Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 9, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Kings	11%	105	103	110.8	93	97.1
	1	Warriors	89%	121	137	145.7	94	90.2

Prediction updated: Jan 10, 2026 03:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+13

-12

GSW

+21

-10

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.10 54.8%

GSW

1.33 66.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	34.9	24	57%	2	3	3	0	0	1	2	0	3-5	60%	9-17	53%	1-2	50%
Zach LaVine #8 · PF · 6'5" 200 · 31	30.5	15	50%	3	3	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	6-8	75%	1-7	14%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	28.2	13	59%	4	7	0	0	3	4	0	4	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	26.3	8	67%	7	2	0	2	2	3	2	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	25.4	5	50%	2	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	24.9	6	50%	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-3	67%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	21.7	6	60%	8	1	0	1	0	1	4	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	20.4	15	68%	3	3	1	0	1	1	1	2	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	19.4	8	40%	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · C · 6'8" 243 · 26	4.5	1	50%	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	3.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial meniscus tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	55%	31	23	6	6	12	15	10	21	10-13	77%	36-59	61%	7-27	26%

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29 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	34.9	24	57%	2	3	3	0	0	1	2	0	3-5	60%	9-17	53%	1-2	50%
Zach LaVine #8 · PF · 6'5" 200 · 31	30.5	15	50%	3	3	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	6-8	75%	1-7	14%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	28.2	13	59%	4	7	0	0	3	4	0	4	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	26.3	8	67%	7	2	0	2	2	3	2	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	25.4	5	50%	2	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	24.9	6	50%	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-3	67%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	21.7	6	60%	8	1	0	1	0	1	4	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	20.4	15	68%	3	3	1	0	1	1	1	2	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	19.4	8	40%	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · C · 6'8" 243 · 26	4.5	1	50%	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	3.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial meniscus tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	55%	31	23	6	6	12	15	10	21	10-13	77%	36-59	61%	7-27	26%

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1 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	31.9	27	64%	0	10	1	2	2	0	0	0	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	6-12	50%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	27.2	11	79%	6	8	1	0	3	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	22.8	15	68%	6	6	0	0	2	0	4	2	3-3	100%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	21.7	7	58%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	13.1	11	61%	2	2	0	3	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-8	38%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	22.4	14	100%	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	4	6-6	100%	4-4	100%	0-2	0%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	18.7	19	79%	0	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	18.1	4	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	17.9	12	86%	9	1	0	0	0	0	4	5	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	16.4	2	50%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	16.4	9	75%	5	2	0	1	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	4.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	4.5	0	0%	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	4.5	6	75%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	67%	41	39	4	6	10	13	14	27	14-14	100%	33-50	66%	19-45	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	GSW

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.10 54.8%

GSW

1.33 66.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

74%

GSW

68%

Midrange

SAC

55%

GSW

64%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

10.5

26%

39%

GSW

28.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

SAC

77%

GSW

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	24	57%	12.0 / 21
Z. LaVine	15	50%	7.5 / 15
D. Schröder	15	68%	7.5 / 11
R. Westbrook	13	59%	6.5 / 11
M. Raynaud	8	67%	4.0 / 6
M. Monk	8	40%	4.0 / 10
N. Clifford	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Cardwell	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Ellis	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Carter	2	100%	1.0 / 1
P. Achiuwa	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	27	64%	13.5 / 21
D. Melton	19	79%	9.5 / 12
J. Butler	15	68%	7.5 / 11
B. Podziemski	14	100%	7.0 / 7
G. Payton	12	86%	6.0 / 7
D. Green	11	79%	5.5 / 7
Q. Post	11	61%	5.5 / 9
A. Horford	9	75%	4.5 / 6
M. Moody	7	58%	3.5 / 6
B. Hield	6	75%	3.0 / 4
G. Santos	4	50%	2.0 / 4
W. Richard	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Jackson-Davis	0	-	0.0 / 2
P. Spencer	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 19 114.0	SAC 110.8 GSW 145.7 +35.0
Pace	17 100.0 18 99.9	SAC 97.1 +6.9 GSW 90.2
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 10 14.7	SAC 14.8 −1.1 GSW 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 13 55.0%	SAC 54.1% GSW 64.7% +10.6%
TO %	15 13.7% 28 14.9%	SAC 12.4% GSW 9.8% −2.6%
ORB %	13 25.9% 14 25.8%	SAC 27.0% GSW 40.0% +13.0%
FTrt	19 25.6 24 23.8	SAC 15.1 +0.4 GSW 14.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 1 70.6%	SAC 53.5% GSW 75.0% +21.5%
STL %	21 8.0% 3 9.6%	SAC 6.5% +2.2% GSW 4.3%
BLK %	19 8.6% 27 8.0%	SAC 12.0% +1.8% GSW 10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 11 57.1%	SAC 54.8% GSW 66.5% +11.7%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 5 66.7%	SAC 73.7% +5.7% GSW 68.0%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 22 42.1%	SAC 55.0% GSW 64.0% +9.0%
3P %	29 34.1% 20 35.6%	SAC 25.9% GSW 42.2% +16.3%
FT %	21 77.2% 6 80.7%	SAC 76.9% GSW 100.0% +23.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 24 29.5%	SAC 22.1% GSW 26.3% +4.2%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 3 20.8%	SAC 46.5% GSW 26.3% −20.2%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 1 49.7%	SAC 31.4% GSW 47.4% +16.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	GSW
Possessions	93	94
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	103	137
Rebounds	31	41
Assists	23	39
Steals	6	4
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls	15	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	14 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	21 (3)	27 (3)
Field Goals	43-86	52-95
At-the-Rim FG	14-19	17-25
Midrange FG	22-40	16-25
2-Point FG	36-59	33-50
3-Point FG	7-27	19-45
Free Throws	10-13	14-14
Fast Break Pts	12	2
2nd Chance Pts	19	18
Points in Paint	50	60
Pts off Turnovers	13	20
Bench Points	38	66
Biggest Lead	3	35

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg