Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 19, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Pacers	30%	109	104	104.0	100	97.0
	13	76ers	70%	116	113	114.1	99	102.1

Prediction updated: Jan 20, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+17

-22

PHI

+16

-8

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.09 54.7%

PHI

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	36.4	25	74%	2	5	1	0	5	1	1	1	4-5	80%	6-8	75%	3-7	43%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	34.8	24	52%	6	7	0	0	4	3	1	5	2-4	50%	5-13	38%	4-8	50%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	32.4	7	32%	11	1	1	2	6	4	3	8	5-5	100%	1-3	33%	0-6	0%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	22.6	10	71%	6	1	0	3	2	3	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	13.6	3	150%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%

Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	24.8	6	38%	4	3	0	1	0	2	4	0	0-0	-	0-4	0%	2-4	50%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	21.9	8	67%	5	2	0	2	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	18.0	8	80%	7	0	0	0	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	14.2	10	63%	0	3	1	1	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	13.3	3	50%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	7.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	46	24	4	9	22	22	12	34	11-14	79%	27-50	54%	13-34	38%

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24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	36.4	25	74%	2	5	1	0	5	1	1	1	4-5	80%	6-8	75%	3-7	43%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	34.8	24	52%	6	7	0	0	4	3	1	5	2-4	50%	5-13	38%	4-8	50%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	32.4	7	32%	11	1	1	2	6	4	3	8	5-5	100%	1-3	33%	0-6	0%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	22.6	10	71%	6	1	0	3	2	3	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	13.6	3	150%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%

Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	24.8	6	38%	4	3	0	1	0	2	4	0	0-0	-	0-4	0%	2-4	50%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	21.9	8	67%	5	2	0	2	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	18.0	8	80%	7	0	0	0	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	14.2	10	63%	0	3	1	1	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	13.3	3	50%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	7.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	46	24	4	9	22	22	12	34	11-14	79%	27-50	54%	13-34	38%

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13 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	40.2	29	56%	4	8	8	1	2	3	1	3	4-4	100%	11-20	55%	1-4	25%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	35.3	11	42%	5	4	0	0	3	2	1	4	5-9	56%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	35.1	18	60%	1	5	2	1	0	0	0	1	0-2	0%	6-11	55%	2-3	67%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	33.3	30	68%	9	4	0	0	1	1	2	7	9-10	90%	9-16	56%	1-1	100%
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	24.0	11	69%	7	0	2	0	0	2	5	2	3-5	60%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%

Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	23.6	5	50%	6	0	4	0	0	3	1	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	20.0	5	28%	3	1	1	0	1	1	2	1	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	14.7	2	50%	4	0	1	2	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	12.2	2	25%	1	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	53%	40	22	18	5	8	14	15	25	24-36	67%	37-71	52%	5-17	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	IND	PHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.09 54.7%

PHI

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

65%

PHI

60%

Midrange

IND

44%

PHI

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

19.5

38%

57%

PHI

7.5

29%

44%

Free Throws

IND

79%

PHI

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Nembhard	25	74%	12.5 / 17
P. Siakam	24	52%	12.0 / 23
J. Huff	10	71%	5.0 / 7
T. McConnell	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Walker	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. Bradley	8	80%	4.0 / 5
A. Nesmith	7	32%	3.5 / 11
Q. Jackson	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Furphy	3	150%	1.5 / 1
B. Sheppard	3	50%	1.5 / 3
I. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Embiid	30	68%	15.0 / 22
T. Maxey	29	56%	14.5 / 26
K. Oubre	18	60%	9.0 / 15
V. Edgecombe	11	42%	5.5 / 13
D. Barlow	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Walker	5	50%	2.5 / 5
Q. Grimes	5	28%	2.5 / 9
A. Bona	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Watford	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 16 114.4	IND 104.0 PHI 114.1 +10.1
Pace	10 101.4 16 100.3	IND 97.0 PHI 102.1 +5.1
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 11 14.6	IND 14.8 PHI 14.1 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 25 53.0%	IND 55.4% +4.8% PHI 50.6%
TO %	14 13.6% 6 12.8%	IND 21.0% PHI 8.0% −13.0%
ORB %	29 21.7% 11 26.2%	IND 32.4% +1.8% PHI 30.6%
FTrt	20 25.2 11 27.5	IND 16.7 PHI 40.9 +24.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 28 58.9%	IND 60.0% +7.6% PHI 52.4%
STL %	28 7.2% 7 9.0%	IND 4.0% PHI 18.2% +14.2%
BLK %	26 8.1% 3 10.9%	IND 12.7% +2.7% PHI 10.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 21 55.9%	IND 54.7% +1.9% PHI 52.8%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 27 62.1%	IND 65.2% +5.2% PHI 60.0%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 23 41.8%	IND 44.4% +5.9% PHI 38.5%
3P %	18 35.6% 23 34.9%	IND 38.2% +8.8% PHI 29.4%
FT %	17 77.6% 4 80.9%	IND 78.6% +11.9% PHI 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 6 35.0%	IND 27.4% PHI 51.1% +23.8%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 13 25.9%	IND 32.1% PHI 29.5% −2.6%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 23 39.1%	IND 40.5% +21.2% PHI 19.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	PHI
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	104	113
Rebounds	46	40
Assists	24	22
Steals	4	18
Blocks	9	5
Turnovers (Team)	22 (2)	8 (1)
Fouls	22	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	25 (3)
Field Goals	40-84	42-88
At-the-Rim FG	15-23	27-45
Midrange FG	12-27	10-26
2-Point FG	27-50	37-71
3-Point FG	13-34	5-17
Free Throws	11-14	24-36
Fast Break Pts	8	25
2nd Chance Pts	13	20
Points in Paint	38	64
Pts off Turnovers	7	28
Bench Points	35	14
Biggest Lead	10	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg