Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 19, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Bucks	46%	115	112	108.7	103	107.4
	20	Hawks	54%	116	110	107.8	102	98.0

Prediction updated: Jan 19, 2026 05:31 PM

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

-13

ATL

+17

-10

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.19 59.6%

ATL

1.02 50.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	41.7	18	75%	3	1	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	6-12	50%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 30	30.5	10	45%	1	1	0	2	1	2	0	1	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	29.6	21	58%	17	6	1	1	3	3	3	14	7-12	58%	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	28.8	14	54%	3	3	2	1	2	5	0	3	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	27.8	14	70%	8	1	0	0	2	2	0	8	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-6	67%

Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	27.8	9	64%	6	7	1	1	3	3	0	6	5-5	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	23.6	19	63%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	3-7	43%
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	15.2	2	50%	2	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	15.1	5	83%	4	2	2	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amir Coffey #17 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	60%	47	24	8	6	13	20	4	43	18-25	72%	23-43	53%	16-36	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

17 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	41.7	18	75%	3	1	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	6-12	50%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 30	30.5	10	45%	1	1	0	2	1	2	0	1	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	29.6	21	58%	17	6	1	1	3	3	3	14	7-12	58%	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	28.8	14	54%	3	3	2	1	2	5	0	3	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	27.8	14	70%	8	1	0	0	2	2	0	8	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-6	67%

Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	27.8	9	64%	6	7	1	1	3	3	0	6	5-5	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	23.6	19	63%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	3-7	43%
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	15.2	2	50%	2	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	15.1	5	83%	4	2	2	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amir Coffey #17 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	60%	47	24	8	6	13	20	4	43	18-25	72%	23-43	53%	16-36	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	40.4	28	52%	16	6	0	1	2	2	5	11	3-6	50%	8-18	44%	3-6	50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	38.6	32	70%	6	6	1	1	0	1	0	6	7-7	100%	2-4	50%	7-16	44%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	33.8	4	25%	10	4	2	1	1	5	4	6	4-4	100%	0-3	0%	0-3	0%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	30.1	17	53%	9	10	3	1	2	5	3	6	1-1	100%	8-14	57%	0-2	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	20.0	2	25%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%

CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	24.5	17	61%	3	3	0	1	2	3	0	3	5-6	83%	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	20.4	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-6	0%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	11.6	6	60%	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Luke Kennard #4 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	10.3	2	100%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	10.3	2	33%	3	0	1	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
RayJ Dennis #0 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Torn ACL
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Contusion
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	51%	51	33	9	6	10	19	14	37	20-24	83%	27-54	50%	12-42	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.19 59.6%

ATL

1.02 50.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

62%

ATL

65%

Midrange

MIL

45%

ATL

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

24.0

44%

67%

ATL

18.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

MIL

72%

ATL

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	21	58%	10.5 / 18
B. Portis	19	63%	9.5 / 15
A. Green	18	75%	9.0 / 12
R. Rollins	14	54%	7.0 / 13
M. Turner	14	70%	7.0 / 10
K. Kuzma	10	45%	5.0 / 11
K. Porter	9	64%	4.5 / 7
P. Nance	5	83%	2.5 / 3
G. Harris	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Alexander-Walker	32	70%	16.0 / 23
J. Johnson	28	52%	14.0 / 27
D. Daniels	17	53%	8.5 / 16
C. McCollum	17	61%	8.5 / 14
A. Newell	6	60%	3.0 / 5
O. Okongwu	4	25%	2.0 / 8
C. Kispert	2	25%	1.0 / 4
L. Kennard	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Gueye	2	33%	1.0 / 3
V. Krejčí	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 112.3 14 115.1	MIL 108.7 +0.9 ATL 107.8
Pace	24 98.1 4 102.5	MIL 107.4 +9.4 ATL 98.0
Avg. Poss. Time	7 14.8 29 13.5	MIL 13.4 −1.3 ATL 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.5% 10 55.4%	MIL 59.5% +12.6% ATL 46.9%
TO %	24 14.7% 8 13.0%	MIL 12.6% ATL 8.6% −4.0%
ORB %	30 21.1% 20 24.3%	MIL 9.8% ATL 24.6% +14.8%
FTrt	29 22.3 27 23.4	MIL 31.6 +6.6 ATL 25.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 63.3% 4 69.1%	MIL 61.5% ATL 84.6% +23.1%
STL %	23 7.5% 6 9.1%	MIL 7.8% ATL 8.8% +1.0%
BLK %	25 8.2% 18 8.8%	MIL 11.1% ATL 14.0% +2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 14 56.9%	MIL 59.6% +8.7% ATL 50.9%
Rim FG%	4 67.1% 21 63.3%	MIL 61.9% ATL 64.7% +2.8%
Mid FG%	20 42.6% 6 44.6%	MIL 45.5% +20.5% ATL 25.0%
3P %	2 38.7% 5 37.1%	MIL 44.4% +15.8% ATL 28.6%
FT %	30 73.0% 20 77.4%	MIL 72.0% ATL 83.3% +11.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 28.2% 13 32.1%	MIL 26.6% ATL 35.4% +8.8%
Mid Att. %	16 26.1% 9 25.0%	MIL 27.8% ATL 20.8% −7.0%
3P Att. %	5 45.7% 11 42.9%	MIL 45.6% +1.8% ATL 43.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	MIL	ATL
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	112	110
Rebounds	47	51
Assists	24	33
Steals	8	9
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	20	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (1)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	43 (0)	37 (1)
Field Goals	39-79	39-96
At-the-Rim FG	13-21	22-34
Midrange FG	10-22	5-20
2-Point FG	23-43	27-54
3-Point FG	16-36	12-42
Free Throws	18-25	20-24
Fast Break Pts	15	22
2nd Chance Pts	6	16
Points in Paint	38	52
Pts off Turnovers	16	9
Bench Points	35	27
Biggest Lead	23	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg