Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 29, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Nets	33%	110	103	118.4	87	86.5
	24	Nuggets	67%	115	107	120.2	89	89.4

Prediction updated: Jan 30, 2026 02:03 AM

Scoring Opportunities

BKN

+16

-8

DEN

+13

-6

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BKN

1.07 53.6%

DEN

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #17 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 28	37.1	38	63%	10	3	2	2	1	3	2	8	5-5	100%	6-13	46%	7-15	47%
Nic Claxton #33 · C · 6'11" 215 · 27	31.3	10	63%	8	7	0	1	2	4	3	5	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Nolan Traore #88 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 20	30.3	9	56%	2	4	0	1	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 29	28.9	12	55%	6	1	0	0	2	2	2	4	4-5	80%	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Danny Wolf #2 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 22	27.6	7	50%	4	3	0	1	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%

Drake Powell #4 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 20	20.0	7	58%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Ben Saraf #77 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	17.7	0	0%	2	3	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Tyrese Martin #13 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	17.4	5	31%	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Day'Ron Sharpe #20 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	16.7	7	58%	9	1	2	0	1	3	5	4	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jalen Wilson #22 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 25	13.0	8	80%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
E.J. Liddell #9 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ziaire Williams #1 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Tyson Etienne #10 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chaney Johnson #31 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Egor Dëmin #8 · PG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Plantar Fascia; Injury Management
Noah Clowney #21 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Injury Management
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Haywood Highsmith #7 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery, Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	54%	49	24	4	6	8	21	14	35	15-18	83%	23-48	48%	14-37	38%

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29 Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #17 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 28	37.1	38	63%	10	3	2	2	1	3	2	8	5-5	100%	6-13	46%	7-15	47%
Nic Claxton #33 · C · 6'11" 215 · 27	31.3	10	63%	8	7	0	1	2	4	3	5	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Nolan Traore #88 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 20	30.3	9	56%	2	4	0	1	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 29	28.9	12	55%	6	1	0	0	2	2	2	4	4-5	80%	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Danny Wolf #2 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 22	27.6	7	50%	4	3	0	1	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%

Drake Powell #4 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 20	20.0	7	58%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Ben Saraf #77 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	17.7	0	0%	2	3	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Tyrese Martin #13 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	17.4	5	31%	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Day'Ron Sharpe #20 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	16.7	7	58%	9	1	2	0	1	3	5	4	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jalen Wilson #22 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 25	13.0	8	80%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
E.J. Liddell #9 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ziaire Williams #1 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Tyson Etienne #10 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chaney Johnson #31 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Egor Dëmin #8 · PG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Plantar Fascia; Injury Management
Noah Clowney #21 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Injury Management
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Haywood Highsmith #7 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery, Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	54%	49	24	4	6	8	21	14	35	15-18	83%	23-48	48%	14-37	38%

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24 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	34.2	19	53%	2	3	0	2	0	1	0	2	3-6	50%	5-12	42%	2-3	67%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	33.0	27	71%	4	6	2	0	2	1	1	3	7-7	100%	7-13	54%	2-3	67%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	24.6	12	55%	9	3	1	0	0	3	2	7	4-4	100%	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	15.2	1	13%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	15.0	0	0%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	33.0	12	75%	3	3	0	0	2	2	0	3	1-3	33%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	27.6	25	78%	8	3	1	0	0	0	1	7	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	7-11	64%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	22.8	4	50%	7	1	0	2	1	2	3	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	21.9	7	50%	1	1	2	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	12.7	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	57%	41	24	6	4	6	14	7	34	18-25	72%	25-54	46%	13-26	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BKN	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	BKN	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BKN

1.07 53.6%

DEN

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BKN

62%

DEN

54%

Midrange

BKN

26%

DEN

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BKN

21.0

38%

57%

DEN

19.5

50%

75%

Free Throws

BKN

83%

DEN

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	38	63%	19.0 / 30
T. Mann	12	55%	6.0 / 11
N. Claxton	10	63%	5.0 / 8
N. Traore	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Wilson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Wolf	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. Powell	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Sharpe	7	58%	3.5 / 6
T. Martin	5	31%	2.5 / 8
B. Saraf	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	27	71%	13.5 / 19
T. Hardaway	25	78%	12.5 / 16
P. Watson	19	53%	9.5 / 18
J. Valančiūnas	12	55%	6.0 / 11
B. Brown	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Strawther	7	50%	3.5 / 7
Z. Nnaji	4	50%	2.0 / 4
S. Jones	1	13%	0.5 / 4
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 2
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 108.2 1 121.3	BKN 118.4 DEN 120.2 +1.8
Pace	26 97.5 19 99.4	BKN 86.5 DEN 89.4 +2.9
Avg. Poss. Time	8 14.7 9 14.7	BKN 16.6 DEN 16.1 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 52.0% 1 57.7%	BKN 51.8% DEN 55.6% +3.8%
TO %	29 15.3% 3 12.1%	BKN 8.8% DEN 7.1% −1.7%
ORB %	25 23.6% 24 23.6%	BKN 29.2% +12.5% DEN 16.7%
FTrt	13 27.2 4 29.4	BKN 21.2 DEN 31.3 +10.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 66.8% 9 66.5%	BKN 64.9% +1.7% DEN 63.2%
STL %	19 8.1% 30 6.8%	BKN 4.6% DEN 6.7% +2.1%
BLK %	24 8.2% 29 7.6%	BKN 11.1% +2.8% DEN 8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 54.6% 1 60.1%	BKN 53.6% DEN 56.9% +3.3%
Rim FG%	28 61.5% 12 65.1%	BKN 62.1% +8.5% DEN 53.6%
Mid FG%	28 39.0% 2 47.0%	BKN 26.3% DEN 38.5% +12.2%
3P %	30 34.0% 1 39.6%	BKN 37.8% DEN 50.0% +12.2%
FT %	16 78.0% 5 80.8%	BKN 83.3% +11.3% DEN 72.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 33.6% 19 31.1%	BKN 34.1% DEN 35.0% +0.9%
Mid Att. %	4 20.9% 21 28.1%	BKN 22.4% −10.1% DEN 32.5%
3P Att. %	6 45.5% 17 40.8%	BKN 43.5% +11.0% DEN 32.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	BKN	DEN
Possessions	87	89
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	103	107
Rebounds	49	41
Assists	24	24
Steals	4	6
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	6 (1)
Fouls	21	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	7 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	34 (1)
Field Goals	37-85	38-80
At-the-Rim FG	18-29	15-28
Midrange FG	5-19	10-26
2-Point FG	23-48	25-54
3-Point FG	14-37	13-26
Free Throws	15-18	18-25
Fast Break Pts	9	11
2nd Chance Pts	15	10
Points in Paint	42	40
Pts off Turnovers	7	12
Bench Points	27	48
Biggest Lead	5	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg