	24	12
Bench Points	78	41
Biggest Lead	57	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg