Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 23, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Pelicans	35%	113	133	126.7	105	109.4
	20	Grizzlies	65%	118	127	121.0	105	100.9

Prediction updated: Jan 24, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+20

-10

115

MEM

+17

-19

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.16 57.8%

MEM

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	36.3	32	84%	3	3	3	0	1	1	0	3	12-12	100%	7-8	88%	2-7	29%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	33.1	24	55%	11	4	2	1	1	1	3	8	6-11	55%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	31.7	36	82%	4	4	1	0	0	2	3	1	4-4	100%	7-11	64%	6-9	67%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	26.7	8	40%	9	5	3	0	4	3	3	6	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Herbert Jones #2 · PG · 6'7" 206 · 27	24.6	0	0%	0	5	2	2	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%

Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	23.4	12	55%	2	4	1	1	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	21.3	8	44%	8	0	0	0	1	2	4	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	15.7	2	20%	2	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	14.9	5	63%	6	1	1	0	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	12.3	6	38%	4	3	0	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	INACTIVE
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	58%	49	29	14	4	10	20	18	31	28-33	85%	33-63	52%	13-36	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

26 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	36.3	32	84%	3	3	3	0	1	1	0	3	12-12	100%	7-8	88%	2-7	29%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	33.1	24	55%	11	4	2	1	1	1	3	8	6-11	55%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	31.7	36	82%	4	4	1	0	0	2	3	1	4-4	100%	7-11	64%	6-9	67%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	26.7	8	40%	9	5	3	0	4	3	3	6	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Herbert Jones #2 · PG · 6'7" 206 · 27	24.6	0	0%	0	5	2	2	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%

Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	23.4	12	55%	2	4	1	1	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	21.3	8	44%	8	0	0	0	1	2	4	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	15.7	2	20%	2	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	14.9	5	63%	6	1	1	0	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	12.3	6	38%	4	3	0	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	INACTIVE
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	58%	49	29	14	4	10	20	18	31	28-33	85%	33-63	52%	13-36	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

20 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	32.1	26	59%	12	3	1	4	2	4	2	10	10-11	91%	5-10	50%	2-8	25%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	32.0	24	67%	11	2	1	1	2	2	6	5	0-0	-	9-13	69%	2-5	40%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	28.3	13	59%	3	4	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Cam Spencer #24 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 26	28.0	21	105%	5	11	0	1	2	4	0	5	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	4-6	67%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	25.1	11	69%	3	3	1	0	5	2	2	1	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	23.0	4	20%	3	3	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-6	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	22.6	15	75%	4	1	0	1	2	5	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-4	75%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	20.3	0	0%	4	1	1	2	3	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	20.0	6	43%	2	4	0	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	8.7	7	117%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	62%	47	34	4	10	19	23	14	33	19-22	86%	27-45	60%	18-47	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	MEM

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.16 57.8%

MEM

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

63%

MEM

72%

Midrange

NOP

35%

MEM

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

19.5

36%

54%

MEM

27.0

38%

57%

Free Throws

NOP

85%

MEM

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Bey	36	82%	18.0 / 22
T. Murphy	32	84%	16.0 / 19
Z. Williamson	24	55%	12.0 / 22
J. Fears	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Queen	8	40%	4.0 / 10
Y. Missi	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Poole	6	38%	3.0 / 8
K. Matković	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Peavy	2	20%	1.0 / 5
H. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	26	59%	13.0 / 22
J. Landale	24	67%	12.0 / 18
C. Spencer	21	105%	10.5 / 10
G. Jackson	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. Coward	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Wells	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Small	7	117%	3.5 / 3
V. Williams	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope	4	20%	2.0 / 10
J. Konchar	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.3 23 112.4	NOP 126.7 +5.7 MEM 121.0
Pace	11 101.3 7 101.8	NOP 109.4 +8.5 MEM 100.9
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.1 26 13.8	NOP 13.2 −1.1 MEM 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.7% 24 53.3%	NOP 53.0% MEM 58.7% +5.7%
TO %	11 13.2% 22 14.3%	NOP 8.1% −7.6% MEM 15.7%
ORB %	8 27.0% 19 24.7%	NOP 35.3% +4.2% MEM 31.1%
FTrt	8 28.4 21 25.1	NOP 33.3 +9.4 MEM 23.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 6 67.4%	NOP 63.0% MEM 75.6% +12.6%
STL %	10 8.7% 11 8.7%	NOP 13.3% +9.5% MEM 3.8%
BLK %	7 10.1% 14 9.1%	NOP 8.9% MEM 15.9% +7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.4% 22 55.8%	NOP 57.8% MEM 61.7% +3.9%
Rim FG%	29 61.5% 26 62.8%	NOP 62.5% MEM 72.0% +9.5%
Mid FG%	30 36.6% 11 44.2%	NOP 34.8% MEM 45.0% +10.2%
3P %	24 34.7% 22 35.3%	NOP 36.1% MEM 38.3% +2.2%
FT %	14 78.4% 9 79.3%	NOP 84.8% MEM 86.4% +1.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.8% 26 28.6%	NOP 40.4% +13.2% MEM 27.2%
Mid Att. %	5 21.7% 19 27.8%	NOP 23.2% MEM 21.7% −1.5%
3P Att. %	27 35.5% 10 43.6%	NOP 36.4% MEM 51.1% +14.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	NOP	MEM
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	133	127
Rebounds	49	47
Assists	29	34
Steals	14	4
Blocks	4	10
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls	20	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (2)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (0)	33 (2)
Field Goals	46-99	45-92
At-the-Rim FG	25-40	18-25
Midrange FG	8-23	9-20
2-Point FG	33-63	27-45
3-Point FG	13-36	18-47
Free Throws	28-33	19-22
Fast Break Pts	18	16
2nd Chance Pts	25	12
Points in Paint	62	48
Pts off Turnovers	27	11
Bench Points	33	32
Biggest Lead	8	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg