Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 30, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Kings	12%	105	93	103.3	90	98.7
	5	Celtics	88%	120	112	124.4	90	82.7

Prediction updated: Jan 31, 2026 12:26 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+19

-14

BOS

+18

-7

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.97 48.4%

BOS

1.10 54.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	36.1	14	100%	14	1	0	1	2	2	3	11	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-1	100%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	23.6	4	17%	4	3	1	1	2	1	2	2	2-2	100%	1-7	14%	0-4	0%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	23.4	17	71%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	6-7	86%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	18.0	6	27%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-3	67%	2-8	25%	0-2	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	13.2	2	20%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	34.0	15	58%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	3-7	43%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	27.6	8	80%	8	1	1	2	3	4	4	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	23.0	12	40%	3	4	0	0	2	1	0	3	4-4	100%	1-8	13%	2-6	33%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	19.8	6	75%	2	2	1	2	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	10.8	5	63%	3	2	0	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	7.1	2	33%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	3.5	2	100%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	48%	47	19	4	6	14	18	15	32	21-23	91%	21-52	40%	10-31	32%

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27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	36.1	14	100%	14	1	0	1	2	2	3	11	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-1	100%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	23.6	4	17%	4	3	1	1	2	1	2	2	2-2	100%	1-7	14%	0-4	0%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	23.4	17	71%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	6-7	86%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	18.0	6	27%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-3	67%	2-8	25%	0-2	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	13.2	2	20%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	34.0	15	58%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	3-7	43%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	27.6	8	80%	8	1	1	2	3	4	4	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	23.0	12	40%	3	4	0	0	2	1	0	3	4-4	100%	1-8	13%	2-6	33%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	19.8	6	75%	2	2	1	2	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	10.8	5	63%	3	2	0	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	7.1	2	33%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	3.5	2	100%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	48%	47	19	4	6	14	18	15	32	21-23	91%	21-52	40%	10-31	32%

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5 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 28	32.6	29	91%	2	8	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	7-10	70%	5-6	83%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	32.5	7	50%	2	9	1	2	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 25	30.8	16	80%	5	1	1	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-7	57%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	29.5	10	50%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-8	25%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	28.8	10	38%	15	2	3	1	3	3	4	11	2-4	50%	4-11	36%	0-0	-

Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	26.4	16	47%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-10	20%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	22.1	2	13%	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	2	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	0-4	0%
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	15.8	5	28%	3	0	1	1	0	2	1	2	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	15.7	11	92%	8	1	1	1	0	2	6	2	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	3.5	3	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	2.3	3	150%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness and Right Knee Contusion
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	55%	44	25	7	5	7	17	14	30	10-16	63%	24-45	53%	18-48	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	BOS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.97 48.4%

BOS

1.10 54.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

64%

BOS

78%

Midrange

SAC

32%

BOS

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

15.0

32%

48%

BOS

27.0

38%

56%

Free Throws

SAC

91%

BOS

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine	17	71%	8.5 / 12
N. Clifford	15	58%	7.5 / 13
M. Raynaud	14	100%	7.0 / 7
M. Monk	12	40%	6.0 / 15
D. Cardwell	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. DeRozan	6	27%	3.0 / 11
K. Ellis	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Carter	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Schröder	4	17%	2.0 / 12
P. Achiuwa	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Plowden	2	33%	1.0 / 3
I. Stevens	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Pritchard	29	91%	14.5 / 16
B. Scheierman	16	80%	8.0 / 10
A. Simons	16	47%	8.0 / 17
L. Garza	11	92%	5.5 / 6
S. Hauser	10	50%	5.0 / 10
N. Queta	10	38%	5.0 / 13
D. White	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Walsh	5	28%	2.5 / 9
C. Boucher	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Minott	3	150%	1.5 / 1
H. González	2	13%	1.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 2 120.0	SAC 103.3 BOS 124.4 +21.1
Pace	17 100.0 30 95.5	SAC 98.7 +16.0 BOS 82.7
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 2 15.7	SAC 14.6 −2.8 BOS 17.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 11 55.3%	SAC 43.4% BOS 54.8% +11.4%
TO %	15 13.7% 2 12.0%	SAC 14.7% BOS 6.5% −8.2%
ORB %	13 25.9% 6 29.2%	SAC 33.3% +2.9% BOS 30.4%
FTrt	19 25.6 30 20.7	SAC 27.7 +10.5 BOS 17.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 30 58.5%	SAC 61.3% +1.8% BOS 59.5%
STL %	21 8.0% 25 7.4%	SAC 4.4% BOS 7.8% +3.4%
BLK %	19 8.6% 5 10.4%	SAC 13.3% +3.7% BOS 9.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 13 56.9%	SAC 48.4% BOS 54.9% +6.5%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 2 68.9%	SAC 64.3% BOS 77.8% +13.5%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 12 44.2%	SAC 31.6% BOS 37.0% +5.4%
3P %	29 34.1% 8 36.7%	SAC 32.3% BOS 37.5% +5.2%
FT %	21 77.2% 7 80.7%	SAC 91.3% +28.8% BOS 62.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 30 24.4%	SAC 16.9% BOS 19.4% +2.5%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 24 28.9%	SAC 45.8% BOS 29.0% −16.8%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 4 46.7%	SAC 37.3% BOS 51.6% +14.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	BOS
Possessions	90	90
Possession Minutes	21.9	26.1
Points	93	112
Rebounds	47	44
Assists	19	25
Steals	4	7
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (2)	7 (0)
Fouls	18	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (5)	30 (3)
Field Goals	31-83	42-93
At-the-Rim FG	9-14	14-18
Midrange FG	12-38	10-27
2-Point FG	21-52	24-45
3-Point FG	10-31	18-48
Free Throws	21-23	10-16
Fast Break Pts	16	12
2nd Chance Pts	17	14
Points in Paint	30	38
Pts off Turnovers	10	15
Bench Points	50	40
Biggest Lead	0	31

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg