Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Heat	63%	118	130	122.6	106	105.3
	27	Kings	37%	114	117	111.4	105	105.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 33	30.8	22	65%	3	2	0	0	4	2	0	3	2-3	67%	4-10	40%	4-6	67%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 29	30.4	25	69%	7	5	1	1	1	1	0	7	5-7	71%	4-10	40%	4-5	80%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	29.6	19	73%	3	2	1	1	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	3-7	43%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	26.2	16	89%	6	9	1	0	0	4	3	3	2-3	67%	7-8	88%	0-1	0%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	19.5	6	60%	3	7	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	33.4	13	46%	9	3	2	0	2	1	4	5	2-4	50%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	19.3	8	33%	5	2	0	0	1	2	1	4	0-2	0%	1-6	17%	2-5	40%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	19.2	15	68%	7	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	5-9	56%
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 20	16.9	1	13%	2	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 25	14.8	5	63%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Costochondral; Injury to the Ribs
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	59%	46	33	6	2	10	13	12	34	15-24	63%	26-56	46%	21-42	50%

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12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 33	30.8	22	65%	3	2	0	0	4	2	0	3	2-3	67%	4-10	40%	4-6	67%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 29	30.4	25	69%	7	5	1	1	1	1	0	7	5-7	71%	4-10	40%	4-5	80%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	29.6	19	73%	3	2	1	1	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	3-7	43%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	26.2	16	89%	6	9	1	0	0	4	3	3	2-3	67%	7-8	88%	0-1	0%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	19.5	6	60%	3	7	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	33.4	13	46%	9	3	2	0	2	1	4	5	2-4	50%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	19.3	8	33%	5	2	0	0	1	2	1	4	0-2	0%	1-6	17%	2-5	40%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	19.2	15	68%	7	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	5-9	56%
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 20	16.9	1	13%	2	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 25	14.8	5	63%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Costochondral; Injury to the Ribs
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	59%	46	33	6	2	10	13	12	34	15-24	63%	26-56	46%	21-42	50%

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27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	35.0	23	68%	4	5	0	0	2	3	0	4	10-10	100%	5-10	50%	1-2	50%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	31.2	22	69%	2	7	2	1	6	3	1	1	3-4	75%	8-8	100%	1-6	17%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	22.2	18	82%	1	5	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	3-4	75%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	22.1	6	60%	5	1	1	0	2	1	0	5	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	17.8	7	58%	8	0	2	0	0	0	0	8	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-1	100%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	29.8	18	64%	2	2	0	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-10	40%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	24.4	9	45%	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	21.4	4	67%	12	1	1	2	0	5	5	7	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	19.2	4	29%	2	2	0	0	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	17.0	6	38%	10	3	0	0	0	2	1	9	0-1	0%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	59%	49	27	6	4	15	20	8	41	18-21	86%	33-57	58%	11-30	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.18 59.1%

SAC

1.18 59.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

18

28

64%

SAC

18

26

69%

Midrange

MIA

8

28

29%

SAC

15

31

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

21

31.5

42

50%

75%

SAC

11

16.5

30

37%

55%

Free Throws

MIA

15

24

63%

SAC

18

21

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	25	69%	12.5 / 18
N. Powell	22	65%	11.0 / 17
A. Wiggins	19	73%	9.5 / 13
P. Larsson	16	89%	8.0 / 9
S. Fontecchio	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Jaquez	13	46%	6.5 / 14
N. Jović	8	33%	4.0 / 12
D. Mitchell	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Gardner	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. Jakučionis	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	23	68%	11.5 / 17
R. Westbrook	22	69%	11.0 / 16
Z. LaVine	18	82%	9.0 / 11
M. Monk	18	64%	9.0 / 14
N. Clifford	9	45%	4.5 / 10
M. Raynaud	7	58%	3.5 / 6
P. Achiuwa	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Sabonis	6	38%	3.0 / 8
D. Cardwell	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Schröder	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 115.8 26 110.6	MIA 122.6 +11.2 SAC 111.4
Pace	1 104.3 17 100.0	MIA 105.3 SAC 105.7 +0.4
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.1 14 14.5	MIA 13.7 SAC 13.6 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.2% 29 52.5%	MIA 58.7% +1.8% SAC 56.9%
TO %	5 12.6% 15 13.7%	MIA 8.4% −5.9% SAC 14.3%
ORB %	17 25.4% 13 25.9%	MIA 22.6% +3.6% SAC 19.0%
FTrt	14 26.8 19 25.6	MIA 24.5 +0.4 SAC 24.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 66.3% 20 61.5%	MIA 70.2% +8.8% SAC 61.4%
STL %	17 8.3% 21 8.0%	MIA 5.7% SAC 5.7%
BLK %	28 7.9% 19 8.6%	MIA 3.5% SAC 7.1% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 29 54.7%	MIA 59.1% SAC 59.1%
Rim FG%	20 63.6% 8 65.9%	MIA 64.3% SAC 69.2% +4.9%
Mid FG%	21 42.4% 13 43.8%	MIA 28.6% SAC 48.4% +19.8%
3P %	11 36.1% 29 34.1%	MIA 50.0% +13.3% SAC 36.7%
FT %	11 79.2% 21 77.2%	MIA 62.5% SAC 85.7% +23.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 32.9% 28 28.0%	MIA 28.6% SAC 29.9% +1.3%
Mid Att. %	17 26.5% 30 38.1%	MIA 28.6% −7.1% SAC 35.6%
3P Att. %	18 40.6% 30 33.9%	MIA 42.9% +8.4% SAC 34.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	MIA	SAC
Possessions	106	105
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	130	117
Rebounds	46	49
Assists	33	27
Steals	6	6
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls	13	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	41 (1)
Field Goals	47-98	44-87
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	18-26
Midrange FG	8-28	15-31
2-Point FG	26-56	33-57
3-Point FG	21-42	11-30
Free Throws	15-24	18-21
Fast Break Pts	18	17
2nd Chance Pts	21	11
Points in Paint	46	62
Pts off Turnovers	19	13
Bench Points	42	41
Biggest Lead	17	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg