Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 19, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Thunder	66%	115	136	127.1	107	102.5
	8	Cavaliers	34%	110	104	97.2	107	112.0

Prediction updated: Jan 19, 2026 07:31 PM

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

-11

103

CLE

+23

-21

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.32 66.0%

CLE

0.95 47.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	33.7	30	68%	1	3	1	2	0	2	0	1	5-5	100%	11-16	69%	1-4	25%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 27	33.5	18	113%	5	3	1	0	1	3	1	4	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	5-6	83%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 24	31.4	28	78%	8	2	0	2	1	3	2	6	2-5	40%	7-11	64%	4-5	80%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SF · 6'5" 190 · 27	30.6	12	75%	6	3	5	1	2	4	0	6	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	7.5	6	75%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-2	100%

Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	25.4	5	42%	2	9	1	0	3	3	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	24.6	16	89%	5	2	1	0	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-7	57%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	20.5	5	31%	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	18.0	4	50%	2	2	0	0	3	4	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	7.4	1	8%	1	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	4.7	5	63%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	2.6	6	150%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	INACTIVE
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	66%	38	32	11	6	11	24	6	32	13-20	65%	27-43	63%	23-47	49%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	33.7	30	68%	1	3	1	2	0	2	0	1	5-5	100%	11-16	69%	1-4	25%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 27	33.5	18	113%	5	3	1	0	1	3	1	4	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	5-6	83%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 24	31.4	28	78%	8	2	0	2	1	3	2	6	2-5	40%	7-11	64%	4-5	80%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SF · 6'5" 190 · 27	30.6	12	75%	6	3	5	1	2	4	0	6	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	7.5	6	75%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-2	100%

Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	25.4	5	42%	2	9	1	0	3	3	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	24.6	16	89%	5	2	1	0	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-7	57%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	20.5	5	31%	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	18.0	4	50%	2	2	0	0	3	4	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	7.4	1	8%	1	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	4.7	5	63%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	2.6	6	150%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	INACTIVE
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	66%	38	32	11	6	11	24	6	32	13-20	65%	27-43	63%	23-47	49%

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8 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'2" 215 · 29	35.0	19	41%	4	3	3	0	1	1	1	3	8-11	73%	4-9	44%	1-9	11%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	32.7	16	57%	10	4	0	0	4	1	6	4	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	2-5	40%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	31.1	16	53%	7	5	1	1	2	3	2	5	2-3	67%	7-12	58%	0-2	0%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	28.6	16	62%	9	1	0	3	1	0	5	4	8-10	80%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Dean Wade #32 · SF · 6'9" 228 · 29	16.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	26.4	6	43%	8	1	2	0	0	2	3	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	25.5	16	47%	9	1	1	0	5	2	1	8	8-8	100%	1-7	14%	2-6	33%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	21.5	9	50%	5	3	1	1	3	4	1	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	14.8	3	50%	0	1	0	0	3	5	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	5.3	3	38%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	48%	54	20	8	5	21	21	19	35	28-35	80%	26-56	46%	8-35	23%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	CLE

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.32 66.0%

CLE

0.95 47.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

58%

CLE

45%

Midrange

OKC

68%

CLE

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

34.5

49%

73%

CLE

12.0

23%

34%

Free Throws

OKC

65%

CLE

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	30	68%	15.0 / 22
C. Holmgren	28	78%	14.0 / 18
L. Dort	18	113%	9.0 / 8
I. Joe	16	89%	8.0 / 9
A. Wiggins	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Williams	6	75%	3.0 / 4
C. Youngblood	6	150%	3.0 / 2
A. Mitchell	5	42%	2.5 / 6
K. Williams	5	31%	2.5 / 8
O. Dieng	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Wallace	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Caruso	1	8%	0.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	19	41%	9.5 / 23
J. Tyson	16	57%	8.0 / 14
E. Mobley	16	53%	8.0 / 15
J. Allen	16	62%	8.0 / 13
D. Hunter	16	47%	8.0 / 17
C. Porter	9	50%	4.5 / 9
N. Tomlin	6	43%	3.0 / 7
T. Proctor	3	50%	1.5 / 3
L. Ball	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Wade	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 117.6 6 118.3	OKC 127.1 +29.9 CLE 97.2
Pace	15 100.3 12 100.6	OKC 102.5 CLE 112.0 +9.5
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.1 21 14.1	OKC 14.1 CLE 12.9 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.1% 5 56.1%	OKC 68.3% +26.5% CLE 41.8%
TO %	1 11.8% 10 13.2%	OKC 11.6% −4.9% CLE 16.5%
ORB %	28 22.3% 9 26.9%	OKC 14.6% CLE 37.3% +22.7%
FTrt	17 26.1 15 26.5	OKC 22.2 CLE 38.5 +16.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 59.8% 11 65.3%	OKC 64.0% +5.2% CLE 58.8%
STL %	4 9.6% 15 8.4%	OKC 10.3% +2.8% CLE 7.5%
BLK %	2 11.0% 11 9.8%	OKC 10.7% CLE 11.6% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 58.5% 5 58.2%	OKC 66.0% +18.3% CLE 47.7%
Rim FG%	11 65.2% 7 66.1%	OKC 58.3% +13.3% CLE 45.0%
Mid FG%	1 47.6% 3 46.8%	OKC 68.4% +18.4% CLE 50.0%
3P %	9 36.5% 13 36.0%	OKC 48.9% +26.0% CLE 22.9%
FT %	3 81.7% 19 77.6%	OKC 65.0% CLE 80.0% +15.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 31.3% 14 31.7%	OKC 26.7% CLE 44.0% +17.3%
Mid Att. %	15 26.1% 8 24.1%	OKC 21.1% CLE 17.6% −3.5%
3P Att. %	13 42.6% 9 44.2%	OKC 52.2% +13.8% CLE 38.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	CLE
Possessions	107	107
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	136	104
Rebounds	38	54
Assists	32	20
Steals	11	8
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	11 (2)	21 (0)
Fouls	24	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (1)	19 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (7)	35 (1)
Field Goals	50-90	34-91
At-the-Rim FG	14-24	18-40
Midrange FG	13-19	8-16
2-Point FG	27-43	26-56
3-Point FG	23-47	8-35
Free Throws	13-20	28-35
Fast Break Pts	11	11
2nd Chance Pts	5	22
Points in Paint	42	48
Pts off Turnovers	23	8
Bench Points	42	37
Biggest Lead	32	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg