Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 25, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Warriors	40%	112	111	106.7	104	104.2
	5	Timberwolves	60%	115	85	82.5	103	102.8

Prediction updated: Jan 25, 2026 10:26 PM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+13

-12

105

MIN

+14

-25

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.06 52.9%

MIN

0.93 46.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	27.7	19	63%	8	2	0	2	1	1	0	8	0-0	-	2-6	33%	5-9	56%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	27.6	26	57%	2	7	4	0	2	1	1	1	9-9	100%	4-8	50%	3-10	30%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	23.4	2	20%	5	5	2	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	22.6	10	71%	5	2	1	1	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	22.4	12	60%	5	6	4	0	2	3	0	5	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-2	0%

Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	23.6	10	56%	2	1	3	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	21.0	12	43%	3	4	1	0	3	1	0	3	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	1-5	20%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	20.5	7	58%	6	2	2	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	16.5	4	40%	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	15.9	5	42%	4	0	1	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	8.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	3.4	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	3.4	1	50%	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	3.4	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	53%	45	31	20	5	12	20	6	39	15-16	94%	24-44	55%	16-51	31%

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9 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	27.7	19	63%	8	2	0	2	1	1	0	8	0-0	-	2-6	33%	5-9	56%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	27.6	26	57%	2	7	4	0	2	1	1	1	9-9	100%	4-8	50%	3-10	30%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	23.4	2	20%	5	5	2	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	22.6	10	71%	5	2	1	1	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	22.4	12	60%	5	6	4	0	2	3	0	5	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-2	0%

Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	23.6	10	56%	2	1	3	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	21.0	12	43%	3	4	1	0	3	1	0	3	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	1-5	20%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	20.5	7	58%	6	2	2	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	16.5	4	40%	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	15.9	5	42%	4	0	1	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	8.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	3.4	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	3.4	1	50%	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	3.4	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	53%	45	31	20	5	12	20	6	39	15-16	94%	24-44	55%	16-51	31%

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5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	34.7	11	39%	5	6	3	1	1	2	0	5	5-6	83%	3-7	43%	0-4	0%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	34.4	32	76%	11	2	0	1	8	0	2	9	2-3	67%	9-13	69%	4-7	57%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	32.4	22	55%	7	0	1	0	5	3	2	5	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	6-15	40%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	27.5	3	19%	3	1	1	0	4	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-7	0%	1-1	100%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	24.1	4	67%	5	0	0	0	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	25.3	0	0%	10	1	0	1	2	1	1	9	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	15.7	2	100%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	15.7	5	42%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	9.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	5.2	0	0%	2	0	0	2	0	2	1	1	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	5.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	5.2	3	38%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	5.2	3	150%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Abductor Hallucis Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	47%	50	16	6	5	25	16	10	40	12-20	60%	17-41	41%	13-38	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.06 52.9%

MIN

0.93 46.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

72%

MIN

47%

Midrange

GSW

20%

MIN

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

24.0

31%

47%

MIN

19.5

34%

51%

Free Throws

GSW

94%

MIN

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	26	57%	13.0 / 23
M. Moody	19	63%	9.5 / 15
B. Podziemski	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Melton	12	43%	6.0 / 14
A. Horford	10	71%	5.0 / 7
W. Richard	10	56%	5.0 / 9
G. Santos	7	58%	3.5 / 6
Q. Post	5	42%	2.5 / 6
B. Hield	4	40%	2.0 / 5
L. Cryer	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Green	2	20%	1.0 / 5
T. Jackson-Davis	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	32	76%	16.0 / 21
D. DiVincenzo	22	55%	11.0 / 20
J. Randle	11	39%	5.5 / 14
B. Hyland	5	42%	2.5 / 6
R. Gobert	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. McDaniels	3	19%	1.5 / 8
R. Dillingham	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Ingles	3	150%	1.5 / 1
M. Conley	2	100%	1.0 / 1
N. Reid	0	-	0.0 / 5
J. Clark	0	-	0.0 / 3
J. Beringer	0	-	0.0 / 1
L. Miller	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 13 115.7	GSW 106.7 +24.2 MIN 82.5
Pace	18 99.9 9 101.4	GSW 104.2 +1.3 MIN 102.8
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 15 14.4	GSW 13.8 −0.2 MIN 14.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 6 55.9%	GSW 50.5% +4.3% MIN 46.2%
TO %	28 14.9% 18 13.9%	GSW 10.5% −12.3% MIN 22.8%
ORB %	14 25.8% 15 25.7%	GSW 13.0% MIN 20.4% +7.4%
FTrt	24 23.8 7 28.5	GSW 16.8 MIN 25.3 +8.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 21 61.2%	GSW 77.5% +24.2% MIN 53.3%
STL %	3 9.6% 13 8.6%	GSW 19.2% +13.4% MIN 5.8%
BLK %	27 8.0% 6 10.4%	GSW 12.2% +0.8% MIN 11.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 8 57.6%	GSW 52.9% +6.2% MIN 46.7%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 10 65.7%	GSW 72.4% +25.7% MIN 46.7%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 14 43.7%	GSW 20.0% MIN 38.5% +18.5%
3P %	20 35.6% 6 37.0%	GSW 31.4% MIN 34.2% +2.8%
FT %	6 80.7% 29 75.2%	GSW 93.8% +33.8% MIN 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 9 33.0%	GSW 30.5% +11.5% MIN 19.0%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 10 25.0%	GSW 15.8% −17.1% MIN 32.9%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 16 42.0%	GSW 53.7% +5.6% MIN 48.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	MIN
Possessions	104	103
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	111	85
Rebounds	45	50
Assists	31	16
Steals	20	6
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	25 (1)
Fouls	20	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (7)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (2)	40 (2)
Field Goals	40-95	30-79
At-the-Rim FG	21-29	7-15
Midrange FG	3-15	10-26
2-Point FG	24-44	17-41
3-Point FG	16-51	13-38
Free Throws	15-16	12-20
Fast Break Pts	22	14
2nd Chance Pts	15	10
Points in Paint	46	24
Pts off Turnovers	25	13
Bench Points	42	13
Biggest Lead	26	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg