Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Hornets	49%	115	112	123.1	91	91.2
	20	Grizzlies	51%	116	97	105.4	92	91.8

Prediction updated: Jan 29, 2026 01:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+22

-17

MEM

+13

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.17 58.3%

MEM

1.07 53.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	33.1	18	90%	19	2	2	1	3	1	7	12	1-2	50%	7-8	88%	1-1	100%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	29.8	26	76%	1	3	0	0	3	0	0	1	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	4-8	50%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	28.4	20	91%	6	3	0	0	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	4-4	100%	4-7	57%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	25.9	10	63%	1	6	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	23.4	16	57%	1	4	2	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	4-9	44%

Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	22.1	5	50%	2	2	0	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	19.6	2	20%	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	17.4	6	27%	4	4	1	0	2	4	1	3	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-3	0%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	16.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	14.9	6	100%	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	6.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	3.0	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	58%	43	25	5	1	17	11	13	30	7-8	88%	27-48	56%	17-42	40%

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17 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	33.1	18	90%	19	2	2	1	3	1	7	12	1-2	50%	7-8	88%	1-1	100%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	29.8	26	76%	1	3	0	0	3	0	0	1	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	4-8	50%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	28.4	20	91%	6	3	0	0	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	4-4	100%	4-7	57%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	25.9	10	63%	1	6	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	23.4	16	57%	1	4	2	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	4-9	44%

Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	22.1	5	50%	2	2	0	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	19.6	2	20%	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	17.4	6	27%	4	4	1	0	2	4	1	3	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-3	0%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	16.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	14.9	6	100%	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	6.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	3.0	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	58%	43	25	5	1	17	11	13	30	7-8	88%	27-48	56%	17-42	40%

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20 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	33.2	26	62%	4	4	2	0	2	2	0	4	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	4-9	44%
Cam Spencer #24 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 26	28.0	4	22%	0	6	1	0	2	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-6	0%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	26.8	17	85%	2	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-4	75%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	25.9	10	50%	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	25.4	6	38%	2	0	1	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%

John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	24.5	8	133%	6	3	2	2	1	0	4	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	24.5	12	67%	4	1	1	2	2	1	0	4	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	21.2	0	0%	2	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	20.0	10	56%	5	4	0	1	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	10.5	4	67%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	53%	29	27	10	7	12	10	8	21	9-12	75%	23-41	56%	14-40	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.17 58.3%

MEM

1.07 53.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

76%

MEM

81%

Midrange

CHA

41%

MEM

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

25.5

40%

61%

MEM

21.0

35%

53%

Free Throws

CHA

88%

MEM

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Miller	26	76%	13.0 / 17
M. Bridges	20	91%	10.0 / 11
M. Diabaté	18	90%	9.0 / 10
L. Ball	16	57%	8.0 / 14
K. Knueppel	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Sexton	6	27%	3.0 / 11
R. Kalkbrenner	6	100%	3.0 / 3
S. James	5	50%	2.5 / 5
T. Mann	3	75%	1.5 / 2
G. Williams	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Green	0	-	0.0 / 4
L. McNeeley	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	26	62%	13.0 / 21
C. Coward	17	85%	8.5 / 10
G. Jackson	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Landale	10	50%	5.0 / 10
V. Williams	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Konchar	8	133%	4.0 / 3
J. Wells	6	38%	3.0 / 8
C. Spencer	4	22%	2.0 / 9
O. Prosper	4	67%	2.0 / 3
K. Caldwell-Pope	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 118.6 23 112.4	CHA 123.1 +17.6 MEM 105.4
Pace	27 97.5 7 101.8	CHA 91.2 MEM 91.8 +0.6
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.2 26 13.8	CHA 15.8 MEM 15.7 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.2% 24 53.3%	CHA 58.3% +4.0% MEM 54.3%
TO %	27 14.8% 22 14.3%	CHA 17.6% MEM 13.1% −4.5%
ORB %	4 30.5% 19 24.7%	CHA 38.2% +17.1% MEM 21.1%
FTrt	23 24.4 21 25.1	CHA 8.9 MEM 14.8 +5.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 64.3% 6 67.4%	CHA 56.8% MEM 73.0% +16.2%
STL %	29 7.2% 11 8.7%	CHA 5.5% MEM 10.9% +5.4%
BLK %	20 8.6% 14 9.1%	CHA 2.4% MEM 14.6% +12.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.3% 22 55.8%	CHA 58.3% +5.0% MEM 53.3%
Rim FG%	23 63.1% 26 62.8%	CHA 76.2% MEM 81.3% +5.1%
Mid FG%	25 41.4% 11 44.2%	CHA 40.7% +0.7% MEM 40.0%
3P %	3 37.8% 22 35.3%	CHA 40.5% +5.5% MEM 35.0%
FT %	2 81.8% 9 79.3%	CHA 87.5% +12.5% MEM 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 29.3% 26 28.6%	CHA 23.3% +3.6% MEM 19.8%
Mid Att. %	6 22.0% 19 27.8%	CHA 30.0% −0.9% MEM 30.9%
3P Att. %	2 48.7% 10 43.6%	CHA 46.7% MEM 49.4% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	MEM
Possessions	91	92
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	112	97
Rebounds	43	29
Assists	25	27
Steals	5	10
Blocks	1	7
Turnovers (Team)	17 (3)	12 (1)
Fouls	11	10
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (9)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (4)	21 (4)
Field Goals	44-90	37-81
At-the-Rim FG	16-21	13-16
Midrange FG	11-27	10-25
2-Point FG	27-48	23-41
3-Point FG	17-42	14-40
Free Throws	7-8	9-12
Fast Break Pts	9	20
2nd Chance Pts	10	13
Points in Paint	52	38
Pts off Turnovers	14	23
Bench Points	22	34
Biggest Lead	22	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg