Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Hawks	41%	115	124	118.1	105	110.8
	13	Grizzlies	59%	118	122	117.3	104	98.8

Prediction updated: Jan 22, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+18

-16

107

MEM

+19

-17

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.18 59.0%

MEM

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	39.0	32	64%	15	8	1	0	4	2	2	13	10-11	91%	8-15	53%	2-6	33%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	35.1	3	15%	7	8	0	0	1	2	3	4	1-2	50%	1-9	11%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	33.5	11	46%	2	4	1	2	2	2	1	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	2-9	22%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	27.6	18	82%	9	1	1	2	7	6	2	7	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	4-8	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	13.8	8	80%	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	26.0	15	54%	0	6	2	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	3-7	43%
Luke Kennard #4 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	24.7	18	100%	4	2	2	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	4-5	80%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	18.0	7	44%	1	2	0	0	0	3	1	0	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	11.4	5	83%	1	0	1	1	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	10.9	7	88%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee Bone Contusion
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
RayJ Dennis #0 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Torn ACL
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	59%	42	34	9	6	16	24	11	31	18-24	75%	23-47	49%	20-45	44%

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20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	39.0	32	64%	15	8	1	0	4	2	2	13	10-11	91%	8-15	53%	2-6	33%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	35.1	3	15%	7	8	0	0	1	2	3	4	1-2	50%	1-9	11%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	33.5	11	46%	2	4	1	2	2	2	1	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	2-9	22%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	27.6	18	82%	9	1	1	2	7	6	2	7	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	4-8	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	13.8	8	80%	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	26.0	15	54%	0	6	2	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	3-7	43%
Luke Kennard #4 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	24.7	18	100%	4	2	2	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	4-5	80%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	18.0	7	44%	1	2	0	0	0	3	1	0	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	11.4	5	83%	1	0	1	1	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	10.9	7	88%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee Bone Contusion
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
RayJ Dennis #0 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Torn ACL
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	59%	42	34	9	6	16	24	11	31	18-24	75%	23-47	49%	20-45	44%

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13 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	32.4	17	61%	6	2	1	0	5	5	0	6	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	29.9	23	61%	2	12	1	3	5	4	1	1	8-8	100%	6-11	55%	1-4	25%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	26.3	17	57%	7	0	2	1	3	1	2	5	0-0	-	4-10	40%	3-5	60%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	25.6	18	50%	4	0	1	0	0	4	2	2	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	2-9	22%
John Konchar #46 · C · 6'5" 210 · 30	20.8	2	100%	4	0	2	1	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	27.9	13	43%	11	3	0	0	0	2	6	5	2-4	50%	4-11	36%	1-2	50%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	20.8	9	75%	2	1	0	2	0	3	0	2	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	20.5	11	69%	2	4	0	0	2	1	2	0	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	18.1	3	38%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	17.9	9	113%	5	3	0	0	1	2	0	5	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	57%	43	26	7	7	17	23	13	30	24-27	89%	31-58	53%	12-35	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MEM

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.18 59.0%

MEM

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

52%

MEM

64%

Midrange

ATL

45%

MEM

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

30.0

44%

67%

MEM

18.0

34%

51%

Free Throws

ATL

75%

MEM

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	32	64%	16.0 / 25
O. Okongwu	18	82%	9.0 / 11
L. Kennard	18	100%	9.0 / 9
C. McCollum	15	54%	7.5 / 14
N. Alexander-Walker	11	46%	5.5 / 12
C. Kispert	8	80%	4.0 / 5
M. Gueye	7	44%	3.5 / 8
V. Krejčí	7	88%	3.5 / 4
C. Koloko	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Daniels	3	15%	1.5 / 10

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	23	61%	11.5 / 19
J. Wells	18	50%	9.0 / 18
J. Jackson	17	61%	8.5 / 14
C. Coward	17	57%	8.5 / 15
J. Landale	13	43%	6.5 / 15
C. Spencer	11	69%	5.5 / 8
G. Jackson	9	75%	4.5 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope	9	113%	4.5 / 4
V. Williams	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Konchar	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 115.1 23 112.4	ATL 118.1 +0.8 MEM 117.3
Pace	4 102.5 7 101.8	ATL 110.8 +12.0 MEM 98.8
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.5 26 13.8	ATL 13.0 −1.6 MEM 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 24 53.3%	ATL 57.6% +4.9% MEM 52.7%
TO %	8 13.0% 22 14.3%	ATL 14.2% −0.4% MEM 14.6%
ORB %	20 24.3% 19 24.7%	ATL 26.8% MEM 29.5% +2.7%
FTrt	27 23.4 21 25.1	ATL 26.1 MEM 29.0 +2.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 69.1% 6 67.4%	ATL 79.1% +18.6% MEM 60.5%
STL %	6 9.1% 11 8.7%	ATL 8.6% +1.9% MEM 6.7%
BLK %	18 8.8% 14 9.1%	ATL 10.3% MEM 14.9% +4.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 22 55.8%	ATL 59.0% +1.5% MEM 57.5%
Rim FG%	21 63.3% 26 62.8%	ATL 52.0% MEM 63.9% +11.9%
Mid FG%	6 44.6% 11 44.2%	ATL 45.5% +9.1% MEM 36.4%
3P %	5 37.1% 22 35.3%	ATL 44.4% +10.1% MEM 34.3%
FT %	20 77.4% 9 79.3%	ATL 75.0% MEM 88.9% +13.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 32.1% 26 28.6%	ATL 27.2% MEM 38.7% +11.5%
Mid Att. %	9 25.0% 19 27.8%	ATL 23.9% MEM 23.7% −0.3%
3P Att. %	11 42.9% 10 43.6%	ATL 48.9% +11.3% MEM 37.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MEM
Possessions	105	104
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	124	122
Rebounds	42	43
Assists	34	26
Steals	9	7
Blocks	6	7
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	17 (1)
Fouls	24	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (7)	13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	30 (4)
Field Goals	43-92	43-93
At-the-Rim FG	13-25	23-36
Midrange FG	10-22	8-22
2-Point FG	23-47	31-58
3-Point FG	20-45	12-35
Free Throws	18-24	24-27
Fast Break Pts	24	15
2nd Chance Pts	18	20
Points in Paint	42	58
Pts off Turnovers	25	17
Bench Points	52	45
Biggest Lead	11	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg