Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Bulls	54%	118	110	113.4	97	91.4
	23	Pacers	46%	117	113	115.3	98	104.4

Prediction updated: Jan 29, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CHI

+10

-11

IND

-6

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.15 57.3%

IND

1.13 56.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	31.6	14	41%	2	4	0	0	0	3	0	2	3-4	75%	4-10	40%	1-5	20%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 21	31.5	20	83%	8	0	0	1	1	1	2	6	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	4-6	67%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 35	29.5	25	69%	9	4	1	2	3	3	1	8	2-2	100%	7-13	54%	3-4	75%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	28.6	10	50%	4	7	1	0	3	2	2	2	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 25	22.8	5	42%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 26	28.5	19	59%	4	4	0	0	1	2	1	3	3-4	75%	8-12	67%	0-3	0%
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	27.7	13	72%	11	3	1	0	2	3	1	10	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Kevin Huerter #13 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	17.4	4	40%	4	4	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 24	17.1	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Dalen Terry #7 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 22	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emanuel Miller #2 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	57%	47	27	3	3	11	22	9	38	14-18	78%	30-58	52%	12-30	40%

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19 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	31.6	14	41%	2	4	0	0	0	3	0	2	3-4	75%	4-10	40%	1-5	20%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 21	31.5	20	83%	8	0	0	1	1	1	2	6	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	4-6	67%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 35	29.5	25	69%	9	4	1	2	3	3	1	8	2-2	100%	7-13	54%	3-4	75%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	28.6	10	50%	4	7	1	0	3	2	2	2	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 25	22.8	5	42%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 26	28.5	19	59%	4	4	0	0	1	2	1	3	3-4	75%	8-12	67%	0-3	0%
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	27.7	13	72%	11	3	1	0	2	3	1	10	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Kevin Huerter #13 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	17.4	4	40%	4	4	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 24	17.1	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Dalen Terry #7 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 22	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emanuel Miller #2 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	57%	47	27	3	3	11	22	9	38	14-18	78%	30-58	52%	12-30	40%

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23 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · C · 6'8" 245 · 32	36.1	20	50%	3	5	0	0	2	3	1	2	7-8	88%	5-11	45%	1-5	20%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	34.0	14	78%	4	4	1	1	0	2	0	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	33.7	18	56%	6	9	1	0	1	2	0	6	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	2-7	29%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	21.9	2	20%	7	2	1	1	0	1	1	6	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	21.5	16	89%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	28.4	15	63%	8	1	0	0	2	4	1	7	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	3-5	60%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	23.4	10	45%	7	1	3	1	1	0	2	5	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	16.9	7	58%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	15.8	8	57%	4	6	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	5.8	3	75%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	56%	43	30	7	3	6	18	6	37	22-25	88%	23-49	47%	15-36	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	IND
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.15 57.3%

IND

1.13 56.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

49%

IND

50%

Midrange

CHI

59%

IND

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

18.0

40%

60%

IND

22.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

CHI

78%

IND

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Vučević	25	69%	12.5 / 18
M. Buzelis	20	83%	10.0 / 12
A. Dosunmu	19	59%	9.5 / 16
C. White	14	41%	7.0 / 17
J. Smith	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Giddey	10	50%	5.0 / 10
I. Okoro	5	42%	2.5 / 6
K. Huerter	4	40%	2.0 / 5
P. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	20	50%	10.0 / 20
A. Nembhard	18	56%	9.0 / 16
J. Walker	16	89%	8.0 / 9
B. Mathurin	15	63%	7.5 / 12
A. Nesmith	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Huff	10	45%	5.0 / 11
T. McConnell	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Potter	7	58%	3.5 / 6
B. Sheppard	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Furphy	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.2 28 110.1	CHI 113.4 IND 115.3 +1.9
Pace	3 103.3 10 101.4	CHI 91.4 IND 104.4 +13.0
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.6 25 13.9	CHI 15.8 IND 13.8 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.7% 23 53.3%	CHI 54.5% +1.0% IND 53.5%
TO %	20 14.1% 14 13.6%	CHI 10.3% IND 5.9% −4.4%
ORB %	27 23.1% 29 21.7%	CHI 19.6% +6.0% IND 13.6%
FTrt	22 24.6 20 25.2	CHI 20.5 IND 29.4 +8.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 67.2% 5 67.8%	CHI 64.3% IND 78.9% +14.6%
STL %	26 7.4% 28 7.2%	CHI 3.1% IND 7.1% +4.0%
BLK %	15 9.0% 26 8.1%	CHI 6.1% +0.9% IND 5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 24 55.4%	CHI 57.3% +0.8% IND 56.5%
Rim FG%	30 61.4% 25 62.9%	CHI 48.8% IND 50.0% +1.2%
Mid FG%	15 43.7% 19 42.7%	CHI 58.8% +16.7% IND 42.1%
3P %	19 35.6% 18 35.6%	CHI 40.0% IND 41.7% +1.7%
FT %	18 77.6% 17 77.6%	CHI 77.8% IND 88.0% +10.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 38.2% 23 30.3%	CHI 46.6% +11.3% IND 35.3%
Mid Att. %	1 17.5% 18 27.5%	CHI 19.3% −3.0% IND 22.4%
3P Att. %	8 44.3% 14 42.2%	CHI 34.1% IND 42.4% +8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Game Totals	CHI	IND
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	110	113
Rebounds	47	43
Assists	27	30
Steals	3	7
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	6 (0)
Fouls	22	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (1)	6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (3)	37 (3)
Field Goals	42-88	38-85
At-the-Rim FG	20-41	15-30
Midrange FG	10-17	8-19
2-Point FG	30-58	23-49
3-Point FG	12-30	15-36
Free Throws	14-18	22-25
Fast Break Pts	11	9
2nd Chance Pts	11	10
Points in Paint	52	40
Pts off Turnovers	4	8
Bench Points	36	43
Biggest Lead	14	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg