Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 15, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Hawks	59%	118	101	97.1	104	114.2
	25	Blazers	41%	115	117	112.5	104	95.5

Prediction updated: Jan 16, 2026 03:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+10

-18

POR

+18

-14

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.05 52.6%

POR

1.08 54.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	37.9	12	55%	11	6	0	0	6	3	0	11	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	36.8	26	62%	9	2	3	1	4	5	3	6	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	5-15	33%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	33.4	10	56%	5	1	1	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	29.4	11	61%	6	7	1	0	3	3	2	4	5-6	83%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 26	20.8	8	80%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	28.7	20	50%	3	4	1	1	1	2	1	2	7-11	64%	5-9	56%	1-6	17%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	21.3	6	50%	3	2	2	1	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Luke Kennard #4 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	18.6	5	50%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	13.2	3	30%	2	0	1	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Contusion
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #0 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Torn ACL
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	53%	40	23	10	4	18	19	7	33	17-22	77%	21-37	57%	14-44	32%

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15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	37.9	12	55%	11	6	0	0	6	3	0	11	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	36.8	26	62%	9	2	3	1	4	5	3	6	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	5-15	33%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	33.4	10	56%	5	1	1	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	29.4	11	61%	6	7	1	0	3	3	2	4	5-6	83%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 26	20.8	8	80%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	28.7	20	50%	3	4	1	1	1	2	1	2	7-11	64%	5-9	56%	1-6	17%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	21.3	6	50%	3	2	2	1	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Luke Kennard #4 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	18.6	5	50%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	13.2	3	30%	2	0	1	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Contusion
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #0 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Torn ACL
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	53%	40	23	10	4	18	19	7	33	17-22	77%	21-37	57%	14-44	32%

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25 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	38.1	11	37%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-9	11%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	33.2	24	67%	9	5	2	0	5	1	2	7	6-6	100%	6-10	60%	2-5	40%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	28.4	9	41%	12	1	0	0	1	2	6	6	3-7	43%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	22.0	6	43%	3	1	1	0	0	3	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	20.5	12	50%	4	4	3	0	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%

Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	25.6	12	50%	3	4	3	0	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	23.0	16	62%	2	3	0	2	1	4	0	2	7-9	78%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	19.6	6	75%	11	2	1	2	0	0	2	9	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	16.2	13	93%	3	2	3	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	13.3	8	57%	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Strain
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Soreness
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinopathy
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	54%	54	23	13	5	14	15	16	38	17-24	71%	29-49	59%	14-46	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	POR
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	POR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.05 52.6%

POR

1.08 54.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

68%

POR

77%

Midrange

ATL

44%

POR

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

21.0

32%

48%

POR

21.0

30%

46%

Free Throws

ATL

77%

POR

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Okongwu	26	62%	13.0 / 21
C. McCollum	20	50%	10.0 / 20
J. Johnson	12	55%	6.0 / 11
N. Alexander-Walker	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. Daniels	10	56%	5.0 / 9
V. Krejčí	8	80%	4.0 / 5
M. Gueye	6	50%	3.0 / 6
L. Kennard	5	50%	2.5 / 5
C. Kispert	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Sharpe	24	67%	12.0 / 18
J. Grant	16	62%	8.0 / 13
R. Rupert	13	93%	6.5 / 7
J. Holiday	12	50%	6.0 / 12
C. Love	12	50%	6.0 / 12
T. Camara	11	37%	5.5 / 15
D. Clingan	9	41%	4.5 / 11
D. Reath	8	57%	4.0 / 7
S. Cissoko	6	43%	3.0 / 7
R. Williams	6	75%	3.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 115.1 21 113.1	ATL 97.1 POR 112.5 +15.4
Pace	4 102.5 8 101.6	ATL 114.2 +18.7 POR 95.5
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.5 16 14.2	ATL 12.6 −2.5 POR 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 22 53.3%	ATL 51.9% POR 52.6% +0.7%
TO %	8 13.0% 30 16.1%	ATL 18.1% POR 12.4% −5.7%
ORB %	20 24.3% 2 31.3%	ATL 15.6% POR 32.7% +17.1%
FTrt	27 23.4 9 28.0	ATL 27.2 +1.9 POR 25.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 69.1% 18 61.6%	ATL 65.7% +12.2% POR 53.5%
STL %	6 9.1% 20 8.1%	ATL 9.6% POR 12.5% +2.9%
BLK %	18 8.8% 8 10.1%	ATL 8.2% POR 13.5% +5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 23 55.6%	ATL 52.6% POR 54.2% +1.6%
Rim FG%	21 63.3% 19 63.9%	ATL 68.4% POR 76.9% +8.5%
Mid FG%	6 44.6% 29 37.4%	ATL 44.4% +5.3% POR 39.1%
3P %	5 37.1% 28 34.2%	ATL 31.8% +1.4% POR 30.4%
FT %	20 77.4% 24 76.5%	ATL 77.3% +6.5% POR 70.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 32.1% 5 35.6%	ATL 23.5% POR 27.4% +3.9%
Mid Att. %	9 25.0% 2 17.6%	ATL 22.2% −2.0% POR 24.2%
3P Att. %	11 42.9% 3 46.8%	ATL 54.3% +5.9% POR 48.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	ATL	POR
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	21.9	26.1
Points	101	117
Rebounds	40	54
Assists	23	23
Steals	10	13
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	18 (2)	14 (1)
Fouls	19	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	38 (0)
Field Goals	35-81	43-95
At-the-Rim FG	13-19	20-26
Midrange FG	8-18	9-23
2-Point FG	21-37	29-49
3-Point FG	14-44	14-46
Free Throws	17-22	17-24
Fast Break Pts	15	17
2nd Chance Pts	9	20
Points in Paint	36	52
Pts off Turnovers	12	28
Bench Points	34	55
Biggest Lead	9	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg