Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 18, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Blazers	52%	116	117	115.8	101	100.4
	26	Kings	48%	115	110	107.8	102	102.6

Prediction updated: Jan 19, 2026 02:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+14

-14

101

SAC

+11

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.17 58.5%

SAC

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	37.0	21	88%	17	3	0	1	1	1	4	13	8-8	100%	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	36.4	17	106%	3	2	0	1	1	3	1	2	2-2	100%	6-6	100%	1-1	100%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	34.3	8	44%	2	1	2	1	1	3	0	2	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	34.0	27	56%	7	0	1	0	5	5	2	5	8-11	73%	5-10	50%	3-9	33%
Deni Avdija #8 · PG · 6'8" 228 · 25	31.8	30	68%	8	8	0	1	3	1	1	7	8-8	100%	8-12	67%	2-6	33%

Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	21.7	6	30%	2	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	16.3	4	50%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	11.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	9.4	2	33%	0	1	1	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 27	7.3	2	25%	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Injury Management
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Strain
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinopathy
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Injury Management
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	59%	43	18	7	4	14	18	11	32	29-33	88%	32-51	63%	8-32	25%

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22 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	37.0	21	88%	17	3	0	1	1	1	4	13	8-8	100%	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	36.4	17	106%	3	2	0	1	1	3	1	2	2-2	100%	6-6	100%	1-1	100%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	34.3	8	44%	2	1	2	1	1	3	0	2	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	34.0	27	56%	7	0	1	0	5	5	2	5	8-11	73%	5-10	50%	3-9	33%
Deni Avdija #8 · PG · 6'8" 228 · 25	31.8	30	68%	8	8	0	1	3	1	1	7	8-8	100%	8-12	67%	2-6	33%

Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	21.7	6	30%	2	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	16.3	4	50%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	11.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	9.4	2	33%	0	1	1	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 27	7.3	2	25%	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Injury Management
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Strain
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinopathy
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Injury Management
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	59%	43	18	7	4	14	18	11	32	29-33	88%	32-51	63%	8-32	25%

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26 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	34.9	14	58%	2	7	2	1	3	4	1	1	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	0-1	0%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	33.5	23	72%	3	7	3	0	2	2	0	3	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	3-6	50%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	28.9	18	56%	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	5-6	83%	2-5	40%	3-8	38%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	22.7	6	27%	9	1	0	1	0	3	3	6	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-2	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	17.7	4	67%	3	2	0	1	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	25.9	23	77%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	5-9	56%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	25.8	12	67%	10	2	1	1	1	6	2	8	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	19.8	8	80%	8	2	0	0	6	2	3	5	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	17.7	2	20%	2	3	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	13.1	0	0%	2	2	0	1	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	57%	40	29	8	5	16	26	10	30	15-18	83%	31-55	56%	11-31	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.17 58.5%

SAC

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

74%

SAC

89%

Midrange

POR

54%

SAC

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

12.0

25%

38%

SAC

16.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

POR

88%

SAC

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	30	68%	15.0 / 22
S. Sharpe	27	56%	13.5 / 24
D. Clingan	21	88%	10.5 / 12
T. Camara	17	106%	8.5 / 8
S. Cissoko	8	44%	4.0 / 9
C. Love	6	30%	3.0 / 10
R. Rupert	4	50%	2.0 / 4
Y. Hansen	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Cooke	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Reath	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Westbrook	23	72%	11.5 / 16
M. Monk	23	77%	11.5 / 15
Z. LaVine	18	56%	9.0 / 16
D. DeRozan	14	58%	7.0 / 12
D. Cardwell	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Sabonis	8	80%	4.0 / 5
M. Raynaud	6	27%	3.0 / 11
P. Achiuwa	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Schröder	2	20%	1.0 / 5
N. Clifford	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.1 26 110.6	POR 115.8 +8.0 SAC 107.8
Pace	8 101.6 17 100.0	POR 100.4 SAC 102.6 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.2 14 14.5	POR 14.3 SAC 14.0 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 53.3% 29 52.5%	POR 53.0% SAC 55.2% +2.2%
TO %	30 16.1% 15 13.7%	POR 13.3% −1.3% SAC 14.6%
ORB %	2 31.3% 13 25.9%	POR 26.8% +3.0% SAC 23.8%
FTrt	9 28.0 19 25.6	POR 39.8 +18.9 SAC 20.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 61.6% 20 61.5%	POR 45.0% SAC 69.0% +24.0%
STL %	20 8.1% 21 8.0%	POR 6.9% SAC 7.8% +0.9%
BLK %	8 10.1% 19 8.6%	POR 7.3% SAC 9.8% +2.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.6% 29 54.7%	POR 58.5% +1.8% SAC 56.7%
Rim FG%	19 63.9% 8 65.9%	POR 73.9% SAC 88.9% +15.0%
Mid FG%	29 37.4% 13 43.8%	POR 53.6% +3.6% SAC 50.0%
3P %	28 34.2% 29 34.1%	POR 25.0% SAC 35.5% +10.5%
FT %	24 76.5% 21 77.2%	POR 87.9% +4.6% SAC 83.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 28 28.0%	POR 27.7% +17.2% SAC 10.5%
Mid Att. %	2 17.6% 30 38.1%	POR 33.7% −19.8% SAC 53.5%
3P Att. %	3 46.8% 30 33.9%	POR 38.6% +2.5% SAC 36.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	POR	SAC
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	117	110
Rebounds	43	40
Assists	18	29
Steals	7	8
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls	18	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	30 (2)
Field Goals	40-83	42-86
At-the-Rim FG	17-23	8-9
Midrange FG	15-28	23-46
2-Point FG	32-51	31-55
3-Point FG	8-32	11-31
Free Throws	29-33	15-18
Fast Break Pts	10	11
2nd Chance Pts	23	12
Points in Paint	62	50
Pts off Turnovers	28	24
Bench Points	14	45
Biggest Lead	14	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg