Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 11, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Rockets	86%	119	98	114.0	86	84.8
	29	Kings	14%	105	111	129.1	86	87.3

Prediction updated: Jan 12, 2026 01:33 AM

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+25

-11

100

SAC

+23

-9

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.99 49.5%

SAC

1.11 55.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	41.2	31	70%	13	6	0	0	5	2	6	7	9-12	75%	11-16	69%	0-1	0%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	38.2	23	64%	4	6	0	0	1	3	0	4	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	4-9	44%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	35.4	19	43%	9	4	2	1	1	2	4	5	2-6	33%	7-15	47%	1-5	20%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	33.2	9	32%	7	0	1	1	2	1	4	3	1-3	33%	4-10	40%	0-3	0%
Aaron Holiday #0 · SG · 6'0" 185 · 29	28.3	3	21%	1	4	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-7	14%

Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	23.8	3	75%	6	1	0	1	2	2	4	2	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	16.0	4	50%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	14.5	6	100%	0	2	0	1	0	2	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	9.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	50%	44	23	4	5	11	16	19	25	19-29	66%	29-54	54%	7-30	23%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	41.2	31	70%	13	6	0	0	5	2	6	7	9-12	75%	11-16	69%	0-1	0%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	38.2	23	64%	4	6	0	0	1	3	0	4	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	4-9	44%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	35.4	19	43%	9	4	2	1	1	2	4	5	2-6	33%	7-15	47%	1-5	20%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	33.2	9	32%	7	0	1	1	2	1	4	3	1-3	33%	4-10	40%	0-3	0%
Aaron Holiday #0 · SG · 6'0" 185 · 29	28.3	3	21%	1	4	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-7	14%

Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	23.8	3	75%	6	1	0	1	2	2	4	2	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	16.0	4	50%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	14.5	6	100%	0	2	0	1	0	2	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	9.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	50%	44	23	4	5	11	16	19	25	19-29	66%	29-54	54%	7-30	23%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	38.9	10	63%	7	3	3	0	1	3	3	4	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-3	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	37.0	22	73%	2	6	0	0	0	1	0	2	6-6	100%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	33.8	15	63%	6	10	1	0	3	1	2	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	27.8	18	64%	2	1	0	0	3	3	0	2	5-6	83%	2-5	40%	3-6	50%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	20.2	12	60%	9	1	0	0	1	4	3	6	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-0	-

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	26.1	15	63%	4	3	0	1	0	2	0	4	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	22.0	8	44%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	18.8	9	38%	11	1	0	0	1	5	9	2	1-4	25%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	8.8	2	17%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	6.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	DNP - League Suspension
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	56%	45	25	4	1	9	22	18	27	15-20	75%	36-68	53%	8-23	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAC

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.99 49.5%

SAC

1.11 55.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

62%

SAC

60%

Midrange

HOU

46%

SAC

49%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

10.5

23%

35%

SAC

12.0

35%

52%

Free Throws

HOU

66%

SAC

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Thompson	31	70%	15.5 / 22
K. Durant	23	64%	11.5 / 18
A. Sengun	19	43%	9.5 / 22
J. Smith	9	32%	4.5 / 14
R. Sheppard	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. Finney-Smith	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Holiday	3	21%	1.5 / 7
S. Adams	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Okogie	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	22	73%	11.0 / 15
Z. LaVine	18	64%	9.0 / 14
R. Westbrook	15	63%	7.5 / 12
M. Monk	15	63%	7.5 / 12
M. Raynaud	12	60%	6.0 / 10
P. Achiuwa	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Cardwell	9	38%	4.5 / 12
N. Clifford	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. Eubanks	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.5 26 110.6	HOU 114.0 SAC 129.1 +15.1
Pace	29 96.9 17 100.0	HOU 84.8 SAC 87.3 +2.5
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.8 14 14.5	HOU 17.0 SAC 16.5 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.2% 29 52.5%	HOU 47.0% SAC 52.7% +5.7%
TO %	25 14.7% 15 13.7%	HOU 11.8% SAC 9.1% −2.7%
ORB %	1 34.8% 13 25.9%	HOU 41.3% SAC 41.9% +0.6%
FTrt	18 26.0 19 25.6	HOU 34.5 +12.5 SAC 22.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.1% 20 61.5%	HOU 63.9% +7.1% SAC 56.8%
STL %	9 8.7% 21 8.0%	HOU 4.7% SAC 4.7%
BLK %	4 10.9% 19 8.6%	HOU 7.4% +5.5% SAC 1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 56.1% 29 54.7%	HOU 49.5% SAC 55.5% +6.0%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 8 65.9%	HOU 61.5% +1.5% SAC 60.0%
Mid FG%	9 44.3% 13 43.8%	HOU 46.4% SAC 48.8% +2.4%
3P %	10 36.4% 29 34.1%	HOU 23.3% SAC 34.8% +11.5%
FT %	25 76.3% 21 77.2%	HOU 65.5% SAC 75.0% +9.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.7% 28 28.0%	HOU 31.0% +3.5% SAC 27.5%
Mid Att. %	29 34.2% 30 38.1%	HOU 33.3% −13.9% SAC 47.3%
3P Att. %	28 35.0% 30 33.9%	HOU 35.7% +10.4% SAC 25.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	HOU	SAC
Possessions	86	86
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	98	111
Rebounds	44	45
Assists	23	25
Steals	4	4
Blocks	5	1
Turnovers (Team)	11 (2)	9 (1)
Fouls	16	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (6)	18 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (0)	27 (2)
Field Goals	36-84	44-91
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	15-25
Midrange FG	13-28	21-43
2-Point FG	29-54	36-68
3-Point FG	7-30	8-23
Free Throws	19-29	15-20
Fast Break Pts	12	7
2nd Chance Pts	18	29
Points in Paint	52	50
Pts off Turnovers	10	18
Bench Points	13	34
Biggest Lead	4	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg