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All Games Wednesday, January 14, 2026
Final W-Prob pScoreORTG #Poss Pace
21
Nuggets
54%115
118
122.9 96 87.6
26
Mavericks
46%113
109
113.5 96 106.1
Prediction updated: Jan 15, 2026 02:32 AM
21 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29
38.1
33
63%
2
5
0
0
3
5
0
2
5-5
100%
11-18
61%
2-6
33%
Spencer Jones
#21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25
32.3
10
83%
5
2
0
0
1
5
1
4
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
Peyton Watson
#8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23
30.6
18
64%
5
2
0
0
2
5
0
5
4-5
80%
4-7
57%
2-5
40%
Aaron Gordon
#32 · C · 6'8" 235 · 30
29.9
22
79%
6
3
0
1
0
2
1
5
3-5
60%
5-7
71%
3-5
60%
Jalen Pickett
#24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26
27.6
9
50%
6
3
2
0
2
3
2
4
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
2-4
50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
#10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34
35.8
12
50%
3
4
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
4-10
40%
Bruce Brown
#11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29
23.6
7
58%
5
1
0
0
1
3
2
3
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Zeke Nnaji
#22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25
17.5
4
40%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
DaRon Holmes II
#14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23
4.6
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
Hunter Tyson
#5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther
#3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones
#1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Braun
#0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
Cameron Johnson
#23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Tamar Bates
#7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot; Surgery
Nikola Jokić
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Jonas Valančiūnas
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
 62%
39
21
4
1
9
25
7
32
18-22
82%
26-47
55%
16-38
42%

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / W-Prob
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.23 61.5%
DAL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
12
15
80%
DAL
22
27
81%
Midrange
DEN
14
32
44%
DAL
14
32
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
16
24.0
38
42%
63%
DAL
5
7.5
34
15%
22%
Free Throws
DEN
18
22
82%
DAL
22
33
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray3363%16.5 / 26
A. Gordon2279%11.0 / 14
P. Watson1864%9.0 / 14
T. Hardaway1250%6.0 / 12
S. Jones1083%5.0 / 6
J. Pickett950%4.5 / 9
B. Brown758%3.5 / 6
Z. Nnaji440%2.0 / 5
D. Holmes375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Marshall2463%12.0 / 19
B. Williams2053%10.0 / 19
C. Martin1583%7.5 / 9
P. Washington1238%6.0 / 16
J. Hardy836%4.0 / 11
K. Thompson850%4.0 / 8
D. Gafford675%3.0 / 4
C. Flagg633%3.0 / 9
D. Powell5125%2.5 / 2
R. Nembhard542%2.5 / 6
M. Kelly0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
1
121.3
27
110.4
DEN 122.9 +9.4
DAL 113.5
Pace
19
99.4
6
102.5
DEN 87.6
DAL 106.1 +18.5
Avg. Poss. Time
9
14.7
24
14.0
DEN 16.4
DAL 13.6 −2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
1
57.7%
28
52.7%
DEN 58.8% +12.0%
DAL 46.8%
TO %
3
12.1%
13
13.5%
DEN 8.7%
DAL 5.3% −3.4%
ORB %
24
23.6%
26
23.2%
DEN 17.1%
DAL 28.9% +11.8%
FTrt
4
29.4
6
28.7
DEN 25.9
DAL 35.5 +9.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
9
66.5%
22
60.4%
DEN 50.0% +11.0%
DAL 39.0%
STL %
30
6.8%
27
7.3%
DEN 4.2%
DAL 6.3% +2.1%
BLK %
29
7.6%
16
9.0%
DEN 1.7%
DAL 6.4% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
1
60.1%
28
55.2%
DEN 61.5% +11.5%
DAL 50.0%
Rim FG%
12
65.1%
22
63.2%
DEN 80.0%
DAL 81.5% +1.5%
Mid FG%
2
47.0%
18
43.1%
DEN 43.8%
DAL 43.8%
3P %
1
39.6%
26
34.4%
DEN 42.1% +27.4%
DAL 14.7%
FT %
5
80.8%
28
75.5%
DEN 81.8% +15.1%
DAL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
19
31.1%
12
32.8%
DEN 17.6%
DAL 29.0% +11.4%
Mid Att. %
21
28.1%
28
31.7%
DEN 37.6%
DAL 34.4% −3.2%
3P Att. %
17
40.8%
26
35.5%
DEN 44.7% +8.1%
DAL 36.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points118109
Rebounds3947
Assists2116
Steals46
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)6 (0)
Fouls2520
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (5)34 (2)
Field Goals42-8541-93
At-the-Rim FG12-1522-27
Midrange FG14-3214-32
2-Point FG26-4736-59
3-Point FG16-385-34
Free Throws18-2222-33
Fast Break Pts1030
2nd Chance Pts1310
Points in Paint4666
Pts off Turnovers814
Bench Points2653
Biggest Lead233