Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 22, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Warriors	72%	116	115	105.5	109	118.4
	27	Mavericks	28%	109	123	113.9	108	100.0

Prediction updated: Jan 23, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

-10

108

DAL

+16

-21

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.08 54.2%

DAL

1.21 60.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	34.5	38	68%	4	1	0	0	2	2	0	4	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	8-15	53%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	32.6	9	32%	4	10	2	0	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-4	0%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 36	23.4	4	33%	4	5	2	1	3	6	0	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	23.2	12	86%	3	3	2	1	0	2	0	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	16.6	5	50%	4	0	0	1	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%

Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	26.1	3	38%	8	3	1	1	2	3	1	7	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	23.4	22	61%	3	2	2	1	1	2	0	3	3-6	50%	8-11	73%	1-4	25%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	17.0	4	33%	3	0	0	1	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	14.5	6	38%	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	13.5	0	0%	0	2	3	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	9.5	10	125%	1	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	4-4	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	5.7	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Tear
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	54%	35	29	15	7	10	24	4	31	14-18	78%	28-50	56%	15-46	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	34.5	38	68%	4	1	0	0	2	2	0	4	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	8-15	53%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	32.6	9	32%	4	10	2	0	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-4	0%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 36	23.4	4	33%	4	5	2	1	3	6	0	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	23.2	12	86%	3	3	2	1	0	2	0	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	16.6	5	50%	4	0	0	1	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%

Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	26.1	3	38%	8	3	1	1	2	3	1	7	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	23.4	22	61%	3	2	2	1	1	2	0	3	3-6	50%	8-11	73%	1-4	25%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	17.0	4	33%	3	0	0	1	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	14.5	6	38%	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	13.5	0	0%	0	2	3	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	9.5	10	125%	1	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	4-4	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	5.7	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Tear
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	54%	35	29	15	7	10	24	4	31	14-18	78%	28-50	56%	15-46	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

27 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	35.8	21	62%	4	2	1	0	2	2	1	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	5-12	42%
Naji Marshall #13 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 28	33.7	30	94%	7	9	0	0	4	2	0	7	8-8	100%	8-9	89%	2-3	67%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	30.2	21	50%	11	2	1	0	4	3	2	9	4-7	57%	7-13	54%	1-5	20%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	27.1	10	100%	12	1	0	0	0	2	3	9	4-5	80%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 30	19.9	0	0%	2	1	0	2	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	26.8	19	73%	5	4	0	0	4	2	0	5	5-6	83%	7-8	88%	0-2	0%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	22.9	6	50%	4	0	1	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	22.3	10	56%	6	3	2	3	1	2	3	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	11.8	5	42%	2	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	6.0	1	17%	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	60%	54	25	6	6	21	17	11	43	24-30	80%	30-51	59%	13-35	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.08 54.2%

DAL

1.21 60.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

61%

DAL

67%

Midrange

GSW

43%

DAL

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

22.5

33%

49%

DAL

19.5

37%

56%

Free Throws

GSW

78%

DAL

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	38	68%	19.0 / 28
D. Melton	22	61%	11.0 / 18
M. Moody	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Kuminga	10	125%	5.0 / 4
B. Podziemski	9	32%	4.5 / 14
B. Hield	6	38%	3.0 / 8
G. Santos	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Green	4	33%	2.0 / 6
G. Payton	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Horford	3	38%	1.5 / 4
Q. Post	2	33%	1.0 / 3
W. Richard	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Marshall	30	94%	15.0 / 16
M. Christie	21	62%	10.5 / 17
C. Flagg	21	50%	10.5 / 21
B. Williams	19	73%	9.5 / 13
D. Powell	10	100%	5.0 / 5
P. Washington	10	56%	5.0 / 9
K. Thompson	6	50%	3.0 / 6
R. Nembhard	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. Cisse	1	17%	0.5 / 3
C. Martin	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Robinson-Earl	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 27 110.4	GSW 105.5 DAL 113.9 +8.4
Pace	18 99.9 6 102.5	GSW 118.4 +18.4 DAL 100.0
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 24 14.0	GSW 12.2 −2.2 DAL 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 28 52.7%	GSW 52.6% DAL 57.6% +5.0%
TO %	28 14.9% 13 13.5%	GSW 8.8% −9.4% DAL 18.2%
ORB %	14 25.8% 26 23.2%	GSW 8.5% DAL 26.2% +17.7%
FTrt	24 23.8 6 28.7	GSW 18.8 DAL 34.9 +16.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 22 60.4%	GSW 67.4% +9.3% DAL 58.1%
STL %	3 9.6% 27 7.3%	GSW 13.8% +8.2% DAL 5.6%
BLK %	27 8.0% 16 9.0%	GSW 13.7% +1.7% DAL 12.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 28 55.2%	GSW 54.2% DAL 60.3% +6.1%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 22 63.2%	GSW 61.1% DAL 66.7% +5.6%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 18 43.1%	GSW 42.9% DAL 44.4% +1.5%
3P %	20 35.6% 26 34.4%	GSW 32.6% DAL 37.1% +4.5%
FT %	6 80.7% 28 75.5%	GSW 77.8% DAL 80.0% +2.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 12 32.8%	GSW 37.5% DAL 38.4% +0.9%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 28 31.7%	GSW 14.6% −6.3% DAL 20.9%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 26 35.5%	GSW 47.9% +7.2% DAL 40.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	DAL
Possessions	109	108
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	115	123
Rebounds	35	54
Assists	29	25
Steals	15	6
Blocks	7	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	21 (1)
Fouls	24	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (5)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (0)	43 (3)
Field Goals	43-96	43-86
At-the-Rim FG	22-36	22-33
Midrange FG	6-14	8-18
2-Point FG	28-50	30-51
3-Point FG	15-46	13-35
Free Throws	14-18	24-30
Fast Break Pts	17	27
2nd Chance Pts	5	24
Points in Paint	50	56
Pts off Turnovers	24	18
Bench Points	47	41
Biggest Lead	7	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg