Final Win Prob. pScore
1649%117
110
2351%118
87
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo Hornets
127.98683.0
DEN logo Nuggets
101.28689.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

NuggetsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.110
87
Q4 - 0:24.4NuggetsJalen Pickett makes three point jump shot (Hunter Tyson assists)110
87
Q4 - 0:37.0HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner makes two point cutting dunk (Sion James assists)110
84
Q4 - 0:59.4NuggetsJulian Strawther makes two point driving layup (Zeke Nnaji assists)108
84
Q4 - 1:10HornetsHornets turnover (shot clock violation)108
82
Q4 - 1:10HornetsTidjane Salaun offensive rebound108
82
Q4 - 1:10HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner misses two point floating jump shot108
82
Q4 - 1:31HornetsSion James defensive rebound108
82
Q4 - 1:34NuggetsDaRon Holmes II misses regular free throw 2 of 2108
82
Q4 - 1:34NuggetsDaRon Holmes II makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
82
Q4 - 1:34HornetsTidjane Salaun personal foul (DaRon Holmes II draws the foul)108
81
Q4 - 1:34NuggetsDaRon Holmes II offensive rebound108
81
Q4 - 1:37NuggetsZeke Nnaji misses three point jump shot108
81
Q4 - 1:53HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner makes two point cutting dunk (Pat Connaughton assists)108
81
Q4 - 2:13NuggetsJulian Strawther makes regular free throw 1 of 1106
81
Q4 - 2:13HornetsTidjane Salaun shooting foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)106
80
Q4 - 2:13NuggetsJulian Strawther makes two point running layup106
80
Q4 - 2:18NuggetsJulian Strawther defensive rebound106
78
Q4 - 2:20HornetsSion James misses two point driving finger roll layup106
78
Q4 - 2:26HornetsSion James defensive rebound106
78
Q4 - 2:29NuggetsJalen Pickett misses three point jump shot106
78
Q4 - 2:44HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner makes two point putback layup106
78
Q4 - 2:44HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner offensive rebound104
78
Q4 - 2:48HornetsPat Connaughton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot104
78
Q4 - 2:59HornetsTidjane Salaun defensive rebound104
78
Q4 - 3:01NuggetsJulian Strawther misses three point running pullup jump shot104
78
Q4 - 3:05NuggetsJalen Pickett defensive rebound104
78
Q4 - 3:10HornetsTidjane Salaun misses three point jump shot104
78
Q4 - 3:33NuggetsJalen Pickett makes two point driving floating jump shot104
78
Q4 - 3:45NuggetsHunter Tyson offensive rebound104
76
Q4 - 3:49NuggetsTidjane Salaun blocks Zeke Nnaji's two point tip layup104
76
Q4 - 3:51NuggetsZeke Nnaji offensive rebound104
76
Q4 - 3:52NuggetsZeke Nnaji misses two point driving layup104
76
Q4 - 4:08HornetsTre Mann makes two point driving finger roll layup (Pat Connaughton assists)104
76
Q4 - 4:29HornetsHornets defensive rebound102
76
Q4 - 4:31NuggetsDaRon Holmes II misses three point jump shot102
76
Q4 - 4:39NuggetsDaRon Holmes II defensive rebound102
76
Q4 - 4:41HornetsTidjane Salaun misses two point driving finger roll layup102
76
Q4 - 5:00HornetsPat Connaughton defensive rebound102
76
Q4 - 5:00NuggetsZeke Nnaji misses two point jump shot102
76
Q4 - 5:14HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner makes two point cutting dunk (Pat Connaughton assists)102
76
Q4 - 5:34NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes two point jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)100
76
Q4 - 6:00HornetsPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Tidjane Salaun assists)100
74
Q4 - 6:15Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett, DaRon Holmes II, Julian Strawther, Hunter Tyson)97
74
Q4 - 6:15Hornets lineup change (Pat Connaughton, Sion James, Tidjane Salaun, Ryan Kalkbrenner, Tre Mann)97
74
Q4 - 6:15Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)97
74
Q4 - 6:15Nuggets 60 second timeout97
74
Q4 - 6:15NuggetsJulian Strawther personal foul (Collin Sexton draws the foul)97
74
Q4 - 6:37NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point running finger roll layup97
74
Q4 - 6:41HornetsTidjane Salaun turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)97
72
Q4 - 6:41HornetsTidjane Salaun offensive rebound97
72
Q4 - 6:43HornetsBruce Brown blocks Moussa Diabate's two point driving layup97
72
Q4 - 7:00NuggetsJulian Strawther makes three point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)97
72
Q4 - 7:13HornetsTidjane Salaun personal foul (DaRon Holmes II draws the foul)97
69
Q4 - 7:14NuggetsZeke Nnaji defensive rebound97
69
Q4 - 7:19HornetsMoussa Diabate misses two point fadeaway jump shot97
69
Q4 - 7:20HornetsMoussa Diabate offensive rebound97
69
Q4 - 7:23HornetsSion James misses two point driving layup97
69
Q4 - 7:45NuggetsJulian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 297
69
Q4 - 7:45NuggetsJulian Strawther makes regular free throw 1 of 297
68
Q4 - 7:45HornetsMoussa Diabate shooting foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)97
67
Q4 - 7:57HornetsTre Mann personal foul (Loose ball) (Zeke Nnaji draws the foul)97
67
Q4 - 7:57NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound97
67
Q4 - 7:58NuggetsDaRon Holmes II misses three point jump shot97
67
Q4 - 8:22HornetsTidjane Salaun makes two point alley-oop layup (Sion James assists)97
67
Q4 - 8:25HornetsSion James offensive rebound95
67
Q4 - 8:28HornetsSion James misses three point jump shot95
67
Q4 - 8:51Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Moussa Diabate, Sion James, Tidjane Salaun, Tre Mann)95
67
Q4 - 8:51Hornets 60 second timeout95
67
Q4 - 8:51NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point running layup (Julian Strawther assists)95
67
Q4 - 8:54HornetsJosh Green turnover (bad pass) (Julian Strawther steals)95
65
Q4 - 8:59HornetsTre Mann offensive rebound95
65
Q4 - 9:03HornetsBruce Brown blocks Tre Mann's two point driving floating jump shot95
65
Q4 - 9:17NuggetsDaRon Holmes II makes three point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)95
65
Q4 - 9:40HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner makes regular free throw 1 of 195
62
Q4 - 9:40Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett, DaRon Holmes II, Julian Strawther)94
62
Q4 - 9:40NuggetsHunter Tyson shooting foul (Ryan Kalkbrenner draws the foul)94
62
Q4 - 9:40HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner makes two point turnaround hook shot (Tre Mann assists)94
62
Q4 - 9:55HornetsTre Mann defensive rebound92
62
Q4 - 9:56NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point running jump shot92
62
Q4 - 10:01NuggetsJulian Strawther defensive rebound92
62
Q4 - 10:03HornetsCollin Sexton misses three point jump shot92
62
Q4 - 10:15NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Julian Strawther assists)92
62
Q4 - 10:27NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound92
59
Q4 - 10:28HornetsTre Mann misses three point jump shot92
59
Q4 - 10:33NuggetsJalen Pickett personal foul (Ryan Kalkbrenner draws the foul)92
59
Q4 - 10:42HornetsJosh Green defensive rebound92
59
Q4 - 10:45NuggetsHunter Tyson misses three point jump shot92
59
Q4 - 10:56HornetsCollin Sexton makes regular free throw 1 of 192
59
Q4 - 10:56NuggetsHunter Tyson shooting foul (Collin Sexton draws the foul)91
59
Q4 - 10:56Hunter Tyson defensive goaltending violation91
59
Q4 - 10:56HornetsCollin Sexton makes two point driving layup (Sion James assists)91
59
Q4 - 11:11NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point running dunk (DaRon Holmes II assists)89
59
Q4 - 11:15HornetsTre Mann turnover (lost ball) (Julian Strawther steals)89
57
Q4 - 11:22HornetsSion James defensive rebound89
57
Q4 - 11:25NuggetsHunter Tyson misses three point jump shot89
57
Q4 - 11:37HornetsTre Mann personal foul (DaRon Holmes II draws the foul)89
57
Q4 - 11:48HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner makes two point hook shot (Collin Sexton assists)89
57
Q4 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, DaRon Holmes II, Julian Strawther, Hunter Tyson)87
57
Q4 - 12:00Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Sion James, Josh Green, Ryan Kalkbrenner, Tre Mann)87
57
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.87
57
Q3 - 0:00.6NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound87
57
Q3 - 0:00.6NuggetsHunter Tyson misses three point jump shot87
57
Q3 - 0:05.7HornetsTidjane Salaun makes two point cutting dunk (Ryan Kalkbrenner assists)87
57
Q3 - 0:24.9HornetsKon Knueppel defensive rebound85
57
Q3 - 0:28.4NuggetsDaRon Holmes II misses three point jump shot85
57
Q3 - 0:42.6Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)85
57
Q3 - 0:42.6HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner makes two point cutting layup (Collin Sexton assists)85
57
Q3 - 0:59.9NuggetsDaRon Holmes II makes three point jump shot (Hunter Tyson assists)83
57
Q3 - 1:18HornetsJosh Green makes three point jump shot (Kon Knueppel assists)83
54
Q3 - 1:39NuggetsJulian Strawther makes two point driving floating jump shot (DaRon Holmes II assists)80
54
Q3 - 2:00HornetsKon Knueppel makes two point pullup bank jump shot80
52
Q3 - 2:19NuggetsJulian Strawther makes three point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)78
52
Q3 - 2:27Stoppage (Out of bounds)78
49
Q3 - 2:35HornetsCollin Sexton turnover (out of bounds lost ball)78
49
Q3 - 2:46HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner defensive rebound78
49
Q3 - 2:50NuggetsDaRon Holmes II misses three point jump shot78
49
Q3 - 3:01Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, DaRon Holmes II, Julian Strawther, Hunter Tyson)78
49
Q3 - 3:01Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, Tidjane Salaun, Josh Green, Ryan Kalkbrenner)78
49
Q3 - 3:01Nuggets 60 second timeout78
49
Q3 - 3:01HornetsTidjane Salaun makes two point driving reverse layup78
49
Q3 - 3:09HornetsJosh Green offensive rebound76
49
Q3 - 3:12HornetsSion James misses three point jump shot76
49
Q3 - 3:28HornetsTidjane Salaun defensive rebound76
49
Q3 - 3:31NuggetsHunter Tyson misses three point jump shot76
49
Q3 - 3:44Jump ball. Peyton Watson vs. Ryan Kalkbrenner (Hunter Tyson gains possession)76
49
Q3 - 3:44NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound76
49
Q3 - 3:47HornetsPeyton Watson blocks Ryan Kalkbrenner's two point cutting layup76
49
Q3 - 4:08HornetsTidjane Salaun defensive rebound76
49
Q3 - 4:12NuggetsHunter Tyson misses three point jump shot76
49
Q3 - 4:22NuggetsJalen Pickett defensive rebound76
49
Q3 - 4:25HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point pullup jump shot76
49
Q3 - 4:33HornetsTidjane Salaun defensive rebound76
49
Q3 - 4:34NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point pullup jump shot76
49
Q3 - 4:52HornetsBrandon Miller makes two point pullup jump shot76
49
Q3 - 5:02Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Sion James, Tidjane Salaun, Josh Green, Ryan Kalkbrenner)74
49
Q3 - 5:02Hornets 60 second timeout74
49
Q3 - 5:11NuggetsSpencer Jones makes two point running dunk74
49
Q3 - 5:13HornetsSion James turnover (lost ball) (Spencer Jones steals)74
47
Q3 - 5:24NuggetsHunter Tyson makes regular free throw 2 of 274
47
Q3 - 5:24Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Julian Strawther, Hunter Tyson)74
46
Q3 - 5:24Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Moussa Diabate, Sion James, Tidjane Salaun, Josh Green)74
46
Q3 - 5:24NuggetsHunter Tyson misses regular free throw 1 of 274
46
Q3 - 5:24HornetsMoussa Diabate personal foul (Hunter Tyson draws the foul)74
46
Q3 - 5:38HornetsBrandon Miller makes two point pullup jump shot (Moussa Diabate assists)74
46
Q3 - 5:57HornetsBrandon Miller defensive rebound72
46
Q3 - 6:00NuggetsHunter Tyson misses three point jump shot72
46
Q3 - 6:12Stoppage (Out of bounds)72
46
Q3 - 6:12NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound72
46
Q3 - 6:15HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point jump shot72
46
Q3 - 6:28Stoppage (Out of bounds)72
46
Q3 - 6:35HornetsTidjane Salaun defensive rebound72
46
Q3 - 6:37NuggetsMoussa Diabate blocks Hunter Tyson's two point driving layup72
46
Q3 - 6:54HornetsBrandon Miller makes regular free throw 2 of 272
46
Q3 - 6:54HornetsBrandon Miller misses regular free throw 1 of 271
46
Q3 - 6:54Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Jamal Murray, Hunter Tyson)71
46
Q3 - 6:54Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Tidjane Salaun, Josh Green)71
46
Q3 - 6:54Instant replay71
46
Q3 - 6:54Nuggets 60 second timeout71
46
Q3 - 6:54NuggetsZeke Nnaji shooting foul (Brandon Miller draws the foul)71
46
Q3 - 7:06NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes two point jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)71
46
Q3 - 7:18Stoppage (Out of bounds)71
44
Q3 - 7:18NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound71
44
Q3 - 7:20NuggetsSpencer Jones misses three point jump shot71
44
Q3 - 7:29HornetsMoussa Diabate personal foul (Zeke Nnaji draws the foul)71
44
Q3 - 7:37HornetsKon Knueppel makes regular free throw 2 of 271
44
Q3 - 7:37Stoppage (Other)70
44
Q3 - 7:37HornetsKon Knueppel makes regular free throw 1 of 270
44
Q3 - 7:37NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Kon Knueppel draws the foul)69
44
Q3 - 7:39Stoppage (Out of bounds)69
44
Q3 - 7:39HornetsHornets offensive rebound69
44
Q3 - 7:39HornetsPeyton Watson blocks Moussa Diabate's two point cutting layup69
44
Q3 - 7:54HornetsMoussa Diabate defensive rebound69
44
Q3 - 7:56NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point running pullup jump shot69
44
Q3 - 8:01HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)69
44
Q3 - 8:04NuggetsJalen Pickett turnover (lost ball) (LaMelo Ball steals)69
44
Q3 - 8:17HornetsMoussa Diabate makes two point cutting dunk69
44
Q3 - 8:36NuggetsJalen Pickett makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)67
44
Q3 - 8:48NuggetsZeke Nnaji defensive rebound67
42
Q3 - 8:53HornetsKon Knueppel misses three point jump shot67
42
Q3 - 9:13NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 267
42
Q3 - 9:13NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 267
41
Q3 - 9:13HornetsLaMelo Ball shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)67
40
Q3 - 9:18NuggetsJalen Pickett defensive rebound67
40
Q3 - 9:18HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point pullup jump shot67
40
Q3 - 9:33NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)67
40
Q3 - 9:49HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)67
38
Q3 - 9:51HornetsKon Knueppel offensive rebound64
38
Q3 - 9:53HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point jump shot64
38
Q3 - 10:07NuggetsJalen Pickett makes regular free throw 2 of 264
38
Q3 - 10:07NuggetsJalen Pickett makes regular free throw 1 of 264
37
Q3 - 10:07HornetsLaMelo Ball shooting foul (Jalen Pickett draws the foul)64
36
Q3 - 10:07NuggetsJalen Pickett offensive rebound64
36
Q3 - 10:08NuggetsKon Knueppel blocks Jamal Murray's three point stepback jump shot64
36
Q3 - 10:33HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point dunk64
36
Q3 - 10:37NuggetsPeyton Watson turnover (bad pass) (LaMelo Ball steals)62
36
Q3 - 10:48NuggetsSpencer Jones defensive rebound62
36
Q3 - 10:51HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point running pullup jump shot62
36
Q3 - 10:58HornetsMoussa Diabate defensive rebound62
36
Q3 - 11:03NuggetsJalen Pickett misses two point driving floating jump shot62
36
Q3 - 11:14HornetsKon Knueppel personal foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)62
36
Q3 - 11:27HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point cutting layup (LaMelo Ball assists)62
36
Q3 - 11:46NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)60
36
Q3 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Jamal Murray)60
34
Q3 - 12:00Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Moussa Diabate)60
34
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
34
Q2 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)60
34
Q2 - 0:12.5HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 160
34
Q2 - 0:12.5Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel, Moussa Diabate, Sion James)59
34
Q2 - 0:12.5NuggetsZeke Nnaji shooting foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)59
34
Q2 - 0:12.5HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point cutting layup (LaMelo Ball assists)59
34
Q2 - 0:31.0Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Moussa Diabate)57
34
Q2 - 0:31.0NuggetsZeke Nnaji turnover (offensive foul)57
34
Q2 - 0:31.0NuggetsZeke Nnaji offensive foul (Sion James draws the foul)57
34
Q2 - 0:36.1HornetsCollin Sexton makes regular free throw 1 of 157
34
Q2 - 0:36.1Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel, Moussa Diabate, Sion James)56
34
Q2 - 0:36.1NuggetsJulian Strawther shooting foul (Collin Sexton draws the foul)56
34
Q2 - 0:36.1HornetsCollin Sexton makes two point driving floating jump shot56
34
Q2 - 0:54.0NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point driving floating jump shot54
34
Q2 - 1:00Jump ball. Zeke Nnaji vs. Kon Knueppel (Spencer Jones gains possession)54
32
Q2 - 1:18HornetsCollin Sexton makes two point running reverse layup (Sion James assists)54
32
Q2 - 1:24HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner defensive rebound52
32
Q2 - 1:26NuggetsJulian Strawther misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot52
32
Q2 - 1:55HornetsKon Knueppel makes two point driving finger roll layup (Sion James assists)52
32
Q2 - 2:11HornetsHornets defensive rebound50
32
Q2 - 2:12NuggetsPeyton Watson misses regular free throw 2 of 250
32
Q2 - 2:12Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel, Sion James, Ryan Kalkbrenner)50
32
Q2 - 2:12NuggetsPeyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 250
32
Q2 - 2:12HornetsBrandon Miller shooting foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)50
31
Q2 - 2:15HornetsKon Knueppel turnover (bad pass) (Peyton Watson steals)50
31
Q2 - 2:32NuggetsPeyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 250
31
Q2 - 2:32Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jamal Murray, Julian Strawther)50
30
Q2 - 2:32Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel, Sion James, Ryan Kalkbrenner)50
30
Q2 - 2:32NuggetsPeyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 250
30
Q2 - 2:32HornetsBrandon Miller shooting foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)50
29
Q2 - 2:38NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound50
29
Q2 - 2:40HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot50
29
Q2 - 2:59NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes two point tip layup50
29
Q2 - 2:59NuggetsZeke Nnaji offensive rebound50
27
Q2 - 3:01NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot50
27
Q2 - 3:28HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point jump shot (Kon Knueppel assists)50
27
Q2 - 3:43HornetsMoussa Diabate defensive rebound47
27
Q2 - 3:48NuggetsZeke Nnaji misses three point jump shot47
27
Q2 - 3:59HornetsSion James personal foul (Spencer Jones draws the foul)47
27
Q2 - 4:00NuggetsSpencer Jones defensive rebound47
27
Q2 - 4:02HornetsBrandon Miller misses two point driving finger roll layup47
27
Q2 - 4:28NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes two point cutting dunk (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)47
27
Q2 - 4:42NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound47
25
Q2 - 4:44HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point pullup jump shot47
25
Q2 - 4:53HornetsSion James defensive rebound47
25
Q2 - 4:55NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point jump shot47
25
Q2 - 5:18HornetsBrandon Miller makes two point running pullup jump shot47
25
Q2 - 5:23HornetsBrandon Miller defensive rebound45
25
Q2 - 5:24NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point running pullup jump shot45
25
Q2 - 5:31NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound45
25
Q2 - 5:33HornetsKon Knueppel misses two point driving layup45
25
Q2 - 5:42NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot45
25
Q2 - 5:53Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr.)45
23
Q2 - 5:53Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel, Moussa Diabate, Sion James)45
23
Q2 - 5:53HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)45
23
Q2 - 6:03HornetsMoussa Diabate makes two point tip layup45
23
Q2 - 6:03HornetsMoussa Diabate offensive rebound43
23
Q2 - 6:06HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point driving layup43
23
Q2 - 6:14HornetsMoussa Diabate defensive rebound43
23
Q2 - 6:17NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot43
23
Q2 - 6:35Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr.)43
23
Q2 - 6:35HornetsCollin Sexton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
23
Q2 - 6:46HornetsMoussa Diabate defensive rebound43
23
Q2 - 6:48NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point jump shot43
23
Q2 - 7:15HornetsBrandon Miller makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Collin Sexton assists)43
23
Q2 - 7:19HornetsCollin Sexton defensive rebound41
23
Q2 - 7:21NuggetsJalen Pickett misses three point jump shot41
23
Q2 - 7:44HornetsCollin Sexton makes two point running finger roll layup (LaMelo Ball assists)41
23
Q2 - 7:48NuggetsPeyton Watson turnover (lost ball) (LaMelo Ball steals)39
23
Q2 - 7:55NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound39
23
Q2 - 7:59HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point fadeaway jump shot39
23
Q2 - 8:18Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Collin Sexton, Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate)39
23
Q2 - 8:18Hornets 60 second timeout39
23
Q2 - 8:18NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point cutting dunk (Jalen Pickett assists)39
23
Q2 - 8:26NuggetsSpencer Jones offensive rebound39
21
Q2 - 8:30NuggetsHunter Tyson misses three point jump shot39
21
Q2 - 8:37HornetsKon Knueppel turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)39
21
Q2 - 8:54Stoppage (Out of bounds)39
21
Q2 - 9:01NuggetsBruce Brown personal foul (Moussa Diabate draws the foul)39
21
Q2 - 9:01HornetsMoussa Diabate defensive rebound39
21
Q2 - 9:02NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot39
21
Q2 - 9:20Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Hunter Tyson)39
21
Q2 - 9:20Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Moussa Diabate)39
21
Q2 - 9:20Nuggets 60 second timeout39
21
Q2 - 9:21HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving floating jump shot39
21
Q2 - 9:36HornetsTidjane Salaun defensive rebound37
21
Q2 - 9:39NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point floating jump shot37
21
Q2 - 9:51NuggetsSpencer Jones defensive rebound37
21
Q2 - 9:54HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point running jump shot37
21
Q2 - 10:01NuggetsJalen Pickett turnover (bad pass) (Collin Sexton steals)37
21
Q2 - 10:07NuggetsHunter Tyson defensive rebound37
21
Q2 - 10:10HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving floating jump shot37
21
Q2 - 10:19HornetsTidjane Salaun defensive rebound37
21
Q2 - 10:21NuggetsHunter Tyson misses three point jump shot37
21
Q2 - 10:32Stoppage (Other)37
21
Q2 - 10:32HornetsTidjane Salaun makes two point tip dunk37
21
Q2 - 10:32HornetsTidjane Salaun offensive rebound35
21
Q2 - 10:35HornetsCollin Sexton misses two point driving layup35
21
Q2 - 10:43HornetsKon Knueppel offensive rebound35
21
Q2 - 10:45HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot35
21
Q2 - 10:57Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Hunter Tyson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)35
21
Q2 - 10:57NuggetsDaRon Holmes II turnover (offensive foul)35
21
Q2 - 10:57NuggetsDaRon Holmes II offensive foul (Collin Sexton draws the foul)35
21
Q2 - 11:08HornetsCollin Sexton makes two point driving floating jump shot35
21
Q2 - 11:15NuggetsDaRon Holmes II personal foul (Loose ball) (Ryan Kalkbrenner draws the foul)33
21
Q2 - 11:15HornetsHornets offensive rebound33
21
Q2 - 11:16HornetsCollin Sexton misses three point jump shot33
21
Q2 - 11:21Stoppage (Out of bounds)33
21
Q2 - 11:21HornetsHornets offensive rebound33
21
Q2 - 11:24HornetsKon Knueppel misses three point jump shot33
21
Q2 - 11:34HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner offensive rebound33
21
Q2 - 11:37HornetsCollin Sexton misses three point jump shot33
21
Q2 - 11:48NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 3 of 333
21
Q2 - 11:48Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, DaRon Holmes II, Hunter Tyson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)33
20
Q2 - 11:48Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Tidjane Salaun, Ryan Kalkbrenner)33
20
Q2 - 11:48NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 333
20
Q2 - 11:48NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 333
19
Q2 - 11:48HornetsKon Knueppel shooting foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)33
18
Q2 - 11:55Nuggets 60 second timeout33
18
Q2 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett, Hunter Tyson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)33
18
Q2 - 12:00Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Moussa Diabate, Tidjane Salaun)33
18
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.33
18
Q1 - 0:00.0HornetsHornets offensive rebound33
18
Q1 - 0:00.0HornetsKon Knueppel misses two point floating jump shot33
18
Q1 - 0:00.1HornetsKon Knueppel offensive rebound33
18
Q1 - 0:03.0HornetsCollin Sexton misses three point pullup jump shot33
18
Q1 - 0:32.0NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot33
18
Q1 - 0:37.0NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound33
16
Q1 - 0:39.8NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot33
16
Q1 - 0:55.6HornetsCollin Sexton makes regular free throw 2 of 233
16
Q1 - 0:55.6HornetsCollin Sexton makes regular free throw 1 of 232
16
Q1 - 0:55.6NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Collin Sexton draws the foul)31
16
Q1 - 1:10NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)31
16
Q1 - 1:13NuggetsJalen Pickett defensive rebound31
13
Q1 - 1:15HornetsKon Knueppel misses two point pullup jump shot31
13
Q1 - 1:29Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, DaRon Holmes II, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr.)31
13
Q1 - 1:29NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)31
13
Q1 - 1:43HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner makes two point cutting dunk (Tidjane Salaun assists)31
13
Q1 - 1:57NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point driving reverse layup29
13
Q1 - 2:16HornetsKon Knueppel makes two point pullup jump shot (Collin Sexton assists)29
11
Q1 - 2:29HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner offensive rebound27
11
Q1 - 2:31HornetsTidjane Salaun misses regular free throw 1 of 127
11
Q1 - 2:31NuggetsBruce Brown shooting foul (Tidjane Salaun draws the foul)27
11
Q1 - 2:31HornetsTidjane Salaun makes two point floating jump shot27
11
Q1 - 2:40HornetsTidjane Salaun defensive rebound25
11
Q1 - 2:43NuggetsDaRon Holmes II misses three point jump shot25
11
Q1 - 2:59HornetsTidjane Salaun makes three point jump shot (Collin Sexton assists)25
11
Q1 - 3:07HornetsCollin Sexton defensive rebound22
11
Q1 - 3:11NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point pullup jump shot22
11
Q1 - 3:18Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, Sion James, Tidjane Salaun, Ryan Kalkbrenner)22
11
Q1 - 3:18HornetsSion James personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)22
11
Q1 - 3:27HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner turnover (offensive foul)22
11
Q1 - 3:27HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner offensive foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)22
11
Q1 - 3:34Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown, DaRon Holmes II, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr.)22
11
Q1 - 3:34Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Kon Knueppel, Sion James, Tidjane Salaun, Ryan Kalkbrenner)22
11
Q1 - 3:34Hornets 60 second timeout22
11
Q1 - 3:34NuggetsZeke Nnaji personal foul (Loose ball) (Ryan Kalkbrenner draws the foul)22
11
Q1 - 3:34HornetsHornets offensive rebound22
11
Q1 - 3:36HornetsJosh Green misses three point jump shot22
11
Q1 - 3:56HornetsRyan Kalkbrenner defensive rebound22
11
Q1 - 3:58NuggetsZeke Nnaji misses two point cutting layup22
11
Q1 - 4:11HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (out of bounds bad pass)22
11
Q1 - 4:14HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound22
11
Q1 - 4:16NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point stepback jump shot22
11
Q1 - 4:28Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, Sion James, Josh Green, Ryan Kalkbrenner)22
11
Q1 - 4:28Stoppage (Out of bounds)22
11
Q1 - 4:38NuggetsZeke Nnaji defensive rebound22
11
Q1 - 4:40HornetsMoussa Diabate misses two point driving bank hook shot22
11
Q1 - 4:56NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)22
11
Q1 - 5:08HornetsBrandon Miller makes regular free throw 2 of 222
9
Q1 - 5:08HornetsBrandon Miller makes regular free throw 1 of 221
9
Q1 - 5:08NuggetsPeyton Watson shooting foul (Brandon Miller draws the foul)20
9
Q1 - 5:11Stoppage (Out of bounds)20
9
Q1 - 5:22HornetsMoussa Diabate defensive rebound20
9
Q1 - 5:23NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point running pullup jump shot20
9
Q1 - 5:29NuggetsSpencer Jones defensive rebound20
9
Q1 - 5:31HornetsPeyton Watson blocks Josh Green's two point turnaround hook shot20
9
Q1 - 5:35Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr.)20
9
Q1 - 5:35Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, Moussa Diabate, Sion James, Josh Green)20
9
Q1 - 5:35Stoppage (Out of bounds)20
9
Q1 - 5:40HornetsJosh Green defensive rebound20
9
Q1 - 5:43NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot20
9
Q1 - 6:06HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)20
9
Q1 - 6:07HornetsMiles Bridges offensive rebound17
9
Q1 - 6:10HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot17
9
Q1 - 6:11HornetsBrandon Miller offensive rebound17
9
Q1 - 6:13HornetsBrandon Miller misses two point jump shot17
9
Q1 - 6:24NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)17
9
Q1 - 6:36Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones, DaRon Holmes II, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr.)17
9
Q1 - 6:36Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Josh Green)17
9
Q1 - 6:36Nuggets 60 second timeout17
9
Q1 - 6:36HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)17
9
Q1 - 6:52NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)14
9
Q1 - 6:57NuggetsDaRon Holmes II offensive rebound14
7
Q1 - 7:01NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot14
7
Q1 - 7:30HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Moussa Diabate assists)14
7
Q1 - 7:42HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound11
7
Q1 - 7:46NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot11
7
Q1 - 7:55NuggetsSpencer Jones defensive rebound11
7
Q1 - 7:58HornetsKon Knueppel misses two point jump shot11
7
Q1 - 8:04Stoppage (Out of bounds)11
7
Q1 - 8:25NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point fadeaway jump shot11
7
Q1 - 8:45HornetsKon Knueppel makes three point running jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)11
5
Q1 - 8:46HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound8
5
Q1 - 8:53NuggetsSpencer Jones misses two point turnaround jump shot8
5
Q1 - 9:09HornetsBrandon Miller turnover (offensive foul)8
5
Q1 - 9:09HornetsBrandon Miller offensive foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)8
5
Q1 - 9:14NuggetsDaRon Holmes II personal foul (Loose ball) (Moussa Diabate draws the foul)8
5
Q1 - 9:14HornetsHornets offensive rebound8
5
Q1 - 9:16HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot8
5
Q1 - 9:24NuggetsSpencer Jones personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)8
5
Q1 - 9:35NuggetsJalen Pickett makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)8
5
Q1 - 9:56HornetsKon Knueppel makes three point jump shot (Brandon Miller assists)8
2
Q1 - 10:07HornetsBrandon Miller defensive rebound5
2
Q1 - 10:10NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot5
2
Q1 - 10:24Stoppage (Out of bounds)5
2
Q1 - 10:24NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound5
2
Q1 - 10:27HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point jump shot5
2
Q1 - 10:38HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound5
2
Q1 - 10:41NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point jump shot5
2
Q1 - 10:57HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point driving finger roll layup5
2
Q1 - 11:17NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot3
2
Q1 - 11:39HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point jump shot (Kon Knueppel assists)3
0
Q1 - 12:00Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Moussa Diabate vs. DaRon Holmes II (Miles Bridges gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, DaRon Holmes II, Jamal Murray)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Moussa Diabate)0
0
ClockTeamEventCHADEN
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.13 56.7%
DEN
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
22
30
73%
DEN
11
13
85%
Midrange
CHA
11
25
44%
DEN
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
11
16.5
34
32%
49%
DEN
8
12.0
38
21%
32%
Free Throws
CHA
11
13
85%
DEN
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Miller2368%11.5 / 17
R. Kalkbrenner1785%8.5 / 10
K. Knueppel1458%7.0 / 12
C. Sexton1458%7.0 / 12
T. Salaün1381%6.5 / 8
L. Ball1045%5.0 / 11
M. Bridges758%3.5 / 6
M. Diabaté433%2.0 / 6
J. Green350%1.5 / 3
P. Connaughton375%1.5 / 2
T. Mann233%1.0 / 3
S. James0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray1662%8.0 / 13
J. Strawther1594%7.5 / 8
J. Pickett1275%6.0 / 8
P. Watson1139%5.5 / 14
B. Brown964%4.5 / 7
Z. Nnaji840%4.0 / 10
D. Holmes744%3.5 / 8
T. Hardaway650%3.0 / 6
S. Jones233%1.0 / 3
H. Tyson15%0.5 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
74
+22
-12
96
DEN
78
+11
-8
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.13 56.7%
DEN
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
7
117.1
1
120.9
CHA 127.9 +26.7
DEN 101.2
Pace
26
98.3
25
98.3
CHA 83.0
DEN 89.3 +6.3
Avg. Poss. Time
4
15.0
5
15.0
CHA 17.4
DEN 16.1 −1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
14
54.8%
1
57.4%
CHA 55.6% +10.0%
DEN 45.6%
TO %
28
15.1%
3
12.0%
CHA 12.1%
DEN 8.4% −3.7%
ORB %
4
29.8%
24
23.6%
CHA 43.2% +25.0%
DEN 18.2%
FTrt
21
25.4
4
29.7
CHA 14.6
DEN 22.8 +8.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
12
64.7%
10
65.3%
CHA 68.2% +2.6%
DEN 65.6%
STL %
30
6.8%
29
7.0%
CHA 4.7%
DEN 8.1% +3.4%
BLK %
21
8.4%
26
8.0%
CHA 7.3%
DEN 9.1% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
11
57.0%
1
59.8%
CHA 56.7% +7.8%
DEN 48.9%
Rim FG%
19
63.4%
10
65.2%
CHA 73.3%
DEN 84.6% +11.3%
Mid FG%
27
40.7%
5
46.0%
CHA 44.0%
DEN 46.4% +2.4%
3P %
5
37.3%
1
39.5%
CHA 32.4% +11.3%
DEN 21.1%
FT %
3
82.0%
5
81.0%
CHA 84.6% +1.3%
DEN 83.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
16
31.0%
14
31.5%
CHA 33.7% +17.3%
DEN 16.5%
Mid Att. %
6
22.6%
19
28.2%
CHA 28.1% −7.4%
DEN 35.4%
3P Att. %
5
46.4%
19
40.3%
CHA 38.2%
DEN 48.1% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.
Game TotalsCHADEN
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points11087
Rebounds5229
Assists3021
Steals47
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)8 (0)
Fouls1918
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (6)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)21 (3)
Field Goals44-8932-79
At-the-Rim FG22-3011-13
Midrange FG11-2513-28
2-Point FG33-5524-41
3-Point FG11-348-38
Free Throws11-1315-18
Fast Break Pts1317
2nd Chance Pts2217
Points in Paint6232
Pts off Turnovers1216
Bench Points5239
Biggest Lead330

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20
26.7
14
58%
4
3
0
1
2
2
3
1
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
2-4
50%
#14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24
24.7
4
33%
9
2
0
1
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
#24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23
23.8
23
68%
4
1
0
0
1
3
1
3
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
4-9
44%
#0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28
22.9
7
58%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
#1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24
19.4
10
45%
1
6
3
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-7
29%
#4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23
25.5
0
0%
5
5
0
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
#11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24
23.3
17
85%
6
1
0
0
1
1
3
3
1-1
100%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
#31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20
22.0
13
81%
11
2
0
1
1
3
3
8
0-1
0%
5-6
83%
1-2
50%
#8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27
20.4
14
58%
2
5
1
0
2
0
0
2
4-4
100%
5-6
83%
0-4
0%
#10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
13.1
3
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
#23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25
12.0
2
33%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33
6.3
3
75%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
#16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24
INACTIVE
#33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Groin; Surgery
#2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
57%
52
30
4
3
12
19
16
36
11-13
85%
33-55
60%
11-34
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.