Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 15, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Jazz	37%	115	122	110.9	110	108.4
	28	Mavericks	63%	119	144	129.7	111	112.6

Prediction updated: Jan 16, 2026 01:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+15

-17

108

DAL

+12

-13

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.13 56.5%

DAL

1.32 66.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cody Williams #5 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 21	31.0	13	54%	6	0	1	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	5-10	50%	1-2	50%
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	30.4	15	47%	5	3	2	2	3	4	3	2	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	1-5	20%
Isaiah Collier #8 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 21	28.8	10	42%	5	11	1	0	1	0	4	1	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	28.8	17	65%	3	3	1	0	4	0	1	2	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	20.0	8	50%	4	0	1	0	4	4	0	4	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%

Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	31.5	15	58%	2	8	1	0	2	0	0	2	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	27.6	27	79%	5	1	0	0	0	2	2	3	4-4	100%	7-8	88%	3-7	43%
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	26.1	12	60%	6	6	1	1	1	1	1	5	1-6	17%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	15.8	5	42%	3	1	1	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	39	33	9	4	17	14	12	27	18-23	78%	37-60	62%	10-36	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cody Williams #5 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 21	31.0	13	54%	6	0	1	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	5-10	50%	1-2	50%
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	30.4	15	47%	5	3	2	2	3	4	3	2	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	1-5	20%
Isaiah Collier #8 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 21	28.8	10	42%	5	11	1	0	1	0	4	1	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	28.8	17	65%	3	3	1	0	4	0	1	2	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	20.0	8	50%	4	0	1	0	4	4	0	4	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%

Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	31.5	15	58%	2	8	1	0	2	0	0	2	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	27.6	27	79%	5	1	0	0	0	2	2	3	4-4	100%	7-8	88%	3-7	43%
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	26.1	12	60%	6	6	1	1	1	1	1	5	1-6	17%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	15.8	5	42%	3	1	1	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	39	33	9	4	17	14	12	27	18-23	78%	37-60	62%	10-36	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	28.8	14	88%	5	6	3	0	1	4	0	5	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-2	100%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	24.8	19	53%	1	5	0	0	0	3	0	1	5-6	83%	1-2	50%	4-13	31%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	24.7	18	82%	2	3	0	1	3	3	0	2	4-6	67%	7-7	100%	0-1	0%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	24.5	6	75%	7	0	2	2	2	1	1	6	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Naji Marshall #13 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 28	23.8	22	69%	6	4	3	0	1	1	1	5	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	2-5	40%

Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	23.5	10	100%	13	2	0	3	1	3	5	8	2-3	67%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	23.3	8	40%	4	10	0	0	2	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	23.2	26	72%	1	6	1	1	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	6-13	46%
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	22.0	9	56%	0	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-8	38%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	21.5	12	75%	7	0	2	0	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury Management
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	144	66%	46	37	13	7	13	19	9	37	15-19	79%	36-50	72%	19-47	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	DAL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.13 56.5%

DAL

1.32 66.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

58%

DAL

80%

Midrange

UTA

67%

DAL

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

15.0

28%

42%

DAL

28.5

40%

61%

Free Throws

UTA

78%

DAL

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Sensabaugh	27	79%	13.5 / 17
K. George	17	65%	8.5 / 13
A. Bailey	15	47%	7.5 / 16
W. Clayton	15	58%	7.5 / 13
C. Williams	13	54%	6.5 / 12
K. Anderson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
I. Collier	10	42%	5.0 / 12
K. Filipowski	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Hendricks	5	42%	2.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Thompson	26	72%	13.0 / 18
N. Marshall	22	69%	11.0 / 16
J. Hardy	19	53%	9.5 / 18
B. Williams	18	82%	9.0 / 11
C. Martin	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Robinson-Earl	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Cisse	10	100%	5.0 / 5
M. Kelly	9	56%	4.5 / 8
R. Nembhard	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Powell	6	75%	3.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 27 110.4	UTA 110.9 DAL 129.7 +18.8
Pace	2 103.4 6 102.5	UTA 108.4 DAL 112.6 +4.2
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 24 14.0	UTA 13.3 DAL 12.8 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 28 52.7%	UTA 54.2% DAL 66.5% +12.3%
TO %	23 14.4% 13 13.5%	UTA 13.8% DAL 11.0% −2.8%
ORB %	12 26.2% 26 23.2%	UTA 24.5% DAL 25.0% +0.5%
FTrt	10 27.7 6 28.7	UTA 24.0 +4.4 DAL 19.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 22 60.4%	UTA 70.2% +2.9% DAL 67.3%
STL %	14 8.5% 27 7.3%	UTA 8.2% DAL 11.7% +3.5%
BLK %	30 7.5% 16 9.0%	UTA 8.0% DAL 11.7% +3.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 28 55.2%	UTA 56.5% DAL 66.1% +9.6%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 22 63.2%	UTA 58.3% DAL 80.0% +21.7%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 18 43.1%	UTA 66.7% +6.7% DAL 60.0%
3P %	25 34.5% 26 34.4%	UTA 27.8% DAL 40.4% +12.6%
FT %	13 78.6% 28 75.5%	UTA 78.3% DAL 78.9% +0.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 12 32.8%	UTA 37.5% +6.6% DAL 30.9%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 28 31.7%	UTA 25.0% DAL 20.6% −4.4%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 26 35.5%	UTA 37.5% DAL 48.5% +11.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	DAL
Possessions	110	111
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	122	144
Rebounds	39	46
Assists	33	37
Steals	9	13
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	14	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (5)	37 (0)
Field Goals	47-96	55-97
At-the-Rim FG	21-36	24-30
Midrange FG	16-24	12-20
2-Point FG	37-60	36-50
3-Point FG	10-36	19-47
Free Throws	18-23	15-19
Fast Break Pts	26	22
2nd Chance Pts	18	13
Points in Paint	64	58
Pts off Turnovers	16	30
Bench Points	59	65
Biggest Lead	4	38

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg