Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 30, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Lakers	77%	118	142	135.2	105	105.3
	29	Wizards	23%	108	111	105.7	105	104.7

Prediction updated: Jan 31, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

LAL

+14

-16

103

WAS

+19

-18

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.38 68.9%

WAS

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 27	30.5	37	77%	11	13	3	0	5	0	0	11	5-7	71%	7-8	88%	6-13	46%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 41	29.6	20	59%	3	6	2	0	3	1	0	3	2-2	100%	6-13	46%	2-3	67%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	28.9	28	88%	13	3	1	3	1	0	5	8	4-4	100%	12-14	86%	0-0	-
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 32	26.5	3	75%	1	4	1	0	4	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jake LaRavia #12 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24	25.1	3	38%	6	1	3	1	0	2	1	5	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	18.3	6	60%	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	17.7	11	69%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-6	50%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25	17.1	4	67%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	16.2	8	67%	2	1	4	0	0	1	2	0	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	13.6	10	83%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	5.5	4	100%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	5.5	4	67%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	5.5	4	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right MCL; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	142	69%	46	38	17	4	16	8	11	35	24-32	75%	38-52	73%	14-33	42%

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19 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 27	30.5	37	77%	11	13	3	0	5	0	0	11	5-7	71%	7-8	88%	6-13	46%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 41	29.6	20	59%	3	6	2	0	3	1	0	3	2-2	100%	6-13	46%	2-3	67%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	28.9	28	88%	13	3	1	3	1	0	5	8	4-4	100%	12-14	86%	0-0	-
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 32	26.5	3	75%	1	4	1	0	4	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jake LaRavia #12 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24	25.1	3	38%	6	1	3	1	0	2	1	5	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	18.3	6	60%	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	17.7	11	69%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-6	50%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25	17.1	4	67%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	16.2	8	67%	2	1	4	0	0	1	2	0	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	13.6	10	83%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	5.5	4	100%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	5.5	4	67%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	5.5	4	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right MCL; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	142	69%	46	38	17	4	16	8	11	35	24-32	75%	38-52	73%	14-33	42%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	28.3	16	57%	6	5	2	0	1	2	3	3	0-0	-	8-11	73%	0-3	0%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	27.1	15	54%	3	6	1	2	4	4	0	3	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	25.5	15	68%	3	6	2	0	5	2	1	2	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	4-8	50%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 22	24.2	7	29%	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-5	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	23.7	9	64%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%

Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	34.8	8	36%	6	2	1	1	2	3	3	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-8	25%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	24.9	13	43%	2	5	4	0	2	1	2	0	0-0	-	2-8	25%	3-7	43%
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	21.7	17	85%	1	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	4-6	67%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	17.1	9	90%	10	0	0	1	1	1	5	5	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	12.8	2	25%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Skal Labissière #17 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Sprain; Quad Contusion
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Thoracic; Strain
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	52%	39	28	10	4	18	19	17	22	7-10	70%	28-51	55%	16-48	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.38 68.9%

WAS

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

75%

WAS

65%

Midrange

LAL

67%

WAS

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

21.0

42%

64%

WAS

24.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

LAL

75%

WAS

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	37	77%	18.5 / 24
D. Ayton	28	88%	14.0 / 16
L. James	20	59%	10.0 / 17
R. Hachimura	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Hayes	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Vanderbilt	8	67%	4.0 / 6
G. Vincent	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Timme	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Kleber	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Knecht	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. James	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Smart	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. LaRavia	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Branham	17	85%	8.5 / 10
A. Sarr	16	57%	8.0 / 14
K. George	15	54%	7.5 / 14
B. Carrington	15	68%	7.5 / 11
W. Riley	13	43%	6.5 / 15
J. Champagnie	9	64%	4.5 / 7
A. Gill	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Watkins	8	36%	4.0 / 11
B. Coulibaly	7	29%	3.5 / 12
S. Cooper	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 117.1 29 109.7	LAL 135.2 +29.5 WAS 105.7
Pace	21 99.2 5 102.5	LAL 105.3 +0.6 WAS 104.7
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.8 23 14.0	LAL 13.7 −0.1 WAS 13.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 21 53.5%	LAL 69.4% +16.9% WAS 52.5%
TO %	19 13.9% 26 14.7%	LAL 14.6% −0.9% WAS 15.5%
ORB %	22 23.9% 21 24.0%	LAL 33.3% +0.6% WAS 32.7%
FTrt	1 32.0 26 23.5	LAL 37.6 +27.5 WAS 10.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.5% 24 59.9%	LAL 73.1% +9.5% WAS 63.6%
STL %	12 8.6% 22 7.8%	LAL 16.2% +6.7% WAS 9.5%
BLK %	23 8.3% 9 10.0%	LAL 7.8% +0.1% WAS 7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 26 55.4%	LAL 68.9% +16.5% WAS 52.4%
Rim FG%	1 72.0% 15 64.7%	LAL 75.0% +10.5% WAS 64.5%
Mid FG%	4 46.8% 26 41.3%	LAL 66.7% +26.7% WAS 40.0%
3P %	14 35.9% 16 35.9%	LAL 42.4% +9.1% WAS 33.3%
FT %	26 76.3% 23 76.6%	LAL 75.0% +5.0% WAS 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.7% 22 30.6%	LAL 47.1% +15.7% WAS 31.3%
Mid Att. %	26 30.0% 25 29.1%	LAL 14.1% −6.1% WAS 20.2%
3P Att. %	22 39.4% 20 40.3%	LAL 38.8% WAS 48.5% +9.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	LAL	WAS
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	142	111
Rebounds	46	39
Assists	38	28
Steals	17	10
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	18 (1)
Fouls	8	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	22 (1)
Field Goals	52-85	44-99
At-the-Rim FG	30-40	20-31
Midrange FG	8-12	8-20
2-Point FG	38-52	28-51
3-Point FG	14-33	16-48
Free Throws	24-32	7-10
Fast Break Pts	26	23
2nd Chance Pts	17	23
Points in Paint	66	50
Pts off Turnovers	21	18
Bench Points	51	49
Biggest Lead	38	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg