Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Nuggets	72%	120	107	111.5	96	86.4
	29	Wizards	28%	113	97	101.0	96	108.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	40.0	35	83%	8	3	2	4	1	2	1	7	9-10	90%	4-8	50%	6-8	75%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	36.0	24	67%	4	5	2	1	4	0	0	4	4-5	80%	7-12	58%	2-5	40%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	33.4	16	57%	5	5	1	0	0	1	0	5	5-5	100%	4-6	67%	1-6	17%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	32.6	2	20%	5	5	1	0	3	2	1	4	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	21.9	16	53%	9	2	0	0	0	5	4	5	4-4	100%	6-12	50%	0-1	0%

Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	28.1	2	50%	5	0	0	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	19.7	2	13%	3	0	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-5	0%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	18.1	6	38%	6	2	2	0	1	2	4	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	10.1	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	54%	46	22	9	6	11	14	11	35	24-26	92%	28-57	49%	9-26	35%

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22 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	40.0	35	83%	8	3	2	4	1	2	1	7	9-10	90%	4-8	50%	6-8	75%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	36.0	24	67%	4	5	2	1	4	0	0	4	4-5	80%	7-12	58%	2-5	40%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	33.4	16	57%	5	5	1	0	0	1	0	5	5-5	100%	4-6	67%	1-6	17%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	32.6	2	20%	5	5	1	0	3	2	1	4	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	21.9	16	53%	9	2	0	0	0	5	4	5	4-4	100%	6-12	50%	0-1	0%

Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	28.1	2	50%	5	0	0	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	19.7	2	13%	3	0	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-5	0%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	18.1	6	38%	6	2	2	0	1	2	4	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	10.1	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	54%	46	22	9	6	11	14	11	35	24-26	92%	28-57	49%	9-26	35%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	38.1	13	43%	2	2	3	2	5	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	3-13	23%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	36.5	15	47%	8	4	1	1	0	1	2	6	5-6	83%	5-12	42%	0-1	0%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	34.3	20	50%	12	7	1	0	3	5	3	9	6-6	100%	4-11	36%	2-6	33%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	34.1	19	63%	3	3	0	1	2	2	2	1	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	3-7	43%
Khris Middleton #22 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	28.0	9	38%	2	0	1	0	1	4	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-6	17%

Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	20.9	13	54%	4	0	1	0	2	2	1	3	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	18.3	3	50%	5	1	1	1	1	3	2	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	18.2	3	75%	2	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	11.7	2	100%	4	0	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Sprain; Quad Contusion
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Strain
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	50%	42	20	9	6	14	21	14	28	20-24	83%	19-41	46%	13-43	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.08 54.0%

WAS

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

18

28

64%

WAS

9

13

69%

Midrange

DEN

10

29

34%

WAS

10

28

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

9

13.5

26

35%

52%

WAS

13

19.5

43

30%

45%

Free Throws

DEN

24

26

92%

WAS

20

24

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Watson	35	83%	17.5 / 21
J. Murray	24	67%	12.0 / 18
A. Gordon	16	57%	8.0 / 14
J. Valančiūnas	16	53%	8.0 / 15
B. Brown	6	38%	3.0 / 8
Z. Nnaji	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Pickett	2	20%	1.0 / 5
S. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Hardaway	2	13%	1.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	20	50%	10.0 / 20
T. Johnson	19	63%	9.5 / 15
A. Sarr	15	47%	7.5 / 16
B. Carrington	13	43%	6.5 / 15
W. Riley	13	54%	6.5 / 12
K. Middleton	9	38%	4.5 / 12
J. Watkins	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Champagnie	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Gill	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 29 109.7	DEN 111.5 +10.4 WAS 101.0
Pace	19 99.4 5 102.5	DEN 86.4 WAS 108.0 +21.6
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 23 14.0	DEN 16.7 WAS 13.3 −3.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 21 53.5%	DEN 50.0% +4.2% WAS 45.8%
TO %	3 12.1% 26 14.7%	DEN 12.9% WAS 12.9%
ORB %	24 23.6% 21 24.0%	DEN 28.2% WAS 28.6% +0.4%
FTrt	4 29.4 26 23.5	DEN 31.3 +2.7 WAS 28.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 24 59.9%	DEN 59.5% WAS 62.5% +3.0%
STL %	30 6.8% 22 7.8%	DEN 9.4% WAS 9.4%
BLK %	29 7.6% 9 10.0%	DEN 14.6% +4.1% WAS 10.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 26 55.4%	DEN 54.0% +4.5% WAS 49.5%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 15 64.7%	DEN 64.3% WAS 69.2% +4.9%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 26 41.3%	DEN 34.5% WAS 35.7% +1.2%
3P %	1 39.6% 16 35.9%	DEN 34.6% +4.4% WAS 30.2%
FT %	5 80.8% 23 76.6%	DEN 92.3% +9.0% WAS 83.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 22 30.6%	DEN 33.7% +18.3% WAS 15.5%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 25 29.1%	DEN 34.9% WAS 33.3% −1.6%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 20 40.3%	DEN 31.3% WAS 51.2% +19.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DEN	WAS
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	26.7	21.3
Points	107	97
Rebounds	46	42
Assists	22	20
Steals	9	9
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (3)	14 (0)
Fouls	14	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (3)	28 (4)
Field Goals	37-83	32-84
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	9-13
Midrange FG	10-29	10-28
2-Point FG	28-57	19-41
3-Point FG	9-26	13-43
Free Throws	24-26	20-24
Fast Break Pts	8	9
2nd Chance Pts	12	15
Points in Paint	44	36
Pts off Turnovers	11	13
Bench Points	14	21
Biggest Lead	12	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg