Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 15, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Grizzlies	42%	112	111	109.9	101	108.0
	13	Magic	58%	115	118	115.7	102	95.8

Prediction updated: Jan 15, 2026 06:56 PM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+11

-16

ORL

+24

-16

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.18 59.0%

ORL

1.08 54.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	32.6	30	65%	3	1	2	2	4	3	0	3	3-3	100%	9-17	53%	3-5	60%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	29.9	6	60%	5	1	1	1	1	2	1	4	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	27.4	17	65%	3	2	0	2	2	4	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Cam Spencer #24 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 26	26.9	7	44%	7	11	0	0	1	0	2	5	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	17.8	2	14%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	30.3	18	75%	5	1	1	0	1	3	2	3	2-3	67%	2-7	29%	4-4	100%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	22.1	15	107%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-3	100%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	20.6	10	63%	1	4	1	0	3	4	1	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	18.4	6	60%	8	3	0	0	0	1	1	7	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	13.8	0	0%	2	2	0	1	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Contusion
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	59%	37	27	5	6	16	18	7	30	18-21	86%	21-47	45%	17-36	47%

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18 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	32.6	30	65%	3	1	2	2	4	3	0	3	3-3	100%	9-17	53%	3-5	60%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	29.9	6	60%	5	1	1	1	1	2	1	4	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	27.4	17	65%	3	2	0	2	2	4	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Cam Spencer #24 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 26	26.9	7	44%	7	11	0	0	1	0	2	5	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	17.8	2	14%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	30.3	18	75%	5	1	1	0	1	3	2	3	2-3	67%	2-7	29%	4-4	100%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	22.1	15	107%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-3	100%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	20.6	10	63%	1	4	1	0	3	4	1	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	18.4	6	60%	8	3	0	0	0	1	1	7	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	13.8	0	0%	2	2	0	1	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Contusion
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	59%	37	27	5	6	16	18	7	30	18-21	86%	21-47	45%	17-36	47%

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13 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	37.1	26	72%	13	4	4	0	2	2	3	10	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	4-8	50%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 22	35.5	21	70%	6	7	1	0	1	1	0	6	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	4-7	57%
Desmond Bane #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	33.8	13	46%	4	5	0	2	3	2	2	2	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	28.5	9	56%	6	3	0	1	1	2	2	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	26.7	18	50%	9	2	0	0	4	3	5	4	3-4	75%	3-12	25%	3-4	75%

Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	21.5	8	33%	4	2	4	0	2	0	2	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-4	0%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	17.6	9	64%	5	2	0	1	2	3	2	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	14.4	7	88%	4	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Tyus Jones #2 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	12.5	2	20%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	12.4	5	42%	3	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	DNP – Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Orlando Robinson #7 · C · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Fracture
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	54%	54	28	9	4	16	15	19	35	21-23	91%	26-55	47%	15-40	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.18 59.0%

ORL

1.08 54.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

63%

ORL

54%

Midrange

MEM

35%

ORL

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

25.5

47%

71%

ORL

22.5

38%

56%

Free Throws

MEM

86%

ORL

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	30	65%	15.0 / 23
S. Aldama	18	75%	9.0 / 12
C. Coward	17	65%	8.5 / 13
G. Jackson	15	107%	7.5 / 7
V. Williams	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Spencer	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Landale	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Konchar	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Wells	2	14%	1.0 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	26	72%	13.0 / 18
A. Black	21	70%	10.5 / 15
F. Wagner	18	50%	9.0 / 18
D. Bane	13	46%	6.5 / 14
W. Carter	9	56%	4.5 / 8
N. Penda	9	64%	4.5 / 7
T. da Silva	8	33%	4.0 / 12
M. Wagner	7	88%	3.5 / 4
G. Bitadze	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Jones	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 17 114.3	MEM 109.9 ORL 115.7 +5.8
Pace	7 101.8 14 100.5	MEM 108.0 +12.3 ORL 95.8
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 17 14.2	MEM 13.3 −1.7 ORL 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 26 53.0%	MEM 56.0% +4.9% ORL 51.1%
TO %	22 14.3% 12 13.5%	MEM 14.8% ORL 13.2% −1.6%
ORB %	19 24.7% 18 25.0%	MEM 16.7% ORL 38.8% +22.1%
FTrt	21 25.1 2 31.1	MEM 25.3 +1.1 ORL 24.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 12 64.7%	MEM 71.1% +2.8% ORL 68.3%
STL %	11 8.7% 16 8.4%	MEM 5.0% ORL 8.8% +3.8%
BLK %	14 9.1% 17 8.8%	MEM 10.9% +2.4% ORL 8.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 19 56.3%	MEM 59.0% +4.9% ORL 54.1%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 24 63.0%	MEM 62.5% +8.4% ORL 54.1%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 24 41.5%	MEM 35.5% +2.2% ORL 33.3%
3P %	22 35.3% 27 34.3%	MEM 47.2% +9.7% ORL 37.5%
FT %	9 79.3% 8 80.1%	MEM 85.7% ORL 91.3% +5.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 4 35.7%	MEM 19.3% ORL 38.9% +19.7%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 12 25.7%	MEM 37.3% ORL 18.9% −18.4%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 24 38.6%	MEM 43.4% +1.3% ORL 42.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	ORL
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.6
Points	111	118
Rebounds	37	54
Assists	27	28
Steals	5	9
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	18	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (4)	19 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	35 (3)
Field Goals	38-83	41-95
At-the-Rim FG	10-16	20-37
Midrange FG	11-31	6-18
2-Point FG	21-47	26-55
3-Point FG	17-36	15-40
Free Throws	18-21	21-23
Fast Break Pts	12	20
2nd Chance Pts	12	14
Points in Paint	38	50
Pts off Turnovers	19	24
Bench Points	49	31
Biggest Lead	20	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg