Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 26, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Grizzlies	21%	106	99	101.0	98	102.1
	2	Rockets	79%	116	108	108.0	100	96.1

Prediction updated: Jan 27, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+24

-13

109

HOU

+23

-16

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.90 45.0%

HOU

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	32.2	17	50%	7	1	0	2	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	7-12	58%	1-5	20%
Cedric Coward #23 · SF · 6'5" 206 · 22	29.7	8	29%	7	2	1	1	2	3	2	5	2-3	67%	3-11	27%	0-2	0%
Santi Aldama #7 · C · 7'0" 215 · 25	27.4	17	71%	7	2	1	0	1	1	3	4	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
Cam Spencer #24 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 26	27.4	5	50%	5	14	1	1	3	1	3	2	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	26.2	12	40%	6	0	1	0	2	4	2	4	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%

GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	27.3	14	41%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	0-6	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	20.6	7	23%	8	5	2	0	2	4	4	4	0-0	-	2-9	22%	1-6	17%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	20.3	0	0%	3	1	2	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	18.3	11	61%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	10.6	8	80%	3	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	45%	52	26	9	5	13	21	21	31	14-17	82%	32-68	47%	7-37	19%

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20 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	32.2	17	50%	7	1	0	2	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	7-12	58%	1-5	20%
Cedric Coward #23 · SF · 6'5" 206 · 22	29.7	8	29%	7	2	1	1	2	3	2	5	2-3	67%	3-11	27%	0-2	0%
Santi Aldama #7 · C · 7'0" 215 · 25	27.4	17	71%	7	2	1	0	1	1	3	4	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
Cam Spencer #24 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 26	27.4	5	50%	5	14	1	1	3	1	3	2	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	26.2	12	40%	6	0	1	0	2	4	2	4	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%

GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	27.3	14	41%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	0-6	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	20.6	7	23%	8	5	2	0	2	4	4	4	0-0	-	2-9	22%	1-6	17%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	20.3	0	0%	3	1	2	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	18.3	11	61%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	10.6	8	80%	3	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	45%	52	26	9	5	13	21	21	31	14-17	82%	32-68	47%	7-37	19%

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2 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	41.6	8	36%	8	14	1	0	4	1	5	3	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	37.0	33	59%	8	2	0	1	2	1	2	6	7-9	78%	7-15	47%	4-9	44%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 24	33.7	33	87%	9	6	1	0	5	5	3	6	3-4	75%	15-16	94%	0-1	0%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	33.6	8	57%	8	2	2	0	0	2	0	8	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Tari Eason #17 · SG · 6'8" 215 · 25	26.6	17	47%	7	0	2	1	3	1	2	5	1-2	50%	2-9	22%	4-8	50%

Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	25.1	2	33%	7	2	1	0	0	1	2	5	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	16.0	3	38%	2	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	15.3	4	18%	4	0	0	1	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-7	0%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	6.6	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	4.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	51%	57	29	9	3	16	13	16	41	15-20	75%	30-55	55%	11-37	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.90 45.0%

HOU

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

58%

HOU

65%

Midrange

MEM

37%

HOU

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

10.5

19%

28%

HOU

16.5

30%

45%

Free Throws

MEM

82%

HOU

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	17	50%	8.5 / 17
S. Aldama	17	71%	8.5 / 12
G. Jackson	14	41%	7.0 / 17
J. Wells	12	40%	6.0 / 15
K. Caldwell-Pope	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. Coward	8	29%	4.0 / 14
O. Prosper	8	80%	4.0 / 5
V. Williams	7	23%	3.5 / 15
C. Spencer	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Konchar	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	33	59%	16.5 / 28
A. Sengun	33	87%	16.5 / 19
T. Eason	17	47%	8.5 / 18
A. Thompson	8	36%	4.0 / 11
J. Smith	8	57%	4.0 / 7
R. Sheppard	4	18%	2.0 / 11
D. Finney-Smith	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Okogie	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 8 117.5	MEM 101.0 HOU 108.0 +7.0
Pace	7 101.8 29 96.9	MEM 102.1 +5.9 HOU 96.1
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 1 15.8	MEM 14.1 −0.9 HOU 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 17 54.2%	MEM 40.5% HOU 50.5% +10.0%
TO %	22 14.3% 25 14.7%	MEM 10.4% −3.3% HOU 13.7%
ORB %	19 24.7% 1 34.8%	MEM 33.9% HOU 34.0% +0.1%
FTrt	21 25.1 18 26.0	MEM 16.2 HOU 21.7 +5.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 27 59.1%	MEM 66.7% HOU 70.7% +4.0%
STL %	11 8.7% 9 8.7%	MEM 9.2% +0.2% HOU 9.0%
BLK %	14 9.1% 4 10.9%	MEM 9.1% +4.7% HOU 4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 20 56.1%	MEM 45.0% HOU 51.4% +6.4%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 13 64.8%	MEM 57.6% HOU 65.2% +7.6%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 9 44.3%	MEM 37.1% HOU 46.9% +9.8%
3P %	22 35.3% 10 36.4%	MEM 18.9% HOU 29.7% +10.8%
FT %	9 79.3% 25 76.3%	MEM 82.4% +7.4% HOU 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 20 30.7%	MEM 31.4% +6.4% HOU 25.0%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 29 34.2%	MEM 33.3% −1.4% HOU 34.8%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 28 35.0%	MEM 35.2% HOU 40.2% +5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	HOU
Possessions	98	100
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	99	108
Rebounds	52	57
Assists	26	29
Steals	9	9
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	21	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	21 (3)	16 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	41 (1)
Field Goals	39-105	41-92
At-the-Rim FG	19-33	15-23
Midrange FG	13-35	15-32
2-Point FG	32-68	30-55
3-Point FG	7-37	11-37
Free Throws	14-17	15-20
Fast Break Pts	18	7
2nd Chance Pts	17	17
Points in Paint	62	56
Pts off Turnovers	19	18
Bench Points	40	9
Biggest Lead	10	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg