Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 16, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Pelicans	38%	114	119	122.7	97	108.3
	20	Pacers	62%	118	127	132.3	96	86.9

Prediction updated: Jan 17, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+10

-8

IND

+17

-7

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.20 60.1%

IND

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	37.6	22	48%	4	5	1	1	1	3	1	3	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	5-14	36%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	33.2	27	84%	6	7	1	0	3	3	0	6	7-10	70%	10-12	83%	0-0	-
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	31.7	20	77%	4	1	0	0	0	3	0	4	6-8	75%	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	31.3	16	73%	6	5	2	0	0	2	0	6	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	28.1	14	54%	12	3	0	0	1	1	4	8	4-4	100%	5-11	45%	0-0	-

Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	19.9	2	33%	3	0	0	3	2	1	3	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	16.6	11	79%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	16.4	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	14.8	3	38%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	10.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #9 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Strain
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	60%	42	22	4	4	8	16	8	34	24-30	80%	28-51	55%	13-31	42%

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27 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	37.6	22	48%	4	5	1	1	1	3	1	3	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	5-14	36%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	33.2	27	84%	6	7	1	0	3	3	0	6	7-10	70%	10-12	83%	0-0	-
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	31.7	20	77%	4	1	0	0	0	3	0	4	6-8	75%	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	31.3	16	73%	6	5	2	0	0	2	0	6	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	28.1	14	54%	12	3	0	0	1	1	4	8	4-4	100%	5-11	45%	0-0	-

Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	19.9	2	33%	3	0	0	3	2	1	3	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	16.6	11	79%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	16.4	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	14.8	3	38%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	10.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #9 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Strain
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	60%	42	22	4	4	8	16	8	34	24-30	80%	28-51	55%	13-31	42%

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20 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	33.9	27	61%	6	5	0	1	1	2	0	6	1-2	50%	7-14	50%	4-8	50%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	33.3	19	68%	3	10	0	0	3	2	0	3	3-3	100%	5-7	71%	2-6	33%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	33.0	12	46%	4	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	2-8	25%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	29.3	29	85%	9	1	2	2	0	3	3	6	0-0	-	10-11	91%	3-6	50%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	28.6	7	44%	4	2	1	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%

Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	21.3	6	60%	1	3	0	1	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	18.8	3	30%	9	3	0	2	0	1	5	4	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	15.6	8	50%	2	9	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	14.8	4	40%	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	11.5	12	75%	2	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Concussion
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	60%	43	37	5	7	7	22	13	30	8-12	67%	37-58	64%	15-43	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	IND
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.20 60.1%

IND

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

63%

IND

79%

Midrange

NOP

38%

IND

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

19.5

42%

63%

IND

22.5

35%

52%

Free Throws

NOP

80%

IND

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Williamson	27	84%	13.5 / 16
T. Murphy	22	48%	11.0 / 23
S. Bey	20	77%	10.0 / 13
J. Fears	16	73%	8.0 / 11
D. Queen	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Poole	11	79%	5.5 / 7
B. McGowens	4	67%	2.0 / 3
K. Matković	3	38%	1.5 / 4
Y. Missi	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Hawkins	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Huff	29	85%	14.5 / 17
P. Siakam	27	61%	13.5 / 22
A. Nembhard	19	68%	9.5 / 14
A. Nesmith	12	46%	6.0 / 13
Q. Jackson	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. McConnell	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Furphy	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Walker	6	60%	3.0 / 5
B. Sheppard	4	40%	2.0 / 5
T. Bradley	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.3 28 110.1	NOP 122.7 IND 132.3 +9.6
Pace	11 101.3 10 101.4	NOP 108.3 +21.3 IND 86.9
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.1 25 13.9	NOP 13.3 −3.3 IND 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.7% 23 53.3%	NOP 57.9% IND 58.9% +1.0%
TO %	11 13.2% 14 13.6%	NOP 8.6% IND 6.2% −2.4%
ORB %	8 27.0% 29 21.7%	NOP 21.1% IND 27.7% +6.6%
FTrt	8 28.4 20 25.2	NOP 36.6 +24.7 IND 11.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 5 67.8%	NOP 53.7% IND 71.2% +17.5%
STL %	10 8.7% 28 7.2%	NOP 4.1% IND 5.2% +1.1%
BLK %	7 10.1% 26 8.1%	NOP 6.9% IND 13.7% +6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.4% 24 55.4%	NOP 60.1% +0.2% IND 59.9%
Rim FG%	29 61.5% 25 62.9%	NOP 62.9% IND 78.6% +15.7%
Mid FG%	30 36.6% 19 42.7%	NOP 37.5% IND 50.0% +12.5%
3P %	24 34.7% 18 35.6%	NOP 41.9% +7.0% IND 34.9%
FT %	14 78.4% 17 77.6%	NOP 80.0% +13.3% IND 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.8% 23 30.3%	NOP 42.7% +15.0% IND 27.7%
Mid Att. %	5 21.7% 18 27.5%	NOP 19.5% −10.2% IND 29.7%
3P Att. %	27 35.5% 14 42.2%	NOP 37.8% IND 42.6% +4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	NOP	IND
Possessions	97	96
Possession Minutes	21.5	26.5
Points	119	127
Rebounds	42	43
Assists	22	37
Steals	4	5
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	7 (0)
Fouls	16	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	30 (3)
Field Goals	41-82	52-101
At-the-Rim FG	22-35	22-28
Midrange FG	6-16	15-30
2-Point FG	28-51	37-58
3-Point FG	13-31	15-43
Free Throws	24-30	8-12
Fast Break Pts	16	11
2nd Chance Pts	6	20
Points in Paint	54	66
Pts off Turnovers	6	8
Bench Points	20	33
Biggest Lead	5	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg