Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 27, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Blazers	62%	117	111	104.7	106	114.2
	28	Wizards	38%	113	115	108.5	106	98.9

Prediction updated: Jan 28, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+36

-20

122

WAS

+16

-13

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.92 45.9%

WAS

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	35.0	31	70%	4	2	2	1	3	3	0	4	4-4	100%	6-11	55%	5-9	56%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 26	32.9	16	67%	9	4	0	1	1	5	1	8	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	4-6	67%
Deni Avdija #8 · PF · 6'8" 228 · 25	30.7	17	50%	12	3	0	1	6	1	4	8	2-6	33%	3-9	33%	3-5	60%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	30.0	14	39%	20	2	1	1	2	3	13	7	2-2	100%	6-14	43%	0-3	0%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	24.7	5	18%	7	5	1	0	3	1	5	2	1-3	33%	2-10	20%	0-4	0%

Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	23.7	6	30%	4	0	0	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-5	0%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	19.2	10	83%	6	1	5	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	16.5	6	30%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	2-4	50%	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	15.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	11.9	6	43%	5	1	0	0	1	1	3	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Strain
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinopathy
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	46%	69	19	10	5	20	17	29	40	13-23	57%	28-71	39%	14-38	37%

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18 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	35.0	31	70%	4	2	2	1	3	3	0	4	4-4	100%	6-11	55%	5-9	56%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 26	32.9	16	67%	9	4	0	1	1	5	1	8	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	4-6	67%
Deni Avdija #8 · PF · 6'8" 228 · 25	30.7	17	50%	12	3	0	1	6	1	4	8	2-6	33%	3-9	33%	3-5	60%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	30.0	14	39%	20	2	1	1	2	3	13	7	2-2	100%	6-14	43%	0-3	0%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	24.7	5	18%	7	5	1	0	3	1	5	2	1-3	33%	2-10	20%	0-4	0%

Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	23.7	6	30%	4	0	0	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-5	0%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	19.2	10	83%	6	1	5	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	16.5	6	30%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	2-4	50%	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	15.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	11.9	6	43%	5	1	0	0	1	1	3	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Strain
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinopathy
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	46%	69	19	10	5	20	17	29	40	13-23	57%	28-71	39%	14-38	37%

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28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	36.6	19	50%	9	5	3	2	1	2	1	8	5-6	83%	1-6	17%	4-10	40%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	36.1	29	48%	12	3	2	6	2	1	6	6	4-5	80%	8-20	40%	3-9	33%
Tre Johnson #12 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 20	32.0	18	69%	4	2	0	1	0	2	2	2	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	3-5	60%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 22	27.6	5	83%	5	6	2	2	0	0	1	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Khris Middleton #22 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	26.8	19	59%	6	5	3	1	1	2	1	5	4-4	100%	6-12	50%	1-2	50%

Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	28.0	11	50%	1	1	2	0	3	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	2-6	33%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	18.1	1	17%	3	1	1	0	2	1	1	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	12.0	2	25%	2	1	2	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	10.9	6	100%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	6.2	2	50%	2	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Skal Labissière #17 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 30	3.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	2.1	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Thoracic; Strain
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Strain; Quad Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	53%	46	27	16	12	13	17	14	32	18-21	86%	23-59	39%	17-39	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	POR	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.92 45.9%

WAS

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

50%

WAS

57%

Midrange

POR

17%

WAS

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

21.0

37%

55%

WAS

25.5

44%

65%

Free Throws

POR

57%

WAS

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Sharpe	31	70%	15.5 / 22
D. Avdija	17	50%	8.5 / 17
T. Camara	16	67%	8.0 / 12
D. Clingan	14	39%	7.0 / 18
R. Rupert	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Grant	6	30%	3.0 / 10
C. Love	6	30%	3.0 / 10
Y. Hansen	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Holiday	5	18%	2.5 / 14
S. Cissoko	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sarr	29	48%	14.5 / 30
K. George	19	50%	9.5 / 19
K. Middleton	19	59%	9.5 / 16
T. Johnson	18	69%	9.0 / 13
B. Carrington	11	50%	5.5 / 11
W. Riley	6	100%	3.0 / 3
B. Coulibaly	5	83%	2.5 / 3
M. Branham	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Watkins	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Gill	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Champagnie	1	17%	0.5 / 3
S. Labissière	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.1 29 109.7	POR 104.7 WAS 108.5 +3.8
Pace	8 101.6 5 102.5	POR 114.2 +15.2 WAS 98.9
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.2 23 14.0	POR 12.6 −1.9 WAS 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 53.3% 21 53.5%	POR 45.0% WAS 49.5% +4.5%
TO %	30 16.1% 26 14.7%	POR 14.4% WAS 11.5% −2.9%
ORB %	2 31.3% 21 24.0%	POR 47.5% +21.6% WAS 25.9%
FTrt	9 28.0 26 23.5	POR 21.1 WAS 21.4 +0.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 61.6% 24 59.9%	POR 45.2% WAS 67.5% +22.3%
STL %	20 8.1% 22 7.8%	POR 9.4% WAS 15.1% +5.7%
BLK %	8 10.1% 9 10.0%	POR 8.5% WAS 16.9% +8.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.6% 26 55.4%	POR 45.9% WAS 52.8% +6.9%
Rim FG%	19 63.9% 15 64.7%	POR 50.0% WAS 57.1% +7.1%
Mid FG%	29 37.4% 26 41.3%	POR 17.4% WAS 28.9% +11.5%
3P %	28 34.2% 16 35.9%	POR 36.8% WAS 43.6% +6.8%
FT %	24 76.5% 23 76.6%	POR 56.5% WAS 85.7% +29.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 22 30.6%	POR 44.0% +22.6% WAS 21.4%
Mid Att. %	2 17.6% 25 29.1%	POR 21.1% −17.7% WAS 38.8%
3P Att. %	3 46.8% 20 40.3%	POR 34.9% WAS 39.8% +4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	POR	WAS
Possessions	106	106
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	111	115
Rebounds	69	46
Assists	19	27
Steals	10	16
Blocks	5	12
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	17	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	29 (7)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (3)	32 (3)
Field Goals	42-109	40-98
At-the-Rim FG	24-48	12-21
Midrange FG	4-23	11-38
2-Point FG	28-71	23-59
3-Point FG	14-38	17-39
Free Throws	13-23	18-21
Fast Break Pts	13	25
2nd Chance Pts	31	14
Points in Paint	54	32
Pts off Turnovers	17	29
Bench Points	28	25
Biggest Lead	7	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg