Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 9, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Pelicans	49%	117	128	118.5	108	105.2
	28	Wizards	51%	118	107	100.0	107	110.0

Prediction updated: Jan 10, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+17

-17

108

WAS

+14

-19

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.19 59.3%

WAS

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 26	36.1	35	70%	8	4	4	0	1	1	1	7	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	7-16	44%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	34.7	14	54%	16	12	0	2	5	2	5	11	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-2	0%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	31.9	21	70%	5	6	3	0	6	2	0	5	1-1	100%	7-11	64%	2-4	50%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	29.2	31	86%	4	3	2	0	1	1	0	4	7-13	54%	12-14	86%	0-0	-
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	28.5	6	43%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-5	20%

Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	27.7	9	50%	1	1	1	0	0	6	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	20.4	7	58%	4	0	2	0	1	0	1	3	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	12.7	3	25%	9	2	0	1	0	2	2	7	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	11.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	3	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	5.4	2	50%	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip Flexor; Strain
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	59%	51	30	12	4	17	22	10	41	15-24	63%	40-61	66%	11-34	32%

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27 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 26	36.1	35	70%	8	4	4	0	1	1	1	7	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	7-16	44%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	34.7	14	54%	16	12	0	2	5	2	5	11	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-2	0%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	31.9	21	70%	5	6	3	0	6	2	0	5	1-1	100%	7-11	64%	2-4	50%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	29.2	31	86%	4	3	2	0	1	1	0	4	7-13	54%	12-14	86%	0-0	-
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	28.5	6	43%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-5	20%

Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	27.7	9	50%	1	1	1	0	0	6	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	20.4	7	58%	4	0	2	0	1	0	1	3	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	12.7	3	25%	9	2	0	1	0	2	2	7	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	11.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	3	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	5.4	2	50%	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip Flexor; Strain
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	59%	51	30	12	4	17	22	10	41	15-24	63%	40-61	66%	11-34	32%

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28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · PG · 6'7" 195 · 21	29.5	8	44%	5	4	1	1	2	5	0	5	3-6	50%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	25.2	12	67%	1	2	3	0	2	4	0	1	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	25.2	14	50%	1	3	0	1	3	3	1	0	4-8	50%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	23.6	15	58%	5	2	1	0	3	4	2	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	3-6	50%
Khris Middleton #22 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	20.9	4	40%	2	1	1	0	3	2	0	2	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	28.8	11	55%	5	4	1	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	23.7	10	100%	2	1	2	1	1	0	1	1	4-4	100%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	22.7	15	42%	4	2	0	5	2	1	2	2	7-10	70%	4-10	40%	0-4	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	21.6	12	50%	9	4	0	0	0	1	3	6	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-2	0%
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	15.9	6	50%	6	1	1	0	1	1	2	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	2.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion; Right knee, MCL Sprain
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	52%	40	24	10	8	19	23	11	29	22-33	67%	26-52	50%	11-35	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.19 59.3%

WAS

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

73%

WAS

61%

Midrange

NOP

47%

WAS

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

16.5

32%

49%

WAS

16.5

31%

47%

Free Throws

NOP

63%

WAS

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Murphy	35	70%	17.5 / 25
Z. Williamson	31	86%	15.5 / 18
J. Fears	21	70%	10.5 / 15
D. Queen	14	54%	7.0 / 13
M. Peavy	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Hawkins	7	58%	3.5 / 6
B. McGowens	6	43%	3.0 / 7
Y. Missi	3	25%	1.5 / 6
K. Matković	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Poole	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	15	58%	7.5 / 13
T. Vukcevic	15	42%	7.5 / 18
A. Sarr	14	50%	7.0 / 14
T. Johnson	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Champagnie	12	50%	6.0 / 12
B. Carrington	11	55%	5.5 / 10
M. Branham	10	100%	5.0 / 5
B. Coulibaly	8	44%	4.0 / 9
A. Johnson	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Middleton	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.3 29 109.7	NOP 118.5 +18.5 WAS 100.0
Pace	11 101.3 5 102.5	NOP 105.2 WAS 110.0 +4.8
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.1 23 14.0	NOP 13.7 WAS 13.1 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.7% 21 53.5%	NOP 59.5% +10.6% WAS 48.9%
TO %	11 13.2% 26 14.7%	NOP 15.3% −0.5% WAS 15.8%
ORB %	8 27.0% 21 24.0%	NOP 25.6% +4.4% WAS 21.2%
FTrt	8 28.4 26 23.5	NOP 25.3 WAS 37.9 +12.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 24 59.9%	NOP 58.8% WAS 64.9% +6.1%
STL %	10 8.7% 22 7.8%	NOP 11.1% +1.8% WAS 9.3%
BLK %	7 10.1% 9 10.0%	NOP 7.7% WAS 13.1% +5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.4% 26 55.4%	NOP 59.3% +7.4% WAS 51.9%
Rim FG%	29 61.5% 15 64.7%	NOP 72.7% +12.1% WAS 60.6%
Mid FG%	30 36.6% 26 41.3%	NOP 47.1% +15.5% WAS 31.6%
3P %	24 34.7% 16 35.9%	NOP 32.4% +1.0% WAS 31.4%
FT %	14 78.4% 23 76.6%	NOP 62.5% WAS 66.7% +4.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.8% 22 30.6%	NOP 46.3% +8.4% WAS 37.9%
Mid Att. %	5 21.7% 25 29.1%	NOP 17.9% −3.9% WAS 21.8%
3P Att. %	27 35.5% 20 40.3%	NOP 35.8% WAS 40.2% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	NOP	WAS
Possessions	108	107
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	128	107
Rebounds	51	40
Assists	30	24
Steals	12	10
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	17 (2)	19 (0)
Fouls	22	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (7)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (1)	29 (2)
Field Goals	51-95	37-87
At-the-Rim FG	32-44	20-33
Midrange FG	8-17	6-19
2-Point FG	40-61	26-52
3-Point FG	11-34	11-35
Free Throws	15-24	22-33
Fast Break Pts	8	15
2nd Chance Pts	12	21
Points in Paint	68	46
Pts off Turnovers	25	19
Bench Points	21	54
Biggest Lead	26	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg