Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 20, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Timberwolves	89%	127	122	116.2	105	104.5
	30	Jazz	11%	111	127	121.0	105	105.5

Prediction updated: Jan 21, 2026 01:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+21

-11

115

UTA

+10

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.07 53.5%

UTA

1.28 64.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	39.2	38	58%	8	3	2	0	1	1	1	7	11-12	92%	6-13	46%	5-15	33%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	34.9	18	53%	6	6	1	1	5	3	2	4	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	33.9	19	50%	2	3	3	0	3	2	2	0	4-6	67%	6-11	55%	1-5	20%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	33.0	15	58%	5	8	2	0	2	3	1	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-9	33%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	29.3	11	79%	10	0	2	4	0	1	3	7	1-5	20%	5-5	100%	0-0	-

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	28.1	13	43%	9	4	0	0	0	4	3	6	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-9	33%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	16.6	4	100%	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	15.6	0	0%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	5.0	4	67%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	4.4	0	0%	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Abductor Hallucis Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	54%	46	28	12	6	11	17	15	31	20-27	74%	30-53	57%	14-47	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	39.2	38	58%	8	3	2	0	1	1	1	7	11-12	92%	6-13	46%	5-15	33%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	34.9	18	53%	6	6	1	1	5	3	2	4	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	33.9	19	50%	2	3	3	0	3	2	2	0	4-6	67%	6-11	55%	1-5	20%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	33.0	15	58%	5	8	2	0	2	3	1	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-9	33%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	29.3	11	79%	10	0	2	4	0	1	3	7	1-5	20%	5-5	100%	0-0	-

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	28.1	13	43%	9	4	0	0	0	4	3	6	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-9	33%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	16.6	4	100%	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	15.6	0	0%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	5.0	4	67%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	4.4	0	0%	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Abductor Hallucis Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	54%	46	28	12	6	11	17	15	31	20-27	74%	30-53	57%	14-47	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	39.5	43	69%	0	3	2	0	6	4	0	0	7-8	88%	9-15	60%	6-13	46%
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	33.2	20	59%	5	1	1	0	3	2	1	4	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	3-8	38%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	30.8	16	67%	18	10	1	1	2	5	3	15	2-3	67%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
Cody Williams #5 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 21	28.9	8	80%	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 29	17.3	4	67%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	33.5	11	69%	8	4	1	0	3	5	3	5	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	26.3	18	75%	4	10	1	1	1	3	0	4	3-7	43%	6-9	67%	1-1	100%
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	17.2	2	33%	1	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	13.5	5	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	DND – Rest
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	64%	45	31	8	4	16	22	8	37	19-26	73%	36-58	62%	12-29	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.07 53.5%

UTA

1.28 64.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

82%

UTA

66%

Midrange

MIN

39%

UTA

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

21.0

30%

45%

UTA

18.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

MIN

74%

UTA

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	38	58%	19.0 / 33
J. Randle	19	50%	9.5 / 19
J. McDaniels	18	53%	9.0 / 17
D. DiVincenzo	15	58%	7.5 / 13
N. Reid	13	43%	6.5 / 15
R. Gobert	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Clark	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Beringer	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Conley	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	43	69%	21.5 / 31
A. Bailey	20	59%	10.0 / 17
I. Collier	18	75%	9.0 / 12
J. Nurkić	16	67%	8.0 / 12
K. Filipowski	11	69%	5.5 / 8
C. Williams	8	80%	4.0 / 5
W. Clayton	5	50%	2.5 / 5
S. Mykhailiuk	4	67%	2.0 / 3
K. Anderson	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 115.7 22 112.9	MIN 116.2 UTA 121.0 +4.8
Pace	9 101.4 2 103.4	MIN 104.5 UTA 105.5 +1.0
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 27 13.8	MIN 13.8 UTA 13.6 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.9% 20 53.6%	MIN 51.0% UTA 62.1% +11.1%
TO %	18 13.9% 23 14.4%	MIN 9.0% −5.7% UTA 14.7%
ORB %	15 25.7% 12 26.2%	MIN 28.8% +8.3% UTA 20.5%
FTrt	7 28.5 10 27.7	MIN 27.0 UTA 29.9 +2.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.2% 2 69.6%	MIN 63.6% UTA 64.6% +1.0%
STL %	13 8.6% 14 8.5%	MIN 11.4% +3.8% UTA 7.6%
BLK %	6 10.4% 30 7.5%	MIN 10.3% +2.8% UTA 7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 57.6% 18 56.4%	MIN 53.5% UTA 64.1% +10.6%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 17 64.5%	MIN 81.8% +16.2% UTA 65.6%
Mid FG%	14 43.7% 8 44.4%	MIN 38.7% UTA 57.7% +19.0%
3P %	6 37.0% 25 34.5%	MIN 29.8% UTA 41.4% +11.6%
FT %	29 75.2% 13 78.6%	MIN 74.1% +1.0% UTA 73.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.0% 17 31.3%	MIN 22.0% UTA 36.8% +14.8%
Mid Att. %	10 25.0% 23 28.4%	MIN 31.0% UTA 29.9% −1.1%
3P Att. %	16 42.0% 21 40.3%	MIN 47.0% +13.7% UTA 33.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	UTA
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	122	127
Rebounds	46	45
Assists	28	31
Steals	12	8
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	16 (1)
Fouls	17	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (6)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	37 (2)
Field Goals	44-100	48-87
At-the-Rim FG	18-22	21-32
Midrange FG	12-31	15-26
2-Point FG	30-53	36-58
3-Point FG	14-47	12-29
Free Throws	20-27	19-26
Fast Break Pts	27	18
2nd Chance Pts	19	15
Points in Paint	50	62
Pts off Turnovers	21	16
Bench Points	21	36
Biggest Lead	15	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg