Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 17, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Celtics	61%	118	132	125.7	105	96.7
	19	Hawks	39%	115	106	101.0	105	114.9

Prediction updated: Jan 18, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+14

-16

103

ATL

+17

-11

111

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.29 64.7%

ATL

0.95 47.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	31.9	9	64%	7	4	3	0	3	3	0	7	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	30.3	30	71%	6	3	1	1	2	0	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	10-21	48%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	29.5	41	60%	6	2	1	1	1	0	1	5	11-12	92%	12-21	57%	2-9	22%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	25.4	7	88%	5	12	3	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	23.6	14	78%	7	1	1	1	1	2	1	6	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	0-0	-

Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	30.0	7	70%	9	0	0	0	2	4	2	7	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	23.6	14	70%	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-8	50%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	12.4	4	67%	4	2	0	1	0	1	2	2	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	12.0	3	75%	4	1	0	2	2	3	1	3	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	10.6	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	5.8	3	75%	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	4.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	65%	55	27	9	8	16	17	11	44	18-22	82%	24-39	62%	22-52	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	31.9	9	64%	7	4	3	0	3	3	0	7	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	30.3	30	71%	6	3	1	1	2	0	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	10-21	48%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	29.5	41	60%	6	2	1	1	1	0	1	5	11-12	92%	12-21	57%	2-9	22%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	25.4	7	88%	5	12	3	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	23.6	14	78%	7	1	1	1	1	2	1	6	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	0-0	-

Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	30.0	7	70%	9	0	0	0	2	4	2	7	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	23.6	14	70%	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-8	50%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	12.4	4	67%	4	2	0	1	0	1	2	2	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	12.0	3	75%	4	1	0	2	2	3	1	3	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	10.6	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	5.8	3	75%	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	4.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	65%	55	27	9	8	16	17	11	44	18-22	82%	24-39	62%	22-52	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	35.2	12	38%	8	5	1	0	4	1	1	7	2-4	50%	2-8	25%	2-6	33%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	32.9	21	70%	7	3	1	0	3	3	3	4	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	3-6	50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	29.5	18	53%	2	6	1	1	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	4-9	44%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 34	26.8	11	37%	7	4	0	2	3	1	2	5	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	0-5	0%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 26	18.9	3	25%	1	0	1	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%

Luke Kennard #4 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	23.4	2	20%	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	22.6	16	67%	7	1	1	0	0	1	3	4	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	19.0	5	36%	7	3	2	0	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	13.1	5	42%	2	2	1	1	0	1	1	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	9.1	10	71%	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
RayJ Dennis #0 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	4.9	0	0%	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	4.9	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Contusion
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Tear
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	48%	47	29	10	4	11	17	13	34	15-17	88%	23-56	41%	15-46	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.29 64.7%

ATL

0.95 47.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

69%

ATL

52%

Midrange

BOS

46%

ATL

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

33.0

42%

63%

ATL

22.5

33%

49%

Free Throws

BOS

82%

ATL

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	41	60%	20.5 / 34
S. Hauser	30	71%	15.0 / 21
N. Queta	14	78%	7.0 / 9
A. Simons	14	70%	7.0 / 10
B. Scheierman	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. White	7	88%	3.5 / 4
H. González	7	70%	3.5 / 5
L. Garza	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Williams	3	75%	1.5 / 2
R. Harper	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Walsh	0	-	0.0 / 1
X. Tillman	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Okongwu	21	70%	10.5 / 15
N. Alexander-Walker	18	53%	9.0 / 17
C. Kispert	16	67%	8.0 / 12
J. Johnson	12	38%	6.0 / 16
C. McCollum	11	37%	5.5 / 15
A. Newell	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Gueye	5	36%	2.5 / 7
K. Wallace	5	42%	2.5 / 6
V. Krejčí	3	25%	1.5 / 6
C. Houstan	3	150%	1.5 / 1
L. Kennard	2	20%	1.0 / 5
R. Dennis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.0 14 115.1	BOS 125.7 +24.8 ATL 101.0
Pace	30 95.5 4 102.5	BOS 96.7 ATL 114.9 +18.2
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.7 29 13.5	BOS 14.9 ATL 12.5 −2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.3% 10 55.4%	BOS 62.6% +18.0% ATL 44.6%
TO %	2 12.0% 8 13.0%	BOS 14.4% ATL 9.9% −4.5%
ORB %	6 29.2% 20 24.3%	BOS 24.4% +1.6% ATL 22.8%
FTrt	30 20.7 27 23.4	BOS 24.2 +7.5 ATL 16.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.5% 4 69.1%	BOS 58.7% ATL 76.3% +17.6%
STL %	25 7.4% 6 9.1%	BOS 8.6% ATL 9.5% +0.9%
BLK %	5 10.4% 18 8.8%	BOS 14.3% +4.0% ATL 10.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 56.9% 14 56.9%	BOS 64.7% +17.0% ATL 47.7%
Rim FG%	2 68.9% 21 63.3%	BOS 69.2% +17.5% ATL 51.7%
Mid FG%	12 44.2% 6 44.6%	BOS 46.2% +16.6% ATL 29.6%
3P %	8 36.7% 5 37.1%	BOS 42.3% +9.7% ATL 32.6%
FT %	7 80.7% 20 77.4%	BOS 81.8% ATL 88.2% +6.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 24.4% 13 32.1%	BOS 28.6% +0.1% ATL 28.4%
Mid Att. %	24 28.9% 9 25.0%	BOS 14.3% −12.2% ATL 26.5%
3P Att. %	4 46.7% 11 42.9%	BOS 57.1% +12.0% ATL 45.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Game Totals	BOS	ATL
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	26.1	21.9
Points	132	106
Rebounds	55	47
Assists	27	29
Steals	9	10
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls	17	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	44 (3)	34 (1)
Field Goals	46-91	38-102
At-the-Rim FG	18-26	15-29
Midrange FG	6-13	8-27
2-Point FG	24-39	23-56
3-Point FG	22-52	15-46
Free Throws	18-22	15-17
Fast Break Pts	21	22
2nd Chance Pts	13	20
Points in Paint	40	42
Pts off Turnovers	12	19
Bench Points	31	41
Biggest Lead	43	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg