Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 29, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Kings	21%	108	111	120.7	92	86.3
	10	76ers	79%	119	113	124.2	91	97.3

Prediction updated: Jan 29, 2026 11:56 PM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+21

-16

PHI

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.16 57.8%

PHI

1.30 64.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 36	37.9	25	66%	4	8	0	0	1	2	0	4	6-8	75%	8-14	57%	1-1	100%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	34.2	8	57%	13	3	1	1	2	3	4	9	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	31.3	27	75%	4	2	1	0	2	2	1	3	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	5-9	56%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	28.2	14	58%	7	3	0	0	3	4	4	3	2-4	50%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Nique Clifford #5 · SF · 6'5" 175 · 24	26.9	2	14%	6	2	0	1	2	1	2	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-1	0%

Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	28.7	17	47%	1	3	2	0	3	3	0	1	5-5	100%	3-10	30%	2-6	33%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	19.6	10	71%	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	18.8	8	80%	7	0	1	0	1	5	3	4	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	14.4	0	0%	4	0	0	1	2	5	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	58%	46	21	6	4	16	26	15	31	19-23	83%	31-56	55%	10-26	38%

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27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 36	37.9	25	66%	4	8	0	0	1	2	0	4	6-8	75%	8-14	57%	1-1	100%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	34.2	8	57%	13	3	1	1	2	3	4	9	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	31.3	27	75%	4	2	1	0	2	2	1	3	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	5-9	56%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	28.2	14	58%	7	3	0	0	3	4	4	3	2-4	50%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Nique Clifford #5 · SF · 6'5" 175 · 24	26.9	2	14%	6	2	0	1	2	1	2	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-1	0%

Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	28.7	17	47%	1	3	2	0	3	3	0	1	5-5	100%	3-10	30%	2-6	33%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	19.6	10	71%	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	18.8	8	80%	7	0	1	0	1	5	3	4	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	14.4	0	0%	4	0	0	1	2	5	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	58%	46	21	6	4	16	26	15	31	19-23	83%	31-56	55%	10-26	38%

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10 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	40.6	40	87%	4	8	1	0	2	3	0	4	12-13	92%	8-9	89%	4-9	44%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	37.3	4	50%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	36.1	15	50%	2	5	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	6-11	55%	1-4	25%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	35.9	37	69%	5	8	1	1	2	3	0	5	10-13	77%	12-19	63%	1-2	50%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	35.1	5	36%	5	3	3	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%

Dominick Barlow #25 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 23	20.8	5	125%	1	0	1	0	0	4	0	1	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	15.1	4	50%	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	8.3	0	0%	2	0	0	2	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	7.1	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle Sprain
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	65%	24	25	8	3	9	19	2	22	27-31	87%	31-47	66%	8-25	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	PHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.16 57.8%

PHI

1.30 64.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

68%

PHI

76%

Midrange

SAC

43%

PHI

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

15.0

38%

58%

PHI

12.0

32%

48%

Free Throws

SAC

83%

PHI

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Schröder	27	75%	13.5 / 18
D. DeRozan	25	66%	12.5 / 19
Z. LaVine	17	47%	8.5 / 18
D. Sabonis	14	58%	7.0 / 12
K. Ellis	10	71%	5.0 / 7
P. Achiuwa	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Raynaud	8	80%	4.0 / 5
N. Clifford	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Maxey	40	87%	20.0 / 23
J. Embiid	37	69%	18.5 / 27
P. George	15	50%	7.5 / 15
V. Edgecombe	5	36%	2.5 / 7
D. Barlow	5	125%	2.5 / 2
K. Oubre	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. McCain	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Edwards	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Bona	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 16 114.4	SAC 120.7 PHI 124.2 +3.5
Pace	17 100.0 16 100.3	SAC 86.3 PHI 97.3 +11.1
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 11 14.6	SAC 16.7 PHI 14.8 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 25 53.0%	SAC 56.1% PHI 59.7% +3.6%
TO %	15 13.7% 6 12.8%	SAC 15.6% PHI 9.5% −6.1%
ORB %	13 25.9% 11 26.2%	SAC 40.5% +34.4% PHI 6.1%
FTrt	19 25.6 11 27.5	SAC 28.0 PHI 43.1 +15.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 28 58.9%	SAC 51.2% PHI 64.1% +12.9%
STL %	21 8.0% 7 9.0%	SAC 6.5% PHI 8.8% +2.3%
BLK %	19 8.6% 3 10.9%	SAC 8.5% +3.1% PHI 5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 21 55.9%	SAC 57.8% PHI 64.9% +7.1%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 27 62.1%	SAC 67.9% PHI 76.2% +8.3%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 23 41.8%	SAC 42.9% PHI 57.7% +14.8%
3P %	29 34.1% 23 34.9%	SAC 38.5% +6.5% PHI 32.0%
FT %	21 77.2% 4 80.9%	SAC 82.6% PHI 87.1% +4.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 6 35.0%	SAC 34.1% +5.0% PHI 29.2%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 13 25.9%	SAC 34.1% −2.0% PHI 36.1%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 23 39.1%	SAC 31.7% PHI 34.7% +3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	PHI
Possessions	92	91
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	111	113
Rebounds	46	24
Assists	21	25
Steals	6	8
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	26	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (6)	2 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	22 (1)
Field Goals	41-82	39-72
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	16-21
Midrange FG	12-28	15-26
2-Point FG	31-56	31-47
3-Point FG	10-26	8-25
Free Throws	19-23	27-31
Fast Break Pts	7	3
2nd Chance Pts	24	0
Points in Paint	52	38
Pts off Turnovers	11	17
Bench Points	35	12
Biggest Lead	11	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg