Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, January 30, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 77% | 118 | 142 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 23% | 108 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 48% | 110 | 120 | |
| 16 | Magic | 52% | 111 | 130 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 12% | 105 | 93 | |
| 5 | Celtics | 88% | 120 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | 31% | 112 | 97 | |
| 8 | Knicks | 69% | 118 | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 52% | 116 | 106 | |
| 22 | Pelicans | 48% | 115 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 58% | 114 | 113 | |
| 14 | Suns | 42% | 111 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 51% | 115 | 109 | |
| 15 | Nuggets | 49% | 114 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 56% | 118 | 109 | |
| 30 | Jazz | 44% | 116 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 40% | 109 | 131 | |
| 7 | Warriors | 60% | 112 | 124 | |
Thursday, January 29, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 21% | 108 | 111 | |
| 10 | 76ers | 79% | 119 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 52% | 114 | 99 | |
| 28 | Wizards | 48% | 113 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 51% | 120 | 116 | |
| 20 | Bulls | 49% | 119 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 67% | 116 | 104 | |
| 22 | Hawks | 33% | 110 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 62% | 115 | 123 | |
| 25 | Mavericks | 38% | 111 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 33% | 110 | 103 | |
| 24 | Nuggets | 67% | 115 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 59% | 110 | 96 | |
| 16 | Suns | 41% | 107 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 65% | 114 | 111 | |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 35% | 109 | 123 | |
Wednesday, January 28, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 36% | 113 | 99 | |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 64% | 118 | 129 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 54% | 118 | 110 | |
| 23 | Pacers | 46% | 117 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 29% | 113 | 117 | |
| 3 | Celtics | 71% | 120 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 44% | 114 | 133 | |
| 13 | Heat | 56% | 115 | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 44% | 112 | 119 | |
| 12 | Raptors | 56% | 114 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 49% | 115 | 112 | |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 51% | 116 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 70% | 116 | 118 | |
| 25 | Mavericks | 30% | 109 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 76% | 123 | 140 | |
| 26 | Jazz | 24% | 114 | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 39% | 110 | 111 | |
| 2 | Rockets | 61% | 114 | 99 | |
Tuesday, January 27, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Blazers | 62% | 117 | 111 | |
| 28 | Wizards | 38% | 113 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 13% | 107 | 87 | |
| 3 | Knicks | 87% | 122 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 26% | 106 | 122 | |
| 10 | 76ers | 74% | 115 | 139 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 16% | 109 | 95 | |
| 1 | Thunder | 84% | 122 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 69% | 116 | 109 | |
| 25 | Nuggets | 31% | 109 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 29% | 105 | 102 | |
| 21 | Suns | 71% | 112 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 75% | 121 | 115 | |
| 30 | Jazz | 25% | 112 | 103 | |
Monday, January 26, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 38% | 114 | 116 | |
| 15 | Hawks | 62% | 118 | 132 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 43% | 113 | 93 | |
| 12 | Hornets | 57% | 115 | 130 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 37% | 112 | 98 | |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 63% | 116 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | 22% | 108 | 94 | |
| 2 | Celtics | 78% | 118 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 48% | 118 | 129 | |
| 16 | Bulls | 52% | 119 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 21% | 106 | 99 | |
| 3 | Rockets | 79% | 116 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 37% | 107 | 83 | |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 63% | 111 | 108 | |
Sunday, January 25, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 15% | 104 | 116 | |
| 7 | Pistons | 85% | 118 | 139 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 40% | 112 | 111 | |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 60% | 115 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 23% | 106 | 103 | |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 116 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 21% | 112 | 104 | |
| 6 | Spurs | 79% | 122 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 37% | 110 | 111 | |
| 11 | Suns | 63% | 115 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 27% | 104 | 89 | |
| 10 | Clippers | 73% | 112 | 126 | |
Saturday, January 24, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 18% | 110 | 115 | |
| 14 | Hornets | 82% | 122 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 47% | 114 | 112 | |
| 9 | 76ers | 53% | 115 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 51% | 114 | 119 | |
| 15 | Magic | 49% | 113 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 59% | 119 | 111 | |
| 19 | Bulls | 41% | 116 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 57% | 114 | 116 | |
| 23 | Mavericks | 43% | 112 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 75% | 125 | 147 | |
| 30 | Jazz | 25% | 116 | 116 | |
Friday, January 23, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 39% | 108 | 111 | |
| 5 | Pistons | 61% | 111 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 56% | 118 | 103 | |
| 18 | Hawks | 44% | 116 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 71% | 116 | 130 | |
| 25 | Nets | 29% | 109 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 17% | 110 | 118 | |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 83% | 122 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 35% | 113 | 133 | |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 65% | 118 | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 12% | 103 | 117 | |
| 1 | Thunder | 88% | 118 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 34% | 109 | 102 | |
| 21 | Bucks | 66% | 114 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 61% | 115 | 110 | |
| 22 | Blazers | 39% | 111 | 98 | |
Thursday, January 22, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 41% | 113 | 124 | |
| 18 | Magic | 59% | 116 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 56% | 112 | 122 | |
| 9 | 76ers | 44% | 110 | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 72% | 120 | 107 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 28% | 113 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 72% | 116 | 115 | |
| 27 | Mavericks | 28% | 109 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 29% | 115 | 120 | |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 71% | 122 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 83% | 126 | 126 | |
| 30 | Jazz | 17% | 114 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 40% | 110 | 104 | |
| 12 | Clippers | 60% | 113 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 49% | 117 | 110 | |
| 20 | Blazers | 51% | 118 | 127 | |
Wednesday, January 21, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 57% | 118 | 94 | |
| 16 | Hornets | 43% | 116 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 18% | 107 | 104 | |
| 3 | Celtics | 82% | 118 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 21% | 109 | 66 | |
| 5 | Knicks | 79% | 120 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 41% | 115 | 124 | |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 59% | 118 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 72% | 118 | 112 | |
| 27 | Pelicans | 28% | 110 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 81% | 117 | 122 | |
| 23 | Bucks | 19% | 106 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 66% | 115 | 122 | |
| 28 | Kings | 34% | 110 | 109 | |
Tuesday, January 20, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 60% | 114 | 116 | |
| 21 | 76ers | 40% | 111 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 38% | 112 | 110 | |
| 17 | Bulls | 62% | 116 | 138 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 31% | 109 | 106 | |
| 2 | Rockets | 69% | 115 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 89% | 127 | 122 | |
| 30 | Jazz | 11% | 111 | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 48% | 115 | 115 | |
| 22 | Nuggets | 52% | 116 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 36% | 108 | 145 | |
| 7 | Warriors | 64% | 113 | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 63% | 118 | 130 | |
| 27 | Kings | 37% | 114 | 117 | |
Monday, January 19, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 46% | 115 | 112 | |
| 20 | Hawks | 54% | 116 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 66% | 115 | 136 | |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 34% | 110 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 69% | 114 | 110 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 31% | 108 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Mavericks | 17% | 109 | 114 | |
| 6 | Knicks | 83% | 121 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 9% | 110 | 110 | |
| 7 | Spurs | 91% | 127 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 30% | 109 | 104 | |
| 13 | 76ers | 70% | 116 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 76% | 116 | 126 | |
| 26 | Nets | 24% | 106 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 51% | 112 | 103 | |
| 9 | Pistons | 49% | 111 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 34% | 113 | 112 | |
| 5 | Warriors | 66% | 118 | 135 | |
Sunday, January 18, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 45% | 113 | 109 | |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 55% | 115 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 37% | 114 | 102 | |
| 20 | Bulls | 63% | 118 | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pelicans | 16% | 109 | 110 | |
| 2 | Rockets | 84% | 122 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 49% | 117 | 110 | |
| 23 | Nuggets | 51% | 118 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | 52% | 116 | 117 | |
| 26 | Kings | 48% | 115 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 52% | 113 | 93 | |
| 17 | Lakers | 48% | 112 | 110 | |
Saturday, January 17, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 41% | 117 | 120 | |
| 27 | Mavericks | 59% | 120 | 138 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 61% | 118 | 132 | |
| 19 | Hawks | 39% | 115 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pacers | 9% | 100 | 78 | |
| 6 | Pistons | 91% | 117 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 47% | 112 | 106 | |
| 10 | Knicks | 53% | 113 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 79% | 117 | 120 | |
| 16 | Heat | 21% | 107 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 39% | 113 | 123 | |
| 7 | Spurs | 61% | 117 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 27% | 112 | 116 | |
| 2 | Warriors | 73% | 120 | 136 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 16% | 110 | 115 | |
| 18 | Nuggets | 84% | 123 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 42% | 110 | 116 | |
| 22 | Blazers | 58% | 113 | 132 | |