Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Warriors	76%	123	140	130.8	107	98.9
	26	Jazz	24%	114	124	113.8	109	118.8

Prediction updated: Jan 29, 2026 02:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+12

-20

UTA

+14

-19

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.40 70.0%

UTA

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	28.3	11	61%	8	7	1	1	2	3	0	8	6-6	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	28.0	27	75%	1	2	2	0	5	1	0	1	9-10	90%	3-4	75%	4-10	40%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	25.9	26	81%	5	0	2	0	0	0	3	2	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	5-9	56%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	24.1	9	90%	5	8	1	3	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	22.6	0	0%	2	6	1	2	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-6	0%

De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	23.1	12	60%	2	2	4	0	3	3	1	1	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	21.6	16	100%	3	4	1	2	1	3	1	2	2-3	67%	4-4	100%	2-3	67%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	20.4	13	81%	5	3	3	0	2	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	17.3	10	71%	6	2	0	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	17.2	13	81%	3	4	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	3.8	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	3.8	2	100%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	140	70%	42	39	15	8	20	17	12	30	25-30	83%	23-32	72%	23-54	43%

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8 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	28.3	11	61%	8	7	1	1	2	3	0	8	6-6	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	28.0	27	75%	1	2	2	0	5	1	0	1	9-10	90%	3-4	75%	4-10	40%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	25.9	26	81%	5	0	2	0	0	0	3	2	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	5-9	56%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	24.1	9	90%	5	8	1	3	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	22.6	0	0%	2	6	1	2	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-6	0%

De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	23.1	12	60%	2	2	4	0	3	3	1	1	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	21.6	16	100%	3	4	1	2	1	3	1	2	2-3	67%	4-4	100%	2-3	67%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	20.4	13	81%	5	3	3	0	2	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	17.3	10	71%	6	2	0	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	17.2	13	81%	3	4	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	3.8	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	3.8	2	100%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	140	70%	42	39	15	8	20	17	12	30	25-30	83%	23-32	72%	23-54	43%

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26 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 19	34.1	19	63%	7	4	2	1	0	3	1	6	0-0	-	5-8	63%	3-7	43%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	33.2	18	56%	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	3	5-5	100%	5-8	63%	1-6	17%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	32.7	19	53%	7	7	2	0	2	4	1	6	4-6	67%	3-11	27%	3-4	75%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	22.6	11	69%	5	5	1	0	4	2	2	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	15.9	2	20%	2	0	0	0	3	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%

Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	29.5	12	55%	3	6	4	0	3	1	0	3	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-3	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	26.1	22	79%	0	3	2	0	1	2	0	0	6-7	86%	2-2	100%	4-9	44%
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	21.9	6	50%	5	6	0	1	1	3	3	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	16.8	12	120%	4	3	2	0	2	3	2	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-2	100%
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	7.2	3	50%	1	2	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	DND – Rest
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth metatarsal stress reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	60%	37	38	16	3	19	22	10	27	21-24	88%	29-52	56%	15-38	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.40 70.0%

UTA

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

83%

UTA

69%

Midrange

GSW

38%

UTA

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

34.5

43%

64%

UTA

22.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

GSW

83%

UTA

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	27	75%	13.5 / 18
M. Moody	26	81%	13.0 / 16
G. Santos	16	100%	8.0 / 8
W. Richard	13	81%	6.5 / 8
B. Hield	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Melton	12	60%	6.0 / 10
B. Podziemski	11	61%	5.5 / 9
Q. Post	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Horford	9	90%	4.5 / 5
T. Jackson-Davis	2	100%	1.0 / 1
P. Spencer	1	50%	0.5 / 1
D. Green	0	-	0.0 / 6
M. Leons	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Sensabaugh	22	79%	11.0 / 14
A. Bailey	19	63%	9.5 / 15
K. George	19	53%	9.5 / 18
L. Markkanen	18	56%	9.0 / 16
I. Collier	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. Filipowski	12	120%	6.0 / 5
J. Nurkić	11	69%	5.5 / 8
K. Anderson	6	50%	3.0 / 6
W. Clayton	3	50%	1.5 / 3
S. Mykhailiuk	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 22 112.9	GSW 130.8 +17.1 UTA 113.8
Pace	18 99.9 2 103.4	GSW 98.9 UTA 118.8 +19.9
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 27 13.8	GSW 14.6 UTA 12.1 −2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 20 53.6%	GSW 66.9% +9.7% UTA 57.2%
TO %	28 14.9% 23 14.4%	GSW 16.8% UTA 15.9% −0.9%
ORB %	14 25.8% 12 26.2%	GSW 30.8% +5.8% UTA 25.0%
FTrt	24 23.8 10 27.7	GSW 34.9 +8.2 UTA 26.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 2 69.6%	GSW 84.8% UTA 86.4% +1.6%
STL %	3 9.6% 14 8.5%	GSW 14.0% UTA 14.7% +0.7%
BLK %	27 8.0% 30 7.5%	GSW 15.4% +6.0% UTA 9.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 18 56.4%	GSW 70.0% +9.8% UTA 60.2%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 17 64.5%	GSW 83.3% +14.3% UTA 69.0%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 8 44.4%	GSW 37.5% UTA 39.1% +1.6%
3P %	20 35.6% 25 34.5%	GSW 42.6% +3.1% UTA 39.5%
FT %	6 80.7% 13 78.6%	GSW 83.3% UTA 87.5% +4.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 17 31.3%	GSW 27.9% UTA 32.2% +4.3%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 23 28.4%	GSW 9.3% −16.3% UTA 25.6%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 21 40.3%	GSW 62.8% +20.6% UTA 42.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	UTA
Possessions	107	109
Possession Minutes	26.0	22.0
Points	140	124
Rebounds	42	37
Assists	39	38
Steals	15	16
Blocks	8	3
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls	17	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (0)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (5)	27 (2)
Field Goals	46-86	44-90
At-the-Rim FG	20-24	20-29
Midrange FG	3-8	9-23
2-Point FG	23-32	29-52
3-Point FG	23-54	15-38
Free Throws	25-30	21-24
Fast Break Pts	26	23
2nd Chance Pts	15	22
Points in Paint	44	54
Pts off Turnovers	23	23
Bench Points	67	55
Biggest Lead	27	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg