Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Timberwolves	70%	116	118	112.4	105	99.3
	25	Mavericks	30%	109	105	100.0	105	111.2

Prediction updated: Jan 29, 2026 01:33 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+15

-12

108

DAL

+19

-17

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.09 54.6%

DAL

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	38.1	20	50%	6	6	3	1	2	0	0	6	5-6	83%	3-13	23%	3-4	75%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	33.6	31	65%	5	4	1	0	1	3	3	2	7-7	100%	12-18	67%	0-3	0%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	30.4	8	50%	2	2	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	27.6	8	50%	5	1	5	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	20.6	6	38%	6	1	2	2	2	4	2	4	2-7	29%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	28.0	23	64%	8	3	3	1	4	4	1	7	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	3-10	30%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	22.5	6	50%	1	5	1	1	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	15.9	9	75%	4	1	0	1	0	2	4	0	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	12.3	7	58%	4	2	0	0	1	3	0	4	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	11.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Abductor Hallucis Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	55%	42	26	15	6	12	25	11	31	20-27	74%	31-60	52%	12-34	35%

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6 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	38.1	20	50%	6	6	3	1	2	0	0	6	5-6	83%	3-13	23%	3-4	75%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	33.6	31	65%	5	4	1	0	1	3	3	2	7-7	100%	12-18	67%	0-3	0%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	30.4	8	50%	2	2	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	27.6	8	50%	5	1	5	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	20.6	6	38%	6	1	2	2	2	4	2	4	2-7	29%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	28.0	23	64%	8	3	3	1	4	4	1	7	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	3-10	30%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	22.5	6	50%	1	5	1	1	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	15.9	9	75%	4	1	0	1	0	2	4	0	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	12.3	7	58%	4	2	0	0	1	3	0	4	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	11.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Abductor Hallucis Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	55%	42	26	15	6	12	25	11	31	20-27	74%	31-60	52%	12-34	35%

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25 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	33.6	21	48%	7	2	0	2	3	2	1	6	1-4	25%	10-16	63%	0-4	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	32.5	4	29%	8	5	2	0	1	1	1	7	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Naji Marshall #13 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 28	32.3	18	56%	6	1	0	1	2	3	2	4	4-5	80%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	32.3	9	38%	4	1	1	0	3	1	0	4	7-8	88%	1-3	33%	0-5	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	20.9	14	70%	6	0	1	0	2	3	5	1	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	26.6	5	50%	9	4	0	0	2	4	5	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	24.3	11	61%	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	23.7	17	53%	5	3	0	0	2	2	0	5	8-12	67%	3-9	33%	1-1	100%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	9.9	6	60%	1	2	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	4.0	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Injury Management
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	50%	50	22	6	3	17	19	14	36	26-39	67%	35-66	53%	3-18	17%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.09 54.6%

DAL

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

55%

DAL

61%

Midrange

MIN

48%

DAL

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

18.0

35%

53%

DAL

4.5

17%

25%

Free Throws

MIN

74%

DAL

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Randle	31	65%	15.5 / 24
N. Reid	23	64%	11.5 / 18
A. Edwards	20	50%	10.0 / 20
J. Beringer	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. McDaniels	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. DiVincenzo	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. Hyland	7	58%	3.5 / 6
R. Gobert	6	38%	3.0 / 8
M. Conley	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Clark	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Washington	21	48%	10.5 / 22
N. Marshall	18	56%	9.0 / 16
B. Williams	17	53%	8.5 / 16
D. Gafford	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Hardy	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Christie	9	38%	4.5 / 12
R. Nembhard	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Powell	5	50%	2.5 / 5
C. Martin	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 115.7 27 110.4	MIN 112.4 +12.4 DAL 100.0
Pace	9 101.4 6 102.5	MIN 99.3 DAL 111.2 +11.9
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 24 14.0	MIN 14.5 DAL 12.9 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.9% 28 52.7%	MIN 52.1% +5.1% DAL 47.0%
TO %	18 13.9% 13 13.5%	MIN 10.2% −5.6% DAL 15.8%
ORB %	15 25.7% 26 23.2%	MIN 23.4% DAL 31.1% +7.7%
FTrt	7 28.5 6 28.7	MIN 28.7 DAL 46.4 +17.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.2% 22 60.4%	MIN 60.5% +2.6% DAL 57.9%
STL %	13 8.6% 27 7.3%	MIN 14.3% +8.6% DAL 5.7%
BLK %	6 10.4% 16 9.0%	MIN 9.1% +4.1% DAL 5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 57.6% 28 55.2%	MIN 54.6% +5.1% DAL 49.5%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 22 63.2%	MIN 54.8% DAL 61.0% +6.2%
Mid FG%	14 43.7% 18 43.1%	MIN 48.3% +8.3% DAL 40.0%
3P %	6 37.0% 26 34.4%	MIN 35.3% +18.6% DAL 16.7%
FT %	29 75.2% 28 75.5%	MIN 74.1% +7.4% DAL 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.0% 12 32.8%	MIN 33.0% DAL 48.8% +15.8%
Mid Att. %	10 25.0% 28 31.7%	MIN 30.9% DAL 29.8% −1.1%
3P Att. %	16 42.0% 26 35.5%	MIN 36.2% +14.7% DAL 21.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	DAL
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.7
Points	118	105
Rebounds	42	50
Assists	26	22
Steals	15	6
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	17 (2)
Fouls	25	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	36 (3)
Field Goals	43-94	38-84
At-the-Rim FG	17-31	25-41
Midrange FG	14-29	10-25
2-Point FG	31-60	35-66
3-Point FG	12-34	3-18
Free Throws	20-27	26-39
Fast Break Pts	11	19
2nd Chance Pts	21	9
Points in Paint	52	60
Pts off Turnovers	22	14
Bench Points	45	39
Biggest Lead	17	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg