Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 30, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Clippers	51%	115	109	116.0	94	100.0
	15	Nuggets	49%	114	122	128.4	95	89.6

Prediction updated: Jan 31, 2026 02:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

+12

-9

DEN

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.12 56.2%

DEN

1.34 67.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	33.9	25	66%	5	9	0	1	4	2	1	4	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	4-10	40%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	31.2	18	82%	6	4	1	1	0	4	3	3	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	4-7	57%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	31.1	21	53%	3	6	2	0	2	2	0	3	4-5	80%	7-14	50%	1-4	25%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	29.7	13	59%	7	2	0	0	2	3	2	5	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	25.5	5	28%	2	5	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-6	17%

Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	22.5	8	57%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	21.8	6	50%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	18.7	7	50%	3	0	1	0	0	2	2	1	1-3	33%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	16.3	0	0%	3	0	2	1	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	3.6	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	3.6	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
TyTy Washington Jr. #14 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	56%	34	29	7	3	9	21	11	23	15-21	71%	26-46	57%	14-40	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

10 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	33.9	25	66%	5	9	0	1	4	2	1	4	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	4-10	40%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	31.2	18	82%	6	4	1	1	0	4	3	3	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	4-7	57%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	31.1	21	53%	3	6	2	0	2	2	0	3	4-5	80%	7-14	50%	1-4	25%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	29.7	13	59%	7	2	0	0	2	3	2	5	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	25.5	5	28%	2	5	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-6	17%

Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	22.5	8	57%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	21.8	6	50%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	18.7	7	50%	3	0	1	0	0	2	2	1	1-3	33%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	16.3	0	0%	3	0	2	1	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	3.6	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	3.6	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
TyTy Washington Jr. #14 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	56%	34	29	7	3	9	21	11	23	15-21	71%	26-46	57%	14-40	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	35.9	20	91%	4	9	1	0	3	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	4-5	80%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	35.3	21	58%	4	3	0	0	3	1	2	2	1-2	50%	7-12	58%	2-5	40%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	35.1	4	40%	6	1	1	1	0	3	1	5	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	24.5	31	78%	12	5	3	0	1	3	2	10	13-17	76%	6-8	75%	2-3	67%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	14.2	0	0%	3	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	26.3	6	60%	2	3	1	0	2	4	0	2	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	24.6	22	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	5-5	100%	1-2	50%	5-7	71%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	21.5	11	50%	6	2	0	2	2	2	0	6	1-1	100%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	16.6	3	75%	3	3	1	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	2.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	2.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	2.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	67%	43	30	7	4	12	18	7	36	26-32	81%	24-45	53%	16-28	57%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	DEN

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.12 56.2%

DEN

1.34 67.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

71%

DEN

71%

Midrange

LAC

44%

DEN

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

21.0

35%

53%

DEN

24.0

57%

86%

Free Throws

LAC

71%

DEN

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	25	66%	12.5 / 19
K. Leonard	21	53%	10.5 / 20
J. Collins	18	82%	9.0 / 11
I. Zubac	13	59%	6.5 / 11
K. Sanders	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Miller	7	50%	3.5 / 7
N. Batum	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Dunn	5	28%	2.5 / 9
C. Christie	3	150%	1.5 / 1
K. Brown	3	75%	1.5 / 2
Y. Niederhäuser	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	31	78%	15.5 / 20
T. Hardaway	22	100%	11.0 / 11
P. Watson	21	58%	10.5 / 18
J. Murray	20	91%	10.0 / 11
J. Valančiūnas	11	50%	5.5 / 11
B. Brown	6	60%	3.0 / 5
S. Jones	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Strawther	3	75%	1.5 / 2
Z. Nnaji	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Holmes	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 116.4 1 121.3	LAC 116.0 DEN 128.4 +12.5
Pace	28 97.3 19 99.4	LAC 100.0 +10.4 DEN 89.6
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 9 14.7	LAC 14.4 −1.7 DEN 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 55.9% 1 57.7%	LAC 54.7% DEN 65.8% +11.1%
TO %	17 13.9% 3 12.1%	LAC 8.6% −4.4% DEN 13.0%
ORB %	23 23.7% 24 23.6%	LAC 23.4% +0.1% DEN 23.3%
FTrt	3 29.5 4 29.4	LAC 24.4 DEN 43.8 +19.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 58.6% 9 66.5%	LAC 72.5% DEN 75.0% +2.5%
STL %	5 9.2% 30 6.8%	LAC 7.4% DEN 7.4%
BLK %	13 9.5% 29 7.6%	LAC 6.7% DEN 8.7% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.7% 1 60.1%	LAC 56.2% DEN 67.0% +10.8%
Rim FG%	3 67.1% 12 65.1%	LAC 71.4% +0.8% DEN 70.6%
Mid FG%	10 44.2% 2 47.0%	LAC 44.0% +1.1% DEN 42.9%
3P %	7 36.8% 1 39.6%	LAC 35.0% DEN 57.1% +22.1%
FT %	1 82.3% 5 80.8%	LAC 71.4% DEN 81.3% +9.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.6% 19 31.1%	LAC 24.4% +1.1% DEN 23.3%
Mid Att. %	20 27.9% 21 28.1%	LAC 29.1% −9.3% DEN 38.4%
3P Att. %	19 40.4% 17 40.8%	LAC 46.5% +8.2% DEN 38.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	LAC	DEN
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	109	122
Rebounds	34	43
Assists	29	30
Steals	7	7
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	21	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (4)	36 (2)
Field Goals	40-86	40-73
At-the-Rim FG	15-21	12-17
Midrange FG	11-25	12-28
2-Point FG	26-46	24-45
3-Point FG	14-40	16-28
Free Throws	15-21	26-32
Fast Break Pts	15	8
2nd Chance Pts	15	13
Points in Paint	44	40
Pts off Turnovers	20	13
Bench Points	27	46
Biggest Lead	7	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg