Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 13, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Blazers	20%	108	97	95.1	102	107.6
	2	Warriors	80%	118	119	116.7	102	96.9

Prediction updated: Jan 14, 2026 03:36 AM

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+12

-22

GSW

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.05 52.7%

GSW

1.24 62.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Caleb Love #2 · PG · 6'3" 212 · 24	33.9	17	45%	3	7	2	1	4	2	1	2	5-8	63%	3-7	43%	2-9	22%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	28.7	6	38%	4	2	0	1	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-6	33%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	28.0	19	59%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-2	0%	8-10	80%	1-5	20%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	26.1	3	38%	3	0	0	0	3	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	22.3	7	88%	9	1	0	0	3	1	1	8	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	26.8	13	65%	1	2	2	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	20.9	12	46%	8	3	0	0	3	2	2	6	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	2-8	25%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	15.9	11	110%	8	0	1	1	3	1	1	7	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-1	100%
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 27	13.5	3	30%	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	12.6	3	50%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	11.3	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendonapthy
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Strain
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendonitis
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Soreness
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	53%	45	20	7	3	22	16	8	37	11-17	65%	22-36	61%	14-47	30%

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25 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Caleb Love #2 · PG · 6'3" 212 · 24	33.9	17	45%	3	7	2	1	4	2	1	2	5-8	63%	3-7	43%	2-9	22%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	28.7	6	38%	4	2	0	1	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-6	33%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	28.0	19	59%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-2	0%	8-10	80%	1-5	20%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	26.1	3	38%	3	0	0	0	3	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	22.3	7	88%	9	1	0	0	3	1	1	8	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	26.8	13	65%	1	2	2	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	20.9	12	46%	8	3	0	0	3	2	2	6	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	2-8	25%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	15.9	11	110%	8	0	1	1	3	1	1	7	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-1	100%
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 27	13.5	3	30%	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	12.6	3	50%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	11.3	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendonapthy
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Strain
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendonitis
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Soreness
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	53%	45	20	7	3	22	16	8	37	11-17	65%	22-36	61%	14-47	30%

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2 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	26.4	16	89%	6	5	0	0	0	3	0	6	5-5	100%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	24.5	7	39%	4	11	1	0	1	1	0	4	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	2-8	25%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	22.8	14	78%	2	3	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-8	50%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	22.1	10	56%	7	0	2	2	6	1	1	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	14.2	3	30%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	21.5	15	75%	4	1	2	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	21.4	6	75%	4	6	4	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	20.1	6	50%	2	4	1	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	18.5	8	67%	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-5	40%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	18.1	23	82%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	4-6	67%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	12.9	8	67%	1	1	2	0	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	5.8	3	30%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	5.8	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	5.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	62%	34	34	16	5	14	14	4	30	12-13	92%	19-32	59%	23-57	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	POR	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.05 52.7%

GSW

1.24 62.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

55%

GSW

87%

Midrange

POR

69%

GSW

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

21.0

30%

45%

GSW

34.5

40%

61%

Free Throws

POR

65%

GSW

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Sharpe	19	59%	9.5 / 16
C. Love	17	45%	8.5 / 19
R. Rupert	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Holiday	12	46%	6.0 / 13
R. Williams	11	110%	5.5 / 5
D. Clingan	7	88%	3.5 / 4
T. Camara	6	38%	3.0 / 8
S. Cissoko	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Cooke	3	30%	1.5 / 5
Y. Hansen	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Reath	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Melton	23	82%	11.5 / 14
J. Butler	16	89%	8.0 / 9
B. Podziemski	15	75%	7.5 / 10
M. Moody	14	78%	7.0 / 9
D. Green	10	56%	5.0 / 9
W. Richard	8	67%	4.0 / 6
G. Payton	8	67%	4.0 / 6
S. Curry	7	39%	3.5 / 9
G. Santos	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Horford	6	50%	3.0 / 6
Q. Post	3	30%	1.5 / 5
B. Hield	3	30%	1.5 / 5
P. Spencer	0	-	0.0 / 1
T. Jackson-Davis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.1 19 114.0	POR 95.1 GSW 116.7 +21.6
Pace	8 101.6 18 99.9	POR 107.6 +10.8 GSW 96.9
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.2 10 14.7	POR 13.4 −1.5 GSW 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 53.3% 13 55.0%	POR 51.8% GSW 60.1% +8.3%
TO %	30 16.1% 28 14.9%	POR 19.6% GSW 12.9% −6.7%
ORB %	2 31.3% 14 25.8%	POR 21.1% +11.3% GSW 9.8%
FTrt	9 28.0 24 23.8	POR 20.5 +5.9 GSW 14.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 61.6% 1 70.6%	POR 55.6% GSW 81.0% +25.4%
STL %	20 8.1% 3 9.6%	POR 6.9% GSW 15.7% +8.8%
BLK %	8 10.1% 27 8.0%	POR 9.4% GSW 13.9% +4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.6% 11 57.1%	POR 52.7% GSW 62.0% +9.3%
Rim FG%	19 63.9% 5 66.7%	POR 55.0% GSW 86.7% +31.7%
Mid FG%	29 37.4% 22 42.1%	POR 68.8% +33.5% GSW 35.3%
3P %	28 34.2% 20 35.6%	POR 29.8% GSW 40.4% +10.6%
FT %	24 76.5% 6 80.7%	POR 64.7% GSW 92.3% +27.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 24 29.5%	POR 24.1% +7.2% GSW 16.9%
Mid Att. %	2 17.6% 3 20.8%	POR 19.3% GSW 19.1% −0.2%
3P Att. %	3 46.8% 1 49.7%	POR 56.6% GSW 64.0% +7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	POR	GSW
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	97	119
Rebounds	45	34
Assists	20	34
Steals	7	16
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	22 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	16	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	4 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (3)	30 (8)
Field Goals	36-83	42-89
At-the-Rim FG	11-20	13-15
Midrange FG	11-16	6-17
2-Point FG	22-36	19-32
3-Point FG	14-47	23-57
Free Throws	11-17	12-13
Fast Break Pts	13	16
2nd Chance Pts	11	8
Points in Paint	36	36
Pts off Turnovers	21	29
Bench Points	45	69
Biggest Lead	0	29

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg