Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 26, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Blazers	22%	108	94	95.9	98	105.6
	3	Celtics	78%	118	102	104.1	98	91.4

Prediction updated: Jan 27, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+13

-18

BOS

+18

-16

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.00 50.0%

BOS

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	36.2	18	64%	8	1	3	0	2	5	2	6	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	3-9	33%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	34.3	9	35%	5	3	1	0	3	3	1	4	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-6	17%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	28.3	9	45%	15	1	0	5	3	2	4	11	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	24.8	4	50%	4	1	1	0	2	4	1	3	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	24.4	14	58%	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%

Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	26.6	19	63%	2	3	0	2	0	2	0	2	10-15	67%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	25.8	11	39%	3	5	0	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-7	14%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	19.7	6	100%	2	0	2	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	15.8	4	40%	4	0	1	0	3	3	2	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 27	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Strain
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Strain
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinopathy
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	50%	47	17	10	9	18	22	11	36	20-30	67%	22-38	58%	10-40	25%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	36.2	18	64%	8	1	3	0	2	5	2	6	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	3-9	33%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	34.3	9	35%	5	3	1	0	3	3	1	4	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-6	17%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	28.3	9	45%	15	1	0	5	3	2	4	11	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	24.8	4	50%	4	1	1	0	2	4	1	3	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	24.4	14	58%	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%

Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	26.6	19	63%	2	3	0	2	0	2	0	2	10-15	67%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	25.8	11	39%	3	5	0	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-7	14%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	19.7	6	100%	2	0	2	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	15.8	4	40%	4	0	1	0	3	3	2	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 27	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Strain
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Strain
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinopathy
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	50%	47	17	10	9	18	22	11	36	20-30	67%	22-38	58%	10-40	25%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	36.2	20	53%	8	4	4	0	1	1	1	7	3-5	60%	7-14	50%	1-3	33%
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 28	34.7	23	64%	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	3	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	5-11	45%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	34.5	18	56%	4	4	2	0	8	4	2	2	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	2-4	50%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	29.7	11	46%	7	3	2	0	0	3	0	7	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-7	43%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	22.1	4	33%	4	6	0	1	2	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	26.4	12	50%	1	1	2	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	25.9	9	50%	7	1	1	2	2	5	2	5	3-5	60%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	14.2	2	50%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	13.0	2	50%	5	0	0	0	1	3	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	3.3	1	25%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	NWT - Not With Team \| Illness; Non-Covid
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	INACTIVE
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	INACTIVE
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-Covid
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	51%	41	24	11	4	16	21	10	31	11-18	61%	26-57	46%	13-34	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	POR	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.00 50.0%

BOS

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

88%

BOS

59%

Midrange

POR

33%

BOS

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

15.0

25%

38%

BOS

19.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

POR

67%

BOS

61%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Grant	19	63%	9.5 / 15
T. Camara	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Holiday	14	58%	7.0 / 12
C. Love	11	39%	5.5 / 14
S. Sharpe	9	35%	4.5 / 13
D. Clingan	9	45%	4.5 / 10
R. Williams	6	100%	3.0 / 3
S. Cissoko	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. Rupert	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Cooke	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Pritchard	23	64%	11.5 / 18
J. Brown	20	53%	10.0 / 19
D. White	18	56%	9.0 / 16
A. Simons	12	50%	6.0 / 12
S. Hauser	11	46%	5.5 / 12
A. Williams	9	50%	4.5 / 9
N. Queta	4	33%	2.0 / 6
H. González	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Scheierman	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Walsh	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.1 2 120.0	POR 95.9 BOS 104.1 +8.2
Pace	8 101.6 30 95.5	POR 105.6 +14.2 BOS 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.2 2 15.7	POR 13.6 −2.1 BOS 15.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 53.3% 11 55.3%	POR 47.4% BOS 50.0% +2.6%
TO %	30 16.1% 2 12.0%	POR 16.5% BOS 13.9% −2.6%
ORB %	2 31.3% 6 29.2%	POR 26.2% +4.5% BOS 21.7%
FTrt	9 28.0 30 20.7	POR 38.5 +18.7 BOS 19.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 61.6% 30 58.5%	POR 53.1% BOS 61.5% +8.4%
STL %	20 8.1% 25 7.4%	POR 10.2% BOS 11.2% +1.0%
BLK %	8 10.1% 5 10.4%	POR 15.8% +5.3% BOS 10.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.6% 13 56.9%	POR 50.0% BOS 51.0% +1.0%
Rim FG%	19 63.9% 2 68.9%	POR 88.2% +29.4% BOS 58.8%
Mid FG%	29 37.4% 12 44.2%	POR 33.3% BOS 40.0% +6.7%
3P %	28 34.2% 8 36.7%	POR 25.0% BOS 38.2% +13.2%
FT %	24 76.5% 7 80.7%	POR 66.7% +5.6% BOS 61.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 30 24.4%	POR 21.8% +3.1% BOS 18.7%
Mid Att. %	2 17.6% 24 28.9%	POR 26.9% −17.0% BOS 44.0%
3P Att. %	3 46.8% 4 46.7%	POR 51.3% +13.9% BOS 37.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	POR	BOS
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	94	102
Rebounds	47	41
Assists	17	24
Steals	10	11
Blocks	9	4
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	22	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	10 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	31 (5)
Field Goals	32-78	39-91
At-the-Rim FG	15-17	10-17
Midrange FG	7-21	16-40
2-Point FG	22-38	26-57
3-Point FG	10-40	13-34
Free Throws	20-30	11-18
Fast Break Pts	13	16
2nd Chance Pts	12	15
Points in Paint	36	40
Pts off Turnovers	15	19
Bench Points	40	26
Biggest Lead	0	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg