Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 18, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Pelicans	16%	109	110	111.1	99	110.4
	2	Rockets	84%	122	119	120.2	99	89.8

Prediction updated: Jan 18, 2026 11:56 PM

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+13

-13

HOU

+18

-15

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.13 56.7%

HOU

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	35.2	21	62%	3	4	1	1	2	3	1	2	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	3-8	38%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	30.4	20	56%	6	4	1	1	2	4	1	5	2-3	67%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	29.2	11	69%	4	2	1	0	1	0	0	4	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	26.6	15	63%	4	5	1	0	3	0	0	4	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	10.4	2	20%	3	2	0	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	30.4	10	63%	6	3	1	2	0	2	5	1	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	25.3	13	54%	4	2	0	0	2	1	0	4	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	22.0	7	70%	3	3	2	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	17.6	5	125%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	12.8	6	50%	3	2	3	0	2	1	1	2	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #9 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	57%	39	27	10	5	13	16	10	29	12-15	80%	34-62	55%	10-26	38%

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27 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	35.2	21	62%	3	4	1	1	2	3	1	2	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	3-8	38%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	30.4	20	56%	6	4	1	1	2	4	1	5	2-3	67%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	29.2	11	69%	4	2	1	0	1	0	0	4	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	26.6	15	63%	4	5	1	0	3	0	0	4	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	10.4	2	20%	3	2	0	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	30.4	10	63%	6	3	1	2	0	2	5	1	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	25.3	13	54%	4	2	0	0	2	1	0	4	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	22.0	7	70%	3	3	2	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	17.6	5	125%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	12.8	6	50%	3	2	3	0	2	1	1	2	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #9 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	57%	39	27	10	5	13	16	10	29	12-15	80%	34-62	55%	10-26	38%

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2 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · SF · 6'11" 220 · 23	41.3	32	70%	8	0	0	1	1	1	3	5	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	7-13	54%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	40.1	20	71%	8	6	1	1	2	0	2	6	0-0	-	10-13	77%	0-1	0%
Kevin Durant #7 · SG · 6'11" 240 · 37	36.1	18	41%	6	8	1	0	3	1	3	3	7-8	88%	4-10	40%	1-8	13%
Alperen Sengun #28 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 23	33.0	21	62%	8	4	5	1	4	5	2	6	3-5	60%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	27.4	5	63%	10	2	0	0	1	1	5	5	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	17.6	11	61%	3	1	1	0	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	16.9	4	50%	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	15.9	8	80%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	7.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	4.2	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	58%	47	22	9	4	15	12	17	30	16-22	73%	32-54	59%	13-36	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.13 56.7%

HOU

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

74%

HOU

64%

Midrange

NOP

40%

HOU

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

15.0

38%

58%

HOU

19.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

NOP

80%

HOU

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Murphy	21	62%	10.5 / 17
Z. Williamson	20	56%	10.0 / 18
D. Queen	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Poole	13	54%	6.5 / 12
S. Bey	11	69%	5.5 / 8
Y. Missi	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Peavy	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Hawkins	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Matković	5	125%	2.5 / 2
J. Fears	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Smith	32	70%	16.0 / 23
A. Sengun	21	62%	10.5 / 17
A. Thompson	20	71%	10.0 / 14
K. Durant	18	41%	9.0 / 22
R. Sheppard	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. Finney-Smith	8	80%	4.0 / 5
S. Adams	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Okogie	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Davison	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.3 8 117.5	NOP 111.1 HOU 120.2 +9.1
Pace	11 101.3 29 96.9	NOP 110.4 +20.6 HOU 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.1 1 15.8	NOP 13.0 −3.0 HOU 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.7% 17 54.2%	NOP 55.7% HOU 57.2% +1.5%
TO %	11 13.2% 25 14.7%	NOP 12.9% −0.2% HOU 13.1%
ORB %	8 27.0% 1 34.8%	NOP 25.0% HOU 37.0% +12.0%
FTrt	8 28.4 18 26.0	NOP 17.0 HOU 24.4 +7.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 27 59.1%	NOP 61.4% +12.5% HOU 48.9%
STL %	10 8.7% 9 8.7%	NOP 10.1% +1.0% HOU 9.1%
BLK %	7 10.1% 4 10.9%	NOP 9.3% +2.8% HOU 6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.4% 20 56.1%	NOP 56.7% HOU 58.3% +1.6%
Rim FG%	29 61.5% 13 64.8%	NOP 74.1% +9.8% HOU 64.3%
Mid FG%	30 36.6% 9 44.3%	NOP 40.0% HOU 53.8% +13.8%
3P %	24 34.7% 10 36.4%	NOP 38.5% +2.4% HOU 36.1%
FT %	14 78.4% 25 76.3%	NOP 80.0% +7.3% HOU 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.8% 20 30.7%	NOP 30.7% HOU 31.1% +0.4%
Mid Att. %	5 21.7% 29 34.2%	NOP 39.8% HOU 28.9% −10.9%
3P Att. %	27 35.5% 28 35.0%	NOP 29.5% HOU 40.0% +10.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	NOP	HOU
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	21.5	26.5
Points	110	119
Rebounds	39	47
Assists	27	22
Steals	10	9
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	16	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	17 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	30 (5)
Field Goals	44-88	45-90
At-the-Rim FG	20-27	18-28
Midrange FG	14-35	14-26
2-Point FG	34-62	32-54
3-Point FG	10-26	13-36
Free Throws	12-15	16-22
Fast Break Pts	17	13
2nd Chance Pts	13	27
Points in Paint	64	58
Pts off Turnovers	14	21
Bench Points	41	23
Biggest Lead	3	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg