Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 17, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Pacers	9%	100	78	70.3	111	79.4
	6	Pistons	91%	117	121	111.0	109	98.9

Prediction updated: Jan 18, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

IND

-24

DET

+10

-19

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.82 41.1%

DET

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	26.4	13	43%	5	2	1	0	4	1	1	4	3-6	50%	2-7	29%	2-5	40%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	24.4	5	36%	5	0	2	1	5	0	0	5	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	20.4	8	36%	1	2	2	0	5	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	13.7	8	80%	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	3-5	60%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	13.3	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%

Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	33.3	2	25%	9	5	1	0	2	1	0	9	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	28.8	2	10%	4	3	1	0	1	0	1	3	0-2	0%	1-6	17%	0-4	0%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	28.5	10	33%	5	2	1	0	2	2	1	4	3-6	50%	2-5	40%	1-8	13%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	17.7	12	100%	3	1	1	0	2	1	0	3	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	16.7	5	42%	4	2	3	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	16.6	10	71%	5	0	0	0	2	4	3	2	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	DNP – Rest
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	DNP – Rest
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee, Elbow; Injury Management
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	78	41%	42	18	13	2	24	18	6	36	14-27	52%	20-44	45%	8-35	23%

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29 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	26.4	13	43%	5	2	1	0	4	1	1	4	3-6	50%	2-7	29%	2-5	40%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	24.4	5	36%	5	0	2	1	5	0	0	5	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	20.4	8	36%	1	2	2	0	5	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	13.7	8	80%	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	3-5	60%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	13.3	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%

Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	33.3	2	25%	9	5	1	0	2	1	0	9	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	28.8	2	10%	4	3	1	0	1	0	1	3	0-2	0%	1-6	17%	0-4	0%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	28.5	10	33%	5	2	1	0	2	2	1	4	3-6	50%	2-5	40%	1-8	13%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	17.7	12	100%	3	1	1	0	2	1	0	3	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	16.7	5	42%	4	2	3	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	16.6	10	71%	5	0	0	0	2	4	3	2	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	DNP – Rest
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	DNP – Rest
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee, Elbow; Injury Management
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	78	41%	42	18	13	2	24	18	6	36	14-27	52%	20-44	45%	8-35	23%

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6 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	22.9	15	54%	8	4	1	0	1	3	1	7	3-5	60%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	22.2	16	100%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-6	67%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	21.2	16	57%	3	5	0	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	2-3	67%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 34	17.8	7	70%	5	4	1	0	3	2	0	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	15.7	7	70%	7	1	3	1	1	5	1	6	3-5	60%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 21	24.4	7	50%	6	3	2	1	1	3	2	4	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	21.1	5	36%	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	20.6	7	50%	7	5	1	1	2	3	1	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	20.1	10	45%	1	4	1	2	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	19.6	16	89%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-6	67%
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 24	12.0	3	75%	1	4	3	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	12.0	9	56%	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	10.4	3	75%	5	0	1	0	2	0	1	4	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Isaac Jones #13 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	51	32	15	6	19	26	7	44	13-19	68%	30-59	51%	16-34	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DET
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DET

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.82 41.1%

DET

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

68%

DET

62%

Midrange

IND

23%

DET

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

12.0

23%

34%

DET

24.0

47%

71%

Free Throws

IND

52%

DET

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Walker	13	43%	6.5 / 15
T. Bradley	12	100%	6.0 / 6
E. Thompson	10	33%	5.0 / 15
I. Jackson	10	71%	5.0 / 7
Q. Jackson	8	36%	4.0 / 11
B. Sheppard	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Furphy	5	36%	2.5 / 7
T. Peter	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Huff	3	50%	1.5 / 3
M. Potter	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Jones	2	10%	1.0 / 10

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Robinson	16	100%	8.0 / 8
C. Cunningham	16	57%	8.0 / 14
J. Green	16	89%	8.0 / 9
J. Duren	15	54%	7.5 / 14
C. LeVert	10	45%	5.0 / 11
M. Sasser	9	56%	4.5 / 8
T. Harris	7	70%	3.5 / 5
A. Thompson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
R. Holland	7	50%	3.5 / 7
I. Stewart	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Ivey	5	36%	2.5 / 7
D. Jenkins	3	75%	1.5 / 2
P. Reed	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 9 117.4	IND 70.3 DET 111.0 +40.7
Pace	10 101.4 20 99.3	IND 79.4 DET 98.9 +19.4
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 13 14.5	IND 18.1 DET 14.6 −3.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 15 54.7%	IND 40.5% DET 58.1% +17.6%
TO %	14 13.6% 21 14.1%	IND 21.6% DET 15.8% −5.8%
ORB %	29 21.7% 3 30.9%	IND 12.0% DET 16.3% +4.3%
FTrt	20 25.2 5 29.2	IND 34.2 +13.8 DET 20.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 16 64.1%	IND 64.3% DET 69.6% +5.3%
STL %	28 7.2% 1 10.4%	IND 11.7% DET 13.8% +2.1%
BLK %	26 8.1% 1 13.2%	IND 3.4% DET 13.6% +10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 12 57.0%	IND 41.1% DET 60.5% +19.4%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 16 64.7%	IND 68.2% +6.0% DET 62.2%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 27 40.5%	IND 22.7% DET 31.8% +9.1%
3P %	18 35.6% 17 35.6%	IND 22.9% DET 47.1% +24.2%
FT %	17 77.6% 27 76.3%	IND 51.9% DET 68.4% +16.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 2 40.1%	IND 27.8% DET 39.8% +11.9%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 11 25.3%	IND 27.8% DET 23.7% −4.2%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 29 34.5%	IND 44.3% +7.7% DET 36.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Game Totals	IND	DET
Possessions	111	109
Possession Minutes	33.5	26.5
Points	78	121
Rebounds	42	51
Assists	18	32
Steals	13	15
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	24 (1)	19 (0)
Fouls	18	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (4)	44 (5)
Field Goals	28-79	46-93
At-the-Rim FG	15-22	23-37
Midrange FG	5-22	7-22
2-Point FG	20-44	30-59
3-Point FG	8-35	16-34
Free Throws	14-27	13-19
Fast Break Pts	21	20
2nd Chance Pts	6	13
Points in Paint	40	54
Pts off Turnovers	9	34
Bench Points	41	60
Biggest Lead	0	46

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg