Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Hawks	29%	113	117	121.9	96	113.1
	3	Celtics	71%	120	106	110.4	96	83.4

Prediction updated: Jan 29, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+12

-9

BOS

+18

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.18 59.1%

BOS

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	35.4	15	68%	6	9	5	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-1	100%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	32.7	19	53%	14	7	0	0	3	5	2	12	4-6	67%	3-11	27%	3-5	60%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	30.9	21	66%	1	3	3	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	5-12	42%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	28.7	17	65%	6	3	2	1	2	2	2	4	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	20.2	13	72%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-5	60%

CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	29.4	13	46%	3	3	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-5	20%
Luke Kennard #4 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	24.0	9	64%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	18.6	5	83%	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	12.6	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	6.2	5	83%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	NWT - Not With Team \| Left Knee; Bone Contusion
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
RayJ Dennis #0 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	59%	38	29	11	2	9	19	10	28	9-13	69%	27-51	53%	18-42	43%

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18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	35.4	15	68%	6	9	5	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-1	100%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	32.7	19	53%	14	7	0	0	3	5	2	12	4-6	67%	3-11	27%	3-5	60%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	30.9	21	66%	1	3	3	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	5-12	42%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	28.7	17	65%	6	3	2	1	2	2	2	4	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	20.2	13	72%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-5	60%

CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	29.4	13	46%	3	3	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-5	20%
Luke Kennard #4 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	24.0	9	64%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	18.6	5	83%	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	12.6	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	6.2	5	83%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	NWT - Not With Team \| Left Knee; Bone Contusion
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
RayJ Dennis #0 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	59%	38	29	11	2	9	19	10	28	9-13	69%	27-51	53%	18-42	43%

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3 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	30.9	11	42%	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	29.2	21	50%	7	3	0	1	3	2	0	7	3-4	75%	9-15	60%	0-5	0%
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 28	27.9	12	50%	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-3	0%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	25.4	12	67%	7	1	0	1	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-6	33%
Amari Williams #77 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	15.2	2	33%	6	2	0	1	2	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	26.6	10	100%	5	0	0	1	1	2	1	4	1-2	50%	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	23.9	11	55%	6	6	0	0	4	1	5	1	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	20.9	4	40%	7	1	1	1	1	4	5	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	18.8	12	86%	1	1	1	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	16.6	6	43%	3	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	4-5	80%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	4.7	5	83%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-Covid
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	55%	51	21	3	6	16	13	15	36	13-16	81%	33-55	60%	9-34	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	BOS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.18 59.1%

BOS

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

74%

BOS

63%

Midrange

ATL

41%

BOS

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

27.0

43%

64%

BOS

13.5

26%

40%

Free Throws

ATL

69%

BOS

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Alexander-Walker	21	66%	10.5 / 16
J. Johnson	19	53%	9.5 / 18
O. Okongwu	17	65%	8.5 / 13
D. Daniels	15	68%	7.5 / 11
C. Kispert	13	72%	6.5 / 9
C. McCollum	13	46%	6.5 / 14
L. Kennard	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Gueye	5	83%	2.5 / 3
V. Krejčí	5	83%	2.5 / 3
C. Koloko	0	-	0.0 / 1
K. Wallace	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	21	50%	10.5 / 21
P. Pritchard	12	50%	6.0 / 12
S. Hauser	12	67%	6.0 / 9
A. Simons	12	86%	6.0 / 7
D. White	11	42%	5.5 / 13
L. Garza	11	55%	5.5 / 10
H. González	10	100%	5.0 / 5
B. Scheierman	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Minott	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Walsh	4	40%	2.0 / 5
A. Williams	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 115.1 2 120.0	ATL 121.9 +11.5 BOS 110.4
Pace	4 102.5 30 95.5	ATL 113.1 +29.7 BOS 83.4
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.5 2 15.7	ATL 12.7 −4.5 BOS 17.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 11 55.3%	ATL 58.1% +5.9% BOS 52.2%
TO %	8 13.0% 2 12.0%	ATL 8.4% −5.9% BOS 14.3%
ORB %	20 24.3% 6 29.2%	ATL 21.7% BOS 34.9% +13.2%
FTrt	27 23.4 30 20.7	ATL 14.0 BOS 18.0 +4.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 69.1% 30 58.5%	ATL 64.4% +14.4% BOS 50.0%
STL %	6 9.1% 25 7.4%	ATL 11.5% +8.4% BOS 3.1%
BLK %	18 8.8% 5 10.4%	ATL 3.6% BOS 11.8% +8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 13 56.9%	ATL 59.1% +4.5% BOS 54.6%
Rim FG%	21 63.3% 2 68.9%	ATL 73.7% +10.7% BOS 63.0%
Mid FG%	6 44.6% 12 44.2%	ATL 40.6% BOS 57.1% +16.5%
3P %	5 37.1% 8 36.7%	ATL 42.9% +16.4% BOS 26.5%
FT %	20 77.4% 7 80.7%	ATL 69.2% BOS 81.3% +12.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 32.1% 30 24.4%	ATL 20.4% BOS 30.3% +9.9%
Mid Att. %	9 25.0% 24 28.9%	ATL 34.4% BOS 31.5% −2.9%
3P Att. %	11 42.9% 4 46.7%	ATL 45.2% +7.0% BOS 38.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Game Totals	ATL	BOS
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	20.4	27.6
Points	117	106
Rebounds	38	51
Assists	29	21
Steals	11	3
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	19	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (5)	36 (1)
Field Goals	45-93	42-89
At-the-Rim FG	14-19	17-27
Midrange FG	13-32	16-28
2-Point FG	27-51	33-55
3-Point FG	18-42	9-34
Free Throws	9-13	13-16
Fast Break Pts	12	4
2nd Chance Pts	20	21
Points in Paint	44	38
Pts off Turnovers	23	16
Bench Points	32	48
Biggest Lead	23	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg