Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 15, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Suns	40%	107	105	105.0	100	106.4
	8	Pistons	60%	110	108	108.0	100	94.3

Prediction updated: Jan 16, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

PHX

+13

-13

100

DET

+16

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX

1.06 53.0%

DET

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 27	36.3	18	82%	2	6	2	0	3	3	0	2	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 30	30.6	33	63%	5	0	0	3	2	4	1	4	4-4	100%	4-5	80%	7-20	35%
Royce O'Neale #00 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 33	29.2	11	46%	7	7	0	0	2	0	1	6	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	3-8	38%
Dillon Brooks #3 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 30	28.5	16	44%	1	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	6-7	86%	2-10	20%	2-6	33%
Mark Williams #15 · C · 7'1" 240 · 24	22.4	5	50%	6	2	1	4	1	3	2	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Jordan Goodwin #23 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 27	31.6	7	39%	12	3	3	1	1	5	2	10	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Oso Ighodaro #11 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 24	25.6	10	50%	3	0	6	1	0	3	1	2	2-5	40%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 23	19.4	5	63%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Livers #18 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 27	13.8	0	0%	2	1	2	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Rasheer Fleming #20 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Khaman Maluach #10 · C · 7'1" 250 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nick Richards #2 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nigel Hayes-Davis #21 · SF · 6'7" 254 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Koby Brea #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	INACTIVE
Devin Booker #1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Jamaree Bouyea #17 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 27	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	41	21	14	9	13	25	9	32	16-25	64%	19-41	46%	17-46	37%

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14 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 27	36.3	18	82%	2	6	2	0	3	3	0	2	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 30	30.6	33	63%	5	0	0	3	2	4	1	4	4-4	100%	4-5	80%	7-20	35%
Royce O'Neale #00 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 33	29.2	11	46%	7	7	0	0	2	0	1	6	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	3-8	38%
Dillon Brooks #3 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 30	28.5	16	44%	1	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	6-7	86%	2-10	20%	2-6	33%
Mark Williams #15 · C · 7'1" 240 · 24	22.4	5	50%	6	2	1	4	1	3	2	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Jordan Goodwin #23 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 27	31.6	7	39%	12	3	3	1	1	5	2	10	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Oso Ighodaro #11 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 24	25.6	10	50%	3	0	6	1	0	3	1	2	2-5	40%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 23	19.4	5	63%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Livers #18 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 27	13.8	0	0%	2	1	2	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Rasheer Fleming #20 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Khaman Maluach #10 · C · 7'1" 250 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nick Richards #2 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nigel Hayes-Davis #21 · SF · 6'7" 254 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Koby Brea #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	INACTIVE
Devin Booker #1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Jamaree Bouyea #17 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 27	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	41	21	14	9	13	25	9	32	16-25	64%	19-41	46%	17-46	37%

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8 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	38.5	10	25%	4	11	0	1	5	0	0	4	4-9	44%	3-9	33%	0-7	0%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 34	28.5	16	62%	7	2	5	0	0	0	2	5	4-4	100%	6-9	67%	0-2	0%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	28.4	16	62%	18	2	0	2	1	1	4	14	0-1	0%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	27.0	19	79%	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	1-3	33%	3-5	60%	4-7	57%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	19.1	5	36%	6	2	0	0	0	4	4	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%

Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	22.0	4	50%	4	0	0	2	2	2	1	3	4-4	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 21	21.4	11	61%	9	1	1	0	5	3	0	9	5-9	56%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	16.9	15	94%	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-5	60%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	16.0	5	42%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	2-3	67%	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	15.9	2	100%	3	3	2	0	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 24	6.2	5	125%	0	3	1	1	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaac Jones #13 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	55%	54	25	10	7	17	15	14	40	23-37	62%	29-49	59%	9-32	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	DET
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	DET

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

PHX

1.06 53.0%

DET

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHX

62%

DET

62%

Midrange

PHX

39%

DET

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHX

25.5

37%

55%

DET

13.5

28%

42%

Free Throws

PHX

64%

DET

62%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Allen	33	63%	16.5 / 26
C. Gillespie	18	82%	9.0 / 11
D. Brooks	16	44%	8.0 / 18
R. O'Neale	11	46%	5.5 / 12
O. Ighodaro	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Goodwin	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Williams	5	50%	2.5 / 5
R. Dunn	5	63%	2.5 / 4
I. Livers	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Robinson	19	79%	9.5 / 12
T. Harris	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Duren	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Ivey	15	94%	7.5 / 8
R. Holland	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. Cunningham	10	25%	5.0 / 20
A. Thompson	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Green	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Jenkins	5	125%	2.5 / 2
I. Stewart	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. LeVert	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 114.3 9 117.4	PHX 105.0 DET 108.0 +3.0
Pace	23 98.2 20 99.3	PHX 106.4 +12.0 DET 94.3
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.5 13 14.5	PHX 13.5 −1.7 DET 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 53.7% 15 54.7%	PHX 51.1% DET 52.5% +1.4%
TO %	16 13.7% 21 14.1%	PHX 12.5% −2.4% DET 14.9%
ORB %	7 28.9% 3 30.9%	PHX 18.4% DET 30.4% +12.0%
FTrt	28 22.5 5 29.2	PHX 28.7 DET 45.7 +17.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.1% 16 64.1%	PHX 58.3% DET 65.8% +7.5%
STL %	2 9.7% 1 10.4%	PHX 14.0% +4.0% DET 10.0%
BLK %	21 8.4% 1 13.2%	PHX 18.4% +1.3% DET 17.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	27 55.3% 12 57.0%	PHX 53.0% DET 55.1% +2.1%
Rim FG%	18 64.0% 16 64.7%	PHX 61.5% DET 61.5%
Mid FG%	17 43.3% 27 40.5%	PHX 39.3% DET 56.5% +17.2%
3P %	12 36.1% 17 35.6%	PHX 37.0% +8.9% DET 28.1%
FT %	15 78.1% 27 76.3%	PHX 64.0% +1.8% DET 62.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 26.3% 2 40.1%	PHX 14.9% DET 32.1% +17.2%
Mid Att. %	22 28.4% 11 25.3%	PHX 32.2% DET 28.4% −3.8%
3P Att. %	7 45.3% 29 34.5%	PHX 52.9% +13.4% DET 39.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Game Totals	PHX	DET
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	105	108
Rebounds	41	54
Assists	21	25
Steals	14	10
Blocks	9	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	25	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (4)	40 (3)
Field Goals	36-87	38-81
At-the-Rim FG	8-13	16-26
Midrange FG	11-28	13-23
2-Point FG	19-41	29-49
3-Point FG	17-46	9-32
Free Throws	16-25	23-37
Fast Break Pts	15	9
2nd Chance Pts	12	20
Points in Paint	30	44
Pts off Turnovers	19	16
Bench Points	22	42
Biggest Lead	16	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg