Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 13, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Timberwolves	51%	115	139	135.0	103	99.2
	15	Bucks	49%	114	106	105.0	101	105.0

Prediction updated: Jan 14, 2026 12:56 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+15

-15

103

MIL

+12

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.36 68.1%

MIL

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 29	30.1	11	92%	4	7	0	0	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	29.9	29	76%	8	6	1	0	2	3	0	8	1-2	50%	8-11	73%	4-7	57%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	29.6	17	85%	6	5	0	2	1	2	1	5	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	4-6	67%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	28.2	19	73%	3	2	1	0	2	3	0	3	1-3	33%	6-6	100%	2-6	33%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	20.6	9	64%	3	5	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-7	43%

Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	29.7	13	93%	5	2	1	0	1	4	4	1	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	21.1	23	72%	2	5	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	5-7	71%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	18.3	4	33%	6	2	2	0	0	0	3	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	8.3	5	42%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	8.3	7	70%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	8.3	2	50%	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	7.8	0	0%	2	1	2	0	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	NWT - League Suspension
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Abductor Hallucis Strain
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Maintenance
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	139	68%	44	37	9	2	15	16	9	35	7-12	58%	33-50	66%	22-42	52%

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12 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 29	30.1	11	92%	4	7	0	0	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	29.9	29	76%	8	6	1	0	2	3	0	8	1-2	50%	8-11	73%	4-7	57%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	29.6	17	85%	6	5	0	2	1	2	1	5	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	4-6	67%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	28.2	19	73%	3	2	1	0	2	3	0	3	1-3	33%	6-6	100%	2-6	33%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	20.6	9	64%	3	5	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-7	43%

Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	29.7	13	93%	5	2	1	0	1	4	4	1	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	21.1	23	72%	2	5	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	5-7	71%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	18.3	4	33%	6	2	2	0	0	0	3	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	8.3	5	42%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	8.3	7	70%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	8.3	2	50%	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	7.8	0	0%	2	1	2	0	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	NWT - League Suspension
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Abductor Hallucis Strain
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Maintenance
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	139	68%	44	37	9	2	15	16	9	35	7-12	58%	33-50	66%	22-42	52%

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15 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	31.0	25	66%	8	5	1	0	7	4	0	8	7-14	50%	9-12	75%	0-1	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	30.7	11	39%	7	3	0	1	2	0	2	5	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	29.1	13	54%	4	8	3	1	4	3	1	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Bobby Portis #9 · C · 6'9" 250 · 31	27.3	14	58%	7	1	2	0	0	0	2	5	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
AJ Green #20 · SF · 6'4" 190 · 26	26.5	9	50%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-9	33%

Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	20.8	2	100%	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	13.6	6	60%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	12.9	3	75%	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	9.2	5	83%	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 26	9.2	4	40%	2	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	9.2	2	50%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Amir Coffey #17 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	9.2	10	83%	1	0	2	1	1	0	1	0	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 33	7.8	2	33%	1	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	3.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Surgery
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	56%	32	29	12	4	19	14	9	23	11-19	58%	28-49	57%	13-36	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.36 68.1%

MIL

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

83%

MIL

65%

Midrange

MIN

40%

MIL

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

33.0

52%

79%

MIL

19.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

MIN

58%

MIL

58%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Randle	29	76%	14.5 / 19
B. Hyland	23	72%	11.5 / 16
N. Reid	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. McDaniels	17	85%	8.5 / 10
J. Beringer	13	93%	6.5 / 7
D. DiVincenzo	11	92%	5.5 / 6
M. Conley	9	64%	4.5 / 7
L. Miller	7	70%	3.5 / 5
R. Dillingham	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Clark	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Juzang	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	25	66%	12.5 / 19
B. Portis	14	58%	7.0 / 12
K. Porter	13	54%	6.5 / 12
R. Rollins	11	39%	5.5 / 14
A. Coffey	10	83%	5.0 / 6
A. Green	9	50%	4.5 / 9
G. Trent	6	60%	3.0 / 5
P. Nance	5	83%	2.5 / 3
C. Anthony	4	40%	2.0 / 5
G. Harris	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Kuzma	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Jackson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Antetokounmpo	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 115.7 24 112.3	MIN 135.0 +30.0 MIL 105.0
Pace	9 101.4 24 98.1	MIN 99.2 MIL 105.0 +5.8
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 7 14.8	MIN 14.5 MIL 13.7 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.9% 3 56.5%	MIN 71.7% +15.8% MIL 55.9%
TO %	18 13.9% 24 14.7%	MIN 14.1% −3.5% MIL 17.6%
ORB %	15 25.7% 30 21.1%	MIN 28.1% +7.6% MIL 20.5%
FTrt	7 28.5 29 22.3	MIN 13.0 MIL 22.4 +9.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.2% 17 63.3%	MIN 67.3% MIL 70.7% +3.4%
STL %	13 8.6% 23 7.5%	MIN 8.7% MIL 11.9% +3.2%
BLK %	6 10.4% 25 8.2%	MIN 4.1% MIL 8.0% +3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 57.6% 9 57.5%	MIN 68.1% +11.7% MIL 56.4%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 4 67.1%	MIN 83.3% +18.8% MIL 64.5%
Mid FG%	14 43.7% 20 42.6%	MIN 40.0% MIL 44.4% +4.4%
3P %	6 37.0% 2 38.7%	MIN 52.4% +16.3% MIL 36.1%
FT %	29 75.2% 30 73.0%	MIN 58.3% +0.4% MIL 57.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.0% 27 28.2%	MIN 32.6% MIL 36.5% +3.9%
Mid Att. %	10 25.0% 16 26.1%	MIN 21.7% MIL 21.2% −0.6%
3P Att. %	16 42.0% 5 45.7%	MIN 45.7% +3.3% MIL 42.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	MIN	MIL
Possessions	103	101
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	139	106
Rebounds	44	32
Assists	37	29
Steals	9	12
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	19 (1)
Fouls	16	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (6)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	23 (3)
Field Goals	55-92	41-85
At-the-Rim FG	25-30	20-31
Midrange FG	8-20	8-18
2-Point FG	33-50	28-49
3-Point FG	22-42	13-36
Free Throws	7-12	11-19
Fast Break Pts	14	16
2nd Chance Pts	20	11
Points in Paint	58	48
Pts off Turnovers	28	24
Bench Points	54	34
Biggest Lead	41	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg